Okay, so Jason you’re gonna send a zoom link great. I’m gonna make love to not that would take 70 minutes
And then I’m gonna stretch and shower
I’ll be ready at 115. Okay. Awesome. Thanks. I just puked in my coffee a little bit, but okay
It’s just that he does he gets seconds and minutes mixed up, you know
To the all-in podcast. We got a cold open. Somebody’s gonna be a highlight. That’s
Cold open that should be the cold open
My god, by the way, that’s all right these seconds includes trim up brushing his teeth
I
Hey everybody, hey everybody it is another edition episode 34 of the all-in podcast with us today
David Friedberg the Queen of quinoa the science
sorcerer of the pod Rain Man David Sachs hot off his 60th birthday bash in Los Angeles
Sorry, sorry that was just going by me his looks and the dictator
Polly hop atia fresh off of writing editorials about himself in Bloomberg. Congratulations everybody
Thank you. Thank you. Give yourself a pat on the back for that exceptional
Yeah, free burgers know my favorite bestie because he actually showed up my birthday party and like you guys
Oh, I’m sorry, David David. How do you expect people to react in 24 hours to 72 hours city?
Yeah, it was a surprise. It was a surprise birthday surprise to the gas
It was a surprise to all the invitees as well. Let me tell you guys what you missed out on
Okay. All right. Wait, let’s give background sacks is now
49 50 years old
A last-minute birthday party after I bought tickets to the Knicks in and the Nets and invited family members
Go ahead and now we’re the bad guys. We fly down for the birthday
They you know, they shuttle you on the cars from the plane to the to the house. We get to the house long driveway
There’s like dudes making like watermelon tequila beverages while you hang out and wait
There’s some dude from America’s Got Talent playing the guitar or playing the violin in the driveway
The bathrooms are nicer than the bathrooms. I have at home, you know, these be porta potties. They rented in the driveway
And you know, we’re all waiting. Of course sacks is late two and a half hours to his own party
We’re all hanging out and starving
But then we go into the party sit down for dinner and then who shows up as our you know dinner experience
It’s the guy that won America’s I American Idol two nights before
So no one knows who this guy is except 17 year old girls and myself. So I hop out of my seat
I’m like, oh my god, it’s that guy from American Idol
I had to rush into the backstage to get a photo with him, you know, it sacks his garage
And then they have like coolio shows up
So we’re like sitting down to dinner for course to all of a sudden pop comes out of the woodwork coolio
I lose my shit. I run up on the
The dance floor. I grew up coolio like it’s like high school jams, man
I mean that’s like in the car cruising and at this point, I’m like seven tequila watermelon tequilas in
Coolio I think we all thought I was sacks, you know, cuz he’s like, yeah, he’s like, oh to South African Jews
You guys all look the same coolio comes up starts high-fiving me and hugging me and I’m like, what’s up coolio?
Oh my god, this is like a dream come true
He’s like hugging me. His face is right next to my face
I didn’t know what to say and I like I’m I’ve had a little bit of tequila and I whisper in coolio’s ear
I’m like, oh no, I appreciate I appreciate you
I think I saw Freeberg throw his panties on stage to
Wow, what a nerd
Can I go back to the part where you said that you were dancing and instantly the image I had was Julius Louis Dreyfus
We have to find that security footage
Mark Mark McGrath from Sugar Ray performing and he had that dude from cool in the gang performing
I’m the game showed up to give sacks a birthday wish. What are the game the rapper the game the game came?
Yeah, the game I was just to do a movie together like 15 years ago and you know, I never panned out
But he still remembered me and he came by to say hi on my birthday. It was pretty incredible. Very nice
That’s have you guys ever met sacks as parents? Yeah, of course. I just 40th. Yeah, they’re so nice
Like they’re so nice. We spent so much time with them. We’ll love hanging out with them
It was a really really cool party. I’m sorry. We missed it 72 hours is generally a
Shorter window than most out of city parties, but I have a better excuse
I had a corporate offsite for my team. So I apologize sexy. That’s okay. We missed you guys. It was really fun
I can’t wait
Invite for a party you definitely want to
Throw a party. She does. She knows how to throw a party. You know, it’s how to make it. So, how does it feel being?
this old and just
Looking so exhausted David Thomas
Exhausted Jake aren’t you turning 50 this summer? I was I was
50 in November I did. Yeah, I was in quarantine. So we’re gonna have to have like a post. How heavy is that?
Give or take
It wasn’t actually super heavy for me. I mean, I think just you do think about hey, we’re counting down
It’s the back nine. You want to make good use of the time you have left?
And so yeah, of course, it’s something where you’re gonna consider, you know your life, of course
Yeah, and just make sure you make good use of the time that you have here
Yeah, I think 40 was just a party but 50 feels a little bit heavy. It’ll still be a great party
But it does feel a little bit
Metaphysical I guess yeah
Metaphysical right now
Okay, listen we didn’t get together on Friday, but here we are recording on a Saturday and
Lots of stuff going on the thing. I think I’m most interested in hearing from
Friedberg about is the lab leak theory and I think that this touches on a little bit of the
politicization of
Science I guess we there’s a lab in Wuhan. I think it’s more Trump derangement syndrome
It didn’t allow us to see the forest from the trees and the same words just said by a different president all of a sudden
invokes a an investigation
yeah, so I mean there is a
Kovat laboratory in Wuhan. It is the only one in China and that’s where the virology labs where they study viruses
Yes, but specifically they’ve studied kovat viruses
They have yeah, that’s I mean, that’s a big class of virus
So and it’s the only one in China and it’s funded by America and China and the who?
The institute of virology. I mean this is this is I mean, this is a
China Institute of virology was posting job
wrecks two years ago for
specifically for researchers of bat viruses
We know they were studying bat viruses at this place and we want just happens to be the place
Where a novel coronavirus that seems derived from a bat virus, you know, it like emerges
I mean, what are the odds right? I mean, this was such an obvious
theory the idea that
You know kovat might have leaked from from this particular lab and yet we were forbidden
From talking about it, I guess till Donald Trump was out of office
I mean, I think there’s really two stories here. One is Chinese culpability, you know in in the spread of the virus
The other one is the media story. Why were we not allowed to have this discussion? Why did the media?
Brand anybody who discussed this leak theory as being some sort of conspiracy theorist or a racist
Why were big tech companies censoring or removing any user-generated content from their sites that were putting forward this theory?
You know, why was the media and big tech doing this?
I mean is it somehow I can I can tell you but but somehow they were telling us it was more racist
To talk about a lab accident then to David because the person who could have explained it in a de-escalated factual way
Chose to escalate it and be emotional and superficial and that was Donald Trump
And so I I don’t I don’t think that you could point to us and say we could have changed how the narrative is
Exploited all of us are just normal average people on the ground
but there probably is
Sort of you know a hierarchy of like information and there probably isn’t a single individual
individual beyond the president that who has access to more information and
So if he was if he was just more moderate and normal and basically said hey guys
there is a legitimate risk that we need to investigate because
Fast forward basically 18 months later and this president who is moderate you can like him or not like him
But he’s kind of moderate and unoffensive
Says basically that and now we have this news cycle about investigating something
We should have been investigating 18 months ago. Just at least to get to the bottom of it
What was going on but Trump had to make it such a big deal and about himself and I think that’s a takeaway
But just because Trump says something doesn’t mean it’s not true
I mean, he is occasionally gonna say things that are true. And that’s not what my point is
My point is the president of the United States. You just have to have more discipline
Well, but but I think you’re right in the sense that the reason this became a forbidden topic is because the media had to act
Like anything Trump said is is untrue or crazy or race. It’s a failure on both sides then David
I mean the the media is failing to be independent critical thinkers and
Trump is failing to be a good leader and be clear and that means you have to be an independent critical thinker
The media’s first obligation here is to the truth
They’re not supposed to distort the truth or push forward a false narrative because of the political
Consequences and and that they didn’t want to be seen as helping Trump in any way and that’s really what their motivation was
But I find it equally disturbing that big tech was censoring the truth on this issue
The whole point of having a free marketplace of ideas is so that we can arrive at the truth
And how’s that gonna be possible when big censoring? I really disagree with you
I think that the the big text decision to censor this information was a
Was a derivative of the first two things like I don’t think that decision would have happened had Trump been normal and
Then you know
Media would have just listened and said, okay, maybe there’s a chance this guy’s right. He’s saying and acting in a normal way
Let’s go investigate and then big tech would have basically said we don’t know the truth one way or the other but it seems
Legitimate sane people are on both sides. So it says Donald Trump published mean tweets
It was okay for big tech or rather the media to basically
Portray the correct theory as a lie and a conspiracy and it was okay for big tech to engage in censorship on that basis
What I’m saying is the following the president of the United States
Independent and whoever it is has a very specific
responsibility to be measured to be unemotional and
To be about the bigger picture. That’s what the president of the United States is
responsibility is no matter who holds the office and
Then the media’s job is to fact-check that and hold that person accountable and cold that person in a transparent manner
Freeberg yes or no. Is it a viable theory and then let’s get to odds and percentages
I mean as a scientist
Do you think that this is because came from a wet market or some accidental exposure or somebody eating bad or some cross
Contamination a bat and a pig and then somebody eats the pig or do you think somebody from the lot from the lab?
Accidentally brought it home with them
Don’t know doesn’t matter. I feel like we need to kind of recognize that bio
warfare
bioterrorism is
A real risk and I think more importantly that this moment whether or not it’s proven it will never be proven or disproven one way
Or the other so it really doesn’t matter
What will ultimately happen is we are going to kind of become much more cognizant of these sorts of threats
To the human population. Let me be very specific a
kid in high school
Could write up some RNA code
Today on their computer
Order that RNA to be delivered to them by what’s called an oligo printing facility get this RNA boot it up turn it into a
Virus and they could release that thing into the wild
There are several very cheap over-the-counter internet based ways that one could do this
So the fact that there’s some sophisticated government run lab doing this. I don’t think matters as much what’s really compelling
In this whole storyline is like holy shit. This is possible
It’s possible that there’s either an engineered or discovered virus and it shows just how if these things leak out and they are infectious and they
Are transmissible can become a real risk to the global population and it’s not just viruses
There are other mechanisms of bio warfare that can be printed and created
using similar techniques of genomics
There are proteins called prions and prions cause other proteins to fold in a mismatched way
This is actually what mad cow disease is it’s a prion
So it’s a protein that you find in the brain
And if you eat this particular protein ends up in your brain
It causes the other proteins in your brain that match that protein to misfold and it basically
Replicates and creates this cascading effect. So basically like aliens like aliens and in fact
Yeah, but I guess my point is like whether it’s prions or or viruses
There are techniques and there are capabilities and instruments now that all humans have access to
That theoretically could allow for the booting or the creation and the distribution of
truly terrifying
tools
biological tools
Now this comes hand-in-hand with the incredible optimism and opportunity that these tools present much like chemical engineering
Presented in the early 20th century to humanity
We could create things like DDT and kill ourselves or we could create things like artificial fertilizer and feed ourselves
And so there’s this this tremendous as there is with any new technology
This tremendous kind of optimism and fear and it’s gonna create I think a very powerful debate narrative over the coming decade
On what do we do with these tools? Is it even possible to regulate them?
Where is this gonna go? And and what are the risk and it’s not necessarily just government agencies that we need to kind of be
Considering here. It’s the fact that there’s a democratization of this tooling which is enabling
Does it sacks does it matter if it was leaked or not Freeberg is saying it doesn’t matter a big picture, of course
Of course it matters. And and the only reason we don’t know conclusively that it came from a lab is because
The Chinese government wouldn’t let they thwarted the investigation
they wouldn’t let the investigators come in and
so the smoke is pouring out of the Wuhan Institute of Virology and they will not allow the
Firefighters in because those firefighters come from the West
We could establish the truth of what happened if they would let us talk to the scientists who work at that lab if they could
Go, what would you do about it? Let’s say that you find out that it did like yeah
Well at a minute, well, first of all, we’re talking about a virus has killed millions of people’s millions of people across the world. It’s
Caused enormous damage to the economy to our economy to economies all over the world
You know, we have to think through carefully what the consequences would be
But it matters a lot how the Chinese government handled this at a minimum at a minimum
We need to decouple ourselves from China with regard to anything. That’s a vital American interest
We cannot be dependent on them for the manufacturing of our PPE for our antibiotics for our pharmaceuticals. It is insane
So there’s nothing we’re gonna do
We’re not there’s nothing we’re gonna do to China in terms of sanctions if we find out they covered up a leak
If there’s an accidental leak and they covered it up. We’re not
As a it acts more as a warning sign for us to do better and be more independent
It’s a principle of escalation
They are still the critical supplier to most of American manufacturing and industry
Every product that American companies make most products have some sort of Chinese produced input
And I would start I would start with I think the measured response that’s also in our national interest is to reassure
Any critical components that we need for our pharmaceutical industry?
So drug manufacturing and the manufacturing sanctioning China, it’s about getting our act together Chamath
Do you agree with this?
And what do you think if we did find out that it was in fact a covered up leak, which I think is the most
reasonable
Assumption here. What should we do as America as a country global?
Reaction to China. I agree with Friedberg and David Sachs in in
parts
There’s nothing to do I think we have to move on
I think it’s important to get to the bottom of it
It’ll maybe help eliminate some of the politicizing of science that we’ve seen as a result of this thing
But ultimately what’s done is done
instead what I think we have to learn from it is you can’t elect hotheads and
people who are unpredictable and unreliable to basically be our
Truth tellers and fact tellers and
If anybody but Donald Trump was the president of the United States in that moment
We probably could have had a chance of getting to the bottom of it when it counted and whether you support him or not
It doesn’t matter the style
Made it impossible for anybody to really listen that to me is the most important takeaway of that moment
Which is he does have a responsibility above everybody else’s the second thing is I think this is the most important
macro investing theme that I’ve seen in my lifetime, which is that globalization as we know it is over and
What saxapoo just said is what I really believe which is that?
You have to onshore and you have to move to a place where you value
Resiliency over just in time and if you look at the businesses that get that need to get built
in order to enable resiliency
you will see
Trillions of dollars of opportunity and I really really believe in that and that’s that’s very exciting to me. So instead of great
Yeah, instead of being anti China, which I don’t think is productive
I think it’s better to be pro-america and say hey, let’s just figure out how to build this stuff ourselves
Now, here’s the problem though when the rubber meets the road
the biggest impediment to onshoring jobs into the United States are the same people on the left who actually
Claim that there is no upward mobility and here’s why
When you go and you want to basically balkanized supply chains
You are introducing inefficiency
You’re also introducing some puts and takes in areas that today have been like third rail issues. For example
The people on the left believe in climate change more than anybody else
But when you explain to them that in order to eliminate hydrocarbons, you actually have to mine critical minerals and metals out of the ground
They’re the same people that say no way
Well, you can’t have one without the other and you actually have to have a rational conversation and realize like listen
We’re gonna have to do this. And so for example, like Biden this past week somewhat capitulated for
Environmental interest and said, you know what? Yes climate change is critical, but we’re gonna try to get them from everywhere else
But America it’s not gonna work
so
That’s kind of where like I’m a little frustrated
But those are my two takeaways. Number one is past
Let’s just get past China and let’s just focus on the United States and number two is
Globalization as we know it is done and we need to focus on resiliency. Did you guys read the Wall Street Journal piece on?
the miners who in
2012 were the ones who
You know, we’re clearing
Essentially bat-dung back. Yeah. Yeah, and so this this is a really fascinating
Turn of events that we’re starting to know what this lab was doing. If you didn’t see the Wall Street Journal story
We’ll put it in the show notes
Yeah
We’ll put the show notes but in April 2012 six miners fell sick with a mysterious illness after entering the mine to clear a bat
Guano, I guess is what?
That poop which is supposed to be a primary source of fertilizer worldwide. Yeah, so three of them died
Chinese scientists from the Wuhan Institute of Virology were called in to investigate
After taking samples from bats in the mine identified several new coronaviruses now unanswered questions about the miners illness the viruses
Found at the site and the research done with them have elevated into the mainstream an idea once dismissed as a conspiracy theory that SARS
Cove to the virus that causes COVID-19 might have leaked from the lab in Wuhan
I mean, this is just becoming more and more obvious
My my gut tells me that our government already knows this has known it for some time the 90-day
Sort of window that they’ve given the Chinese to kind of give us an answer as to what happened here is
Window dressing and then we’re gonna start the process of becoming more independent from China because there’s I mean, it’s nothing you could do
I mean, how could we retaliate for an accident? We’re not gonna get in a war over this
No one’s suggesting that but I think we have to open our eyes to
The regime that we’re dealing with over in China and just to add a layer to this analysis
Novel Cronus
Coronaviruses are not the only thing coming out of Chinese labs. China is also the number one producer of fentanyl
Yes, and that’s another truth that we can finally talk about now that Trump is out of office
People haven’t wanted to talk about it or they thought that you were hysterical or promoting a conspiracy theory if you talked about it
But I just posted two articles in the chat one from Brookings and one from NPR
About how China is the main source of fentanyl that’s pouring into our streets first
It makes a stopover in Mexico and then somehow it gets smuggled into the u.s. This is a huge problem in our cities and
You know, I think this is not this is not accidental, you know, this is
This is deliberate
Yeah, the Chinese your position is the Chinese government is deliberately sending a super opioid drug into the United States
For profit or to destabilize the country and different cities and create more division between the left and the right
because homelessness and wealth inequality is getting mixed up with a super drug as
Opposed to a homeless problem. This is a little this is getting a little long. I know it’s getting crazy
Well, that’s what I’m reflecting back to sack
How’s it a conspiracy theory? We know that China is mass-producing the fentanyl that’s coming into the u.s
We know that that fentanyl is creating a gigantic crisis of drug addiction and homelessness on the streets
We know they could stop it if they wanted to they have total control over that country. What is the conspiracy theory?
Yeah, I don’t know if that’s the equivalent of saying America produces all the world’s cars. It’s not America
There are organizations within the United States that are under the purview
The CCP is hand-picking who gets to run bite dance and ants and they’re retiring CEOs
They get to decide what is produced in that country and who produces it. You’re telling me that
What do you think is going on in the federal government when they say to their counterparts at the Chinese Communist Party?
Hey, we need you guys to stop producing fentanyl. Do you think that conversations happening?
Yeah, it was this was an agenda item during the Trump administration and talks between
Do you have any sense of what the feedback was from China? I mean, what’s the counterpoint?
I don’t know enough
But what is the counterpoint that China would then say like why they can’t stop it or why this is still happening?
I mean my understanding is there are thousands of kind of you know
Call them under regulated factories and facilities in China any number of which this could be
Question it just does China have a fentanyl addiction problem in their streets
We don’t know
And the answer is they round every single person who’s a Hong Kong dissident who would sell a book or if anybody goes to the
That’s fair. Tiananmen
You’re going to jail for five years
They just announced Hong Kong citizens who go to the Tiananmen Square
Memorial this year are getting five years and if you tweet about it, you get one year in jail so they can
They can control anything in their country just to build on your control point
I tweeted this to you guys in the group chat
We can post this as well in the show notes
But there was an article in Forbes this week that said friends don’t let friends become Chinese billionaires
That was the title and the data point that this is an old story. By the way, it’s like eight years old
Just you know, no, no. No, this was written now
That might have been no, I think read the story. I think at the top it says the story is like eight years old
But anyway, it is true that Chinese billionaire Chinese billionaire dies every 40 days
Unnatural deaths have taken the lives of 72 mainland billionaires over the past eight years 15 were murdered
It’s the Wild West over there man
17 committed suicide 7 died from accidents in 19 accidents and 14 were executed suicide accidents
But they execute the 14 for can you imagine 14 billionaires just get executed? Is that story real?
What is that story from tomorrow? I mean, well this this may be is a good segue into coinbase fact-check, but this is
All
Right India versus what’s up? Well, I’ll give you the rundown on the India thing
So basically, you know there there is a right to you know, free speech effectively in the Indian Constitution
But then India passed the law as effectively. I’ll just I’ll just
summarize it as traceability
which basically means that if you have an online network and you post something in the network if an Indian sensor or an Indian regulator or
Authority basically says hey, hold on. This is an issue. They have the right to basically have this the the network or whoever owns that network
Trace it down to its originating source. Now. That’s a really important distinction because there are certain products
So for example, take whatsapp where a feature of the product is end-to-end encryption, right?
so it’s hopping around in ways that are very difficult and near to impossible for anybody to really figure out and
Now all of a sudden that that that element which used to be a feature is
Now a bug because if the Indian government says hey, hold on that statement. I have an issue with I need you to figure out
Who said that?
They’ll essentially have to undo all their end-to-end encryption to figure out. So then whatsapp filed a
court case in New Delhi
This week essentially I think asking for an injunction. And so I think this is going to go to a head
But you have this now
State of affairs, which I think is really interesting, which is so
You know, we we talk about how we have an issue with Chinese censors
Well now here’s a different more complicated example because this is the largest democracy in the world and what they were effectively saying is
We need to have an equivalent
red button and a set of levers so that we can figure out what’s going on when we choose and
There’s going to be a lot of implications because inside of India what’s different than America as a democracy is it has lower
Average incomes it has lower health. It has lower literacy rates. It has more
religious sort of tension
And it’s got you know
Many many more young people who are more prone theoretically to get you know
bamboozled by
Misinformation and disinformation and so, you know India sees those facts on the ground and probably wrote this law with those intentions in mind
Right and it’s had a bunch of these issues by the way
Particularly between Muslims and Hindus and so what do you do, you know, what is Facebook and whatsapp supposed to do?
What is Google supposed to do?
What does it mean for internet rights? I think it’s a super super complicated problem. And do you prioritize?
misinformation and disinformation above
The right for people’s privacy and you’re gonna see it unfold in the largest democracy in the world over the next couple months
I don’t really know how I feel about it to be honest
Except I do think that Indian government has a right to set the rules of their own country
Well and set the rules they are I mean remember they also banned tik-tok in an instance and hundreds of other apps
I think 60 apps from China have been banned permanently in
India so India obviously has a different approach to China, which is we’re gonna put our foot down now
Of course, they’re involved in some skirmishes on their border. But yeah, it does seem sacks. What do you what’s your thought you have?
Personal right to privacy end-to-end encryption and then you have you know, the ability to run backdoor a backdoor to it
Yeah, this is another
major
Sledgehammer to globalization, you know in the in the mid to late 90s
We had this beautiful dream that we’re gonna create a single Internet for the whole world
it would create a single common market a single place for people to interact and go and that all of these
Barriers these geographic barriers tribal barriers would come down over time
And now what we see is the trade barriers have come up and now instead of having one Internet for the whole world
It’s fragmenting into a bunch of different Internets governed by local laws
You know, it started with the the great firewall of China creating sort of a separate Chinese Internet
now you’re starting to see country-by-country regulations and I just think it’s it’s sort of an inevitable reaction that
the power of governments and sovereignties comes before the power of corporations and they’re
reimposing their will and I think the question for all these companies is going to be where they decide they’re willing to play and
You know
I think
now I do think it’s a very different choice whether you want to play in India or whether you want to play in China because
In China when the government tells you to hand over information on dissidents you really are
Aiding and abetting what could be political oppression whereas India being a democracy
I don’t think the choice is quite the same at all
and so, you know
I do think these tech companies are gonna have to decide which countries they want to sort of play ball with and
Ultimately, I think they probably have to make a determination
Based on working with the Democratic ones and they’re probably gonna have to exit the ones that engage in political repression in my first of all
I think that’s really well said what you said in my in my annual letter last year
I kind of wrote like here’s the white paper on how to dismantle big tech and there were two frames one was around
Taxation which we’re also seeing but the second was on this regulator regulatory point David that you’re bringing up
That’s the simplest way to sort of break these companies down
Which is if you have to engineer now instead of one monolithic codebase
Multiple instantiations where you can’t even get the leverage of like, you know cross-border data centers
I mean, by the way, there there’s a really interesting thing that the Biden tax bill also proposes on this dimension, right?
It’s gonna prevent you from sending IP, you know into places like
Like Ireland and keeping it there, right? So you can’t have all of a sudden, you know code
That’s running in Ireland that executes something that makes money so that you can pay Irish tax versus something code that runs in America
That’s largely, you know user oriented that’s not gonna happen. That’s not gonna be allowed anymore, right?
So all of these things are happening at the same time essentially to reign
Big tech in making it almost a whack-a-mole problem inside these companies where you’re fighting a tax thing
For example, Google’s fighting antitrust in France
Then you’re fighting antitrust at the EU level then you’re fighting, you know traceability and encryption in India
Then you’re fighting, you know inversion of an IP in America
Wow, like it’s like all of a sudden the lawyers inside of these companies will outnumber the engineers
And I think a lot of this is the downstream
Consequences of what happened back in January when Twitter and all the other big tech companies deplatformed Trump
Remember at the time it wasn’t just you know conservatives or in the US who raised alarm bells. It was Angela Merkel in in
Germany it was the finance minister in France. I think India, you know
Talked about it. I think Modi had a statement about it
They all woke up and said whoa a head of state can be deep platformed by Jack Dorsey
He’s more powerful than the president of United States and countries all around the world started looking at the power of big tech and realize
That they’re subordinate to all these tech billionaires and oligarchs. Tell me about coinbase and fact-check. I think this thing is incredible
I mean I have to say by the way the first thing I’ll say about and this is this is the exact opposite of what I
Said the last time Brian Armstrong wrote a memo
This memo is excellent. And if you haven’t had a chance to read it, we’ll put it in the show notes
But Brian’s essay is super I think there have been a couple of CEO memos in the last two months that I think
Honestly should be in the Hall of Fame in the Smithsonian
One is the Toby Lutke memo
that the internal email he wrote and the second one is this one that Brian wrote because I think this this thing is probably one
Of the most important things in my opinion that has been written
By a CEO which has the potential to lead to huge systemic changes
Well, he echoed he echoed a lot of the things we’ve been saying on this pod about going direct
Don’t let the press tell your story go direct get you get the truth out
there basically what the what the blog said is they’re gonna start using the coinbase blog as a forum basically as a
Media publication for for crypto related things and the fact-check part is that when the popular press?
Gets crypto wrong, which they do frequently in coinbase’s view. Coinbase is gonna call them out and correct them
Basically, here’s what he says the increased awareness has been great
Unfortunately, we also see misinformation published frequently as well whether in traditional media social media or by public figures
This doesn’t always come from negative intentions
our business and crypto can be difficult to understand and often people are rushed to post first impressions online making mistakes in the process at
Other times misinformation comes from people publishing their own agenda or from people who have a conflict of interest
This is not unique to our business or industry, of course
So, how should companies respond one turn the other cheek to fight and three publish the truth
I believe there is a reasonable middle ground between these first two options
turning the other cheek and fighting which is to simply publish the truth in a
Way you fight back is you publish the truth. So that to me that’s not a choice
Those are the same thing is you can either remain silent
Take the high road which always results in people believing whatever, you know
Lies are being said or you fight back by telling the truth fact-check approach is not about antagonizing or embarrassing others
That’s Brian Armstrong, but simply sharing what happened through our own channels
It also means sharing the good along with the bad with radical transparency
I I just want to say that I wish him all the success in the world because I think if if if and as this
Works with that which I think it will because
People in the crypto universe are more prone to actually get their own information and do their own diligence
I think the spillover effects to other companies can be really positive. All of this is going to the same place, which is
The intermediate layer of traditional media is basically getting whittled down, right?
There was a there was a different thing that happened in this last few weeks, which was
The Tribune company I think it was
Basically got taken private by some hedge fund and in it
they talked about what has happened in the industry and
the most incredible thing was the amount of revenue that has disappeared from newspapers and
Literally from the tens of billions of dollars to basically single-digit billions today over the last 20 years
which effectively means traditional media’s revenue source is going away and
If then all of a sudden if you take that media
Model away and there are no more economic incentives
Then it stands to reason that the overarching incentives that remain are around reputation
Which is then about facts and so the fact that Coinbase will have a place that says here are the facts and we’re gonna put
It on chain permanently on the record. That’s I think a really powerful idea Andreessen Horowitz, by the way same situation
They’re doing it in venture capital, you know, one of the largest and most prolific and important
sources of
Funding the future. They’re on the record on chain in their own way, right with their own media
And and they’re now helping to tell the stories of other folks through it David Sachs, you know, Sachs has put so much content
In terms of teaching people about the business that he knows really well
But at the same time he’s also been able to write about what he thinks about certain things and then eventually on behalf of his companies
He’ll be able to say things and do things as well. So all of a sudden not all of a sudden
I guess we’ve seen it. But if we had to put a label on this
This is the dismantling of traditional media. It is happening in real time and
It’s accelerating
It turns out, you know as a subject being
Interpreted as you’re being through the New Yorker right now in your story Chamath and I am through my business insider profile
You know all these profiles that they do
They’re interpreting your life when people could just tune into the podcast and hear us talk about it, right?
And it’s like you can go direct to the source and listen to 34 episodes of all-in or you could read
Some interpretation from somebody trying to get page views. Well, here’s my here’s my observation. The thing is that people who create
Artifacts on a real-time basis. So in many ways we have all collectively now started to create a weekly artifact of who we are as people
It leaves very little left over for interpretation
And so then unfortunately what happens is journalists trying to write content have to introduce some form of flourish to stand out
Yeah, because if you’re just repeating something that was said on the podcast or something that we said in a tweet
There’s nothing left to talk about it’s kind of already been said and so that’s what creates boundary conditions for lying
And it’s what creates boundary conditions for mistruths and we’ve seen a handful of reporters back in the day fall
You know fall into that trap. We you know, there was a couple writers in the New York Times that got pinched for lying
It’s gonna be harder and harder to lie
So in many in some ways
I’m actually pretty optimistic that that reputation management and truth will be easier to do in the future when this intermediary layer doesn’t exist
But it’ll take many other companies to do what Coinbase is doing and recent us in this podcast
Us with our tweets and our memos and our posts. I think it’s it’s all in the good positive direction
Yeah, and and and and Armstrong in his in this blog talks about the gel man amnesia effect
Which we’ve talked about on this pod before which is I saw that. Yeah. Yeah, which is great. I love that
Because you know that the gel man amnesia is you read the newspaper about a topic?
You know something about you see that 50% of it is just wrong
Then you turn the page to some other part of the newspaper say, you know world affairs
You don’t know as much about and you just assume it’s true
and we all know that the media is maybe 50% right about everything and so
Yeah, I mean, so this is why we have to hear from experts directly. I think it’s why it’s a decentralization of media
It’s why I think this like heavy-handed
centralized censorship by big tech is so
Offensive and anachronistic is to try and control what everyone can say
Especially when it later turns out that you know, big media gets so many things wrong like the lab leak theory
So it’s it’s this is definitely the way things are headed
I would like to invest some money to basically free Berg a platform to explain science. Well, that’s right here free Berg
tell us about the science of
NBA games and large gatherings in the age of
Vaccination. I’m pretty sure you got COVID this week Jake out. I’m pretty sure I definitely lost my voice at the Knicks games
But I have to say this was pretty stunning
To go to a Knicks game have everybody in the arena show their VACs card to get in. I suppose somebody could
Photocopy one or steal one, you know
It sounds like a lot of work and I don’t know what that if there’s any penalty for doing something like that
But what when you see a full arena Madison Square Garden everybody vaccinated free Berg
Do does it give you any pause as a scientist that this is not a good idea or this is too soon
Or do you think heck? Yes, this is what we should be doing proper risk assessment. Finally
No, we should do what we want to do
Do what you want to do
Way to keep the free bird ratio high that was supposed to be the science segway we’re ready for a monologue
Let’s go free bird. Come on. Let’s go free brag. We’re poking the tiger here Friedberg
Why don’t you tell this is something I thought was incredible am Jen
This week at the end of this week got approval for this really incredible drug that basically targets k-razz mutations
In lung cancer, which has been this body of cancer that has basically been somewhat intractable for a really long time
And these guys have cracked the code. It looks like and now the drug is 18,000 a month, I think but
You know, that’s that’s for insurance to take care of but pretty incredible breakthrough that people are talking a lot about
I don’t know if you if you were tracking it. No, but I
Think that there were several other gene therapies. There were several
Drugs that got approval in the last like month
one of which is this or actually was about two months ago this drug that
It uses targeted car key therapy
Basically, you know, we all have t-cells and
We can edit our own t-cells now using this car key therapy
This is a series of techniques where you basically
Reprogram your t-cells genetically to go after a specific target in your body
And so there are now a whole series of car key therapies that are coming to market that are actually in market
You can go down and go get treatment
Today for several these car key therapies that you know, not too long ago. We’re really difficult to kind of understand
You know being real
They take your t-cells out of your blood, you know
So you go and you get your blood drawn a couple weeks later you come back to the doctor
They’ve taken the t-cells out of your blood. They re-engineer them the way they re-engineer is really interesting
They basically
Use this technique where they zap them with electricity and it gets this gene editing in there and then they get edited and then they put
Those t-cells back into your in your body
It takes about an hour to get them re-injected back into your body and then they do their job and they in many cases are
Being used to target cancer cells. It’s very specific receptors
So now the t-cell has been programmed to go find that cancer cell receptor
They hit the cancer cell receptor bind to it and then eliminate that cancer cell. So essentially in
Plain English you’re putting this super t-cell back on the body
It goes through the blood and then it finds something foreign that shouldn’t be there like a virus or cancer find anything
You want bacteria, whatever you want it to find and it snipes it but yeah what it does
Remember, it’s it’s looking for a specific protein and that protein for example can be expressed only on the surface of specific cancer cells
So if you found certain cancer cells that you have a cancer and we know that there’s a specific
Protein that shows up on the surface of that cancer which is common in many cancers because they all follow very similar kind of
You know mutations you can end up
Targeting that cancer cell and only that cancer cell and your your t-cells go to work and they go and wipe it out
I think the breakthrough this week was in multiple myeloma and thyroid cancer
Yeah, there’s a multiple myeloma one, which was a bluebird bioproduct. Yeah, and then I think it got picked up by
Bristol
Or someone else picked it up. So they basically paid the fee and they run their own good manufacturing practice
Facility where your blood is shipped to them
They do all the gene editing with your own t-cells in this facility and they ship it back to your doctor and it gets re-injected
Back into you. There are
600 car t-cell
Is that what’s called car space t-cell?
Yeah
So car stands for chimeric antigen receptor and that is the little call think about it as like a seeker
That’s on the outside of your t-cell it goes and it finds a specific thing
It’s trying to bind to and so you’re reprogramming your t-cell to have a specific
Receptor and then as soon as it finds that that as soon as that receptor binds to the correct protein that it’s looking for
Boom that that cell that it binds to gets wiped out
are we gonna talk about the crazy media mergers and spin-outs that are happening because
It seems like just in the last 90 days the entire industry is rewiring itself
And it’s kind of a pretty significant set of transactions that are underway
Amazon is buying MGM which owns most importantly James Bond James Bond has done 20 billion dollars in
Adjusted revenue for their movies and you can obviously see many different backstories and television shows around the James Bond
So this is kind of in my mind of that eight or nine billion
They spent six billions on the franchise for James Bond so that Bezos can play James Bond obviously while he returns
If you take a zoom out, you know
Several years ago. You guys may remember, you know early 2000s into the mid, you know
All the telco started freaking out
Because they were sorry all the media companies were freaking out
Because their controlled points of distribution which were network television and then their cable television stations and the movie theaters
We’re getting disintermediated by the internet
So all these internet companies showed up like YouTube and Netflix and we’re going direct to consumer where consumers were not getting access to content
Directly without the control channels that the media companies controlled at the same time
The telcos were freaking out because it turns out people didn’t need cell phones anymore or need phone lines anymore
What they needed was internet access and internet access was quickly commoditizing
So the telcos were like holy crap being in the business of providing internet service not a great business
We need to be making more value per user per year than we’re gonna be able to make charging them for internet access
So the telco started buying up media companies
This is what Verizon and others did and the media companies and AT&T and the media cut
So remember Verizon bought AOL and Yahoo
AT&T bought Time Warner and then the media companies the old-school media companies that were kind of like still
Decided not to sell and to stay on their own
They decided well, we got to go internet
so we got to figure out how to be on the internet and compete in this world where companies like Netflix and Amazon are
going direct to consumers and
You know, they all started building their own internet services
And so now you got Paramount Plus, HBO Max, Hulu
And that you know, Hulu was a big one and meanwhile the tech companies that went direct to consumers
They’re realizing you know, what if these media companies aren’t gonna play ball. We better get our own media
We got to get old content. And so then they started licensing, buying, funding and building their own media companies
And so there’s a total reorientation that’s underway. Now what’s interesting in the last couple weeks is Verizon decided
You know what? We can’t be in the media business
We’re not very good at it and they spun it out and they’re selling AOL, Yahoo
And then meanwhile this really interesting deal is AT&T gave up on owning Time Warner
And so it turns out that the telcos who thought that they could own the media and monetize it
You know what? It’s just a pain in the butt. It’s another business
We can’t really figure out how to add value to our subscriber base with these products. They’re gonna have to exist on their own
We don’t know how to run them because we’re not media guys, and they’re spinning out
So now the telcos, the interesting question to ask is what are they gonna do next?
What’s the next move for them because they got to keep growing
Meanwhile, the tech companies and the media companies are just like this
And there’s 50 subscription services each with their own silo and vulcanization of content
And we’re all gonna have to choose as consumers
Do I want HBO Max or Paramount Plus or you know
The the bundle I get from Comcast and it’s gonna be a nasty battle for the next 10 years
Where you and where you want content you’re gonna have to go pick and choose who do you want to buy content from?
And so yeah, I have a theory
I think consolidation happens when markets don’t matter anymore and are getting commoditized and
What I would say about all of this what it shows me is that we’re now
transferring to the phase of the market where it’s all about cost of capital and
right now the only person that actually understood that was Netflix and
Netflix issued billions of dollars of debt and they’ve started to finance every piece of content under the Sun and
being small and trying to compete against Netflix was not possible and
Now we’re in that part of the market where content is actually not that important because there is an enormous diversity of it
So no one single person can really corner that market
And so then it becomes how much can you make and how cheaply can you make it and their scale matters?
So I can think like what this shows me back to sort of what we talked about before on the other part about like
Facts and truth is this is part of a much broader, you know media puzzle that’s becoming more obvious, which is
traditional outlets that push top-down content is kind of yesterday’s news and
what it’s being replaced by is more and better forms of user-generated content and
Highly commoditized
Unprofessional content and in all of that the economics are going away. So I don’t if you if you if you are not sure
Go and look inside of tick-tock the content that individual people create inside of tick-tock is
unbelievably good and
They are training an entire generation of kids
to consume content
15 seconds 30 seconds at a time
Which has huge implications by the way for how they consume music
So for example, if you guys like look inside a tick-tock and then go to YouTube and look at the most popular videos the same
And same thing with Spotify. It’s 15 second clips now
No, you know these kids want to listen to the hook of a song and then they won’t listen to it
I see how my kids use it and it’s crazy because like they get addicted to a hook on tick-tock
They try to go to YouTube to learn the lyrics
They only want to learn the lyrics for the part that’s in the tick-tock bus it and then they move on a challenge
Yes, whatever it is
And so the the point of all of that is that content costs are going to continue to go down
Which means the economics are going to go down the margins are not that good
And so it’s all just a commodity that almost doesn’t matter. I don’t know about that
I think for the top-tier IP like you can’t displace a Disney
And they are growing portfolio of IP and those things are high margin and you know having 250
I don’t know having 250 to 500,000 500 million people paying you monthly has never existed in the history of humanity
There’s never been a at-scale service like this before the closest was Verizon AT&T when they hit 100 million
I’m not disputing that people won’t pay
999 what I’m disputing is
The denominator of what they’re paying for is increasing so fast that no one piece of content matters Jason
No, the idea we agree with that collections matter, right? So the IP of Marvel Disney
Pixar put together
Right like pick Disney launched this thing with no direct-to-consumer relationships with when they launched Disney Plus
What do they have now 60 million subscribers or something to a hundred now hundred million subscribers, which is incredible
You guys have kids my kids watch this stuff on you
We’ll have it for the rest of our lives over and over they’ll put on friggin Moana
I cannot tell you how many times I’ve watched the seashore scene of Moana. They want to watch the beginning
They want to watch the middle part
It’s just like infinitely reusable content and so Disney’s content library is so powerful for that particular demographic
Basically the demographic of anyone with children that it’s an instant on kind of moment
These other guys like Paramount Plus and you know, HBO’s obviously got some special content
But it shows how much content matters, right?
The quality of the content for the demographic is so key for this to work all these media companies that have kind of a broad
Dithered, you know library of half quality half good kind of content
They’re gonna struggle man, because they’re not gonna feel like they’re ringing a little too much out of it with this too much content production
There is like 50 shows about superheroes. Then there’s like 50 shows that are like, you know
Met a commentary on the superhero show. It’s almost becoming exhausting like how many homeland style shows are there gonna be?
How many Soprano style shows are gonna be Game of Thrones? I’m getting burnt. I think I like your I think you’re making my point
Which is that no one piece of content matters anymore. It’s all yeah
So my big takeaway from Bezos buying MGM and these other, you know, M&A events is
It’s less about the decline of content, even though there are more and more options there ever have been and therefore more competition
And it’s more about the rising power and wealth and influence of big tech
I mean if you look at throughout history
Whoever is buying studios in any given era
They’re the people with the money and power and they’re seeking influence. It was
NBC it was Gulf and Western buying Paramount in the 1970s an oil and gas company or
What happens in the picture so that’s right Sony Sony
Columbia in the 1980s when you had the era of the Rising Sun
So whoever has the money and the power and seeking influence are the ones buying studios
That’s what Bezos is doing right now
but I think this time it is a little bit different in this sense that we’re reaching an end state of digital convergence where the
Where content and the digital distribution are now reaching their kind of final state
And so I don’t expect these studios once they’re owned by big tech to ever go anywhere
And I don’t think they’re gonna be trading again every 10 years. I think this is the end state
Amazon wants this library for their streaming service
And I think that big tech is gonna gobble up the rest of these libraries and that’s where they’re gonna stay
Do you think all media will end up in tech? Yeah, I mean, I think I think I think big tech is gonna eat Hollywood
Look, we’ve been on this this path of convergence now since the mid 90s with the Internet and the question was always
you know, we knew that tech and Hollywood were converging and and
Joining just more and more and the question would be on whose terms
This final merger would take place and I think that big tech now you just look at the market caps
There’s so much bigger than the market caps of these studios that eight billion surrounding era
Running air for Bezos. I mean, it’s one days. It’s one day’s
Revenue or whatever less so obviously big tech is gonna win this battle. They are gonna own Hollywood
except for the few guys that have
Scale to actually be successful like Disney, right Disney maybe HBO to some extent
We’ll see how I mean look Zaslav who runs this guy. He’s an incredible media guy
And he gets it
but they could be like this discovery plus slash HBO plus whatever that combined business ends up looking like
That could be a competitor and their babies like there’s two to three libraries
They’re deep enough and strong enough to compete and stand on their own as a tech kind of platform
But what’s also really interesting is that all the telcos are exiting and what are they gonna become right?
It’s clear. What’s interesting is they’re not they’re not tech companies
Are important, right?
So so here’s the thing with the telcos that the telecom stack is we know that tech is taking over Hollywood
But the question is what part of the tech stack and what’s happened is the part of the tech stack that has the direct
relationship with the audience
Apple Google Amazon who aggregate millions and millions of consumers
They’re the ones who should actually own the content because they are the ones delivering up
The content to the consumer and everybody else who’s lower down in the stack who are just the pipes
They don’t really have a claim on these libraries in this content
The pipes are the pipes are valuable, but they’re a commodity what Elon is doing with Starlink is gonna disrupt them
I’m not saying they’re not valuable, but they’re not in a highly leveraged position to do anything with the content
They’re gonna keep increasing speed in order to keep you paying 30
They realize you know what we cannot we can’t run media businesses and we can’t monetize it
Well, what are they gonna do focus on faster bandwidth get us to gigabit. I mean, it doesn’t matter
I mean like you guys are like you guys are so fucking old like you’re just like talking about yesterday’s news. Nobody cares
This is what I mean
Consolidation in markets like this should tell you it’s time to move on and focus on something else
This is a dead industry with no profit
So Chamath what happens to AT&T and what happens to Verizon over the next 10 years? It doesn’t matter
Well, I agree. I agree with that part that it doesn’t matter what happens to these telcos. They should be dumb pipes again
They’re not in a leveraged position to create value around content
They never should have owned it
But I do think there is major major significance in Amazon and Apple and Google and these other big tech companies owning
Hollywood because they have they’re gonna combine the influence
They already have with the influence of Hollywood and you already have again censorship on these tech platforms
Are they gonna start censoring the type of content the Hollywood produces?
I think these issues are gonna get more and more important over time because so much control
Over our politics and society and culture are being concentrated in the hands of frankly our industry
But this is what I think about the other the other side of that coin is what we talked about before with respect to things
Like Coinbase while that’s happening more and more people who have their own distribution are going direct
So let’s just separate entertainment and facts
From a fact perspective. I think we’re seeing everything sort of become highly decentralized and I think that that’s constructive now
There’ll be services that will be there to help us navigate
But I think that’s what’s happening with respect to entertainment
I just think like it was our generation was the last one that actually even cared about movies
That cared about these tent novelizations that that cared about water cooler type conversations on a Monday morning books novels
Kids will not understand what the hell we’re talking about
They’re like, what do you mean you used to run into work on a Monday?
You think it’s only couldn’t care less really they play
They love video games. Yeah, I mean by the way, they’re obviously like that, you know, the combination of media tech and
They’re just be kind of ultimate manifestation of where it’s all and it’s not just our kids
Just look at the monthly active usage numbers that roblox and epic
Yeah, it’s it’s nuts
And so they are voting every day with their attention and at the end of the day the thing that has never been
Improved is the nut or increases the number of hours in a day such a mock your
Telcos, you know as an investor, I own a bunch of Verizon and AT&T stock if you were running that company
What would you do? I would quit
You might run it for capital and then buy assets. Oh wait, they did that
These businesses have had horrendous capital allocation for decades
And the reason that they were allowed was that they were they were part of a culture of insiders
There were other in where other insiders said that they were important
But as it turned out to individual users who are making usage decisions every day
They were not important at all. And this is what we’re learning that the Emperor has no clothes
So while everybody was, you know looking around themselves saying AT&T is important and hey, you know
Let’s go and like, you know buy all of these crazy old-school media assets
Young people were like I use snapchat and tik-tok and YouTube and I’m done. Thanks. Goodbye. Talk right and who owns those platforms?
I mean, you’re right that professional content is being crowded out to some degree by amateur content
But now the big tech companies own the professional content or the studios for creating them and they own the user-generated
Platforms that lets the amateurs create the content so big tech now owns everything
No
but you’re seeing the next shooter drop because the thing that I think content creators haven’t yet realized and
Social media personalities and influencers haven’t yet realized is how can I own my own distribution and
Monetize my relationship that feature of the web
Will get figured out in our lifetime and that’s what starting to a patreon and then Apple is now
Spotify is doing pay content these people doing stripe accounts direct with their fans. Those people are too old
They’re not gonna figure it out. What I’m saying is there are going to be people who are teenagers today
Right or kids who will be teenagers in a decade 20 somethings?
Who will figure this out for whom the idea that if you’re a Charlie D’Amelio, right?
You’re tick tocks top biggest star with a hundred and twenty odd million followers
That to go through an intermediary to talk to your people will not in the future make any sense and I think David that’s that’s
Where the the next thing will change. I just think it’s unreliable to expect
Laserbeam, mr. Beast Charlie D’Amelio all these people
To go through the no because they have they have such
They could go direct to some of those guys could go direct now that they’re huge
But it’s it’s no different than building a name on the New York Times and then starting your own sub stack
It’s going to happen. Yeah, but you can’t go viral and you can’t get discovered unless you participate
Not an or you can use the platform and you can have a new relationship build scale
You will build scale on a platform and then you’ll go on your own because you’ll want to control and monetize your own relationship
It’s it is what these folks have done meaning like how Kylie Jenner and Kim Kardashian had built incredible scale and wealth
Yeah is effectively through that they build scale through Instagram and Twitter and wherever TV show
Now the only thing that they haven’t done is they’ve monetized it through offline goods
But if somebody figures out how to monetize it through an online relationship
Then what you’re really doing is you’re learning how to build scale in an established platform and then you on ramp to something else
That’s also online and you go from there to think that it won’t get figured out. I think is being nice
It’s being figured out. It’s being figured out right now. The street is figuring out
There’s something called ghost which is like an open-source version of
Substack it is an open-source version of substack and people are building direct relationships and doing their own
Patreon and if you leave substack you get to take your stripe account with you you use your stripe account
So now it’s portable you can go on substack for a year leave and keep all your subscribers
I think this solution will get figured out
Through the crypto community and the reason is because that is by definition to your point Jason
Fundamentally distributed and tied to a payment and a store of value because that’s what effectively this is
It’s like where is the value of somebody’s reputation and right now?
We don’t have a way of measuring it and you can you can put that on chain in some way
I don’t claim to know how but I mean people have talked about this is all these different
I hope I hope that happens
I hope that crypto figures out a way to to create decentralized social networks and all the rest of it
Yet and the only way that mr
Beast or Charlie D’Amelio or any of these people became stars is they went viral on
YouTube or tick-tock or insta they on up on a big tech platform
And so right now the strategy is gonna be doing both you use the big
Power, they have all the power right now because if they deny you access to one of these platform
Oh, you’re talking about cares about Trump
You’re talking about Trump
Trump in their life, but you okay
You’re the one on the on the brain. What are you talking about? We love that. He’s bad. You love he’s bad
What do you want missing? No, I’m not missing it at all
But you want him back or not?
We’re trying to do takeaways on these moves by big tech to buy Hollywood Studios and I’m telling you it’s about who has I
Power money and influence and it’s all good. I’ll go out on a limb and say
We’re we’re it we’re in the sort of the the August of their
Supremacy, so and again, I would just say David if on the one hand
It’s a whack-a-mole problem with governments on taxation and regulation
And on the other hand you have a way where you can have distributed social currency and value
Wow, I mean these big tech companies are getting bombarded on every single side
And I think that’s just a hard place to be one last thing for you guys on a market check
My 10-year break evens remember
We’re now down to 242. It’s been
18 days. What is he talking about?
My little inflation check my little inflation check and seems like things are trending in the right direction
Hmm, the market is back. The market’s back a little there may not be inflation
Well, I think what happened Chamath is you you put it?
Well, I think a couple of pods ago the market sent a signal to Biden that look this is too much
Taxing too much spending. It’s too inflationary
And I don’t know if Biden heard the message but several Democratic senators did breaks and they pumped put on the brakes
They reduce the size of the package. They’re now talking about maybe the capital gains rate going to 25
The infrastructure bill is you know been chopped in half. So I think there’s less inflationary pressure
Coming out of Washington, hopefully
Yeah, what I what I heard last week. I spoke to some folks in Washington. What they said was exactly what you said, David
They’re not gonna at best. They’re gonna get the cap gains
Sorry, no movement on cap gains. They don’t think it can happen at all. So that’s not gonna move
Okay, number one number two is that corporate will go to 25 but not to 28 and then number three
They’re gonna really tighten the IP loophole
Which will prevent American companies from shipping IP to places like Ireland to not pay tax
They’re gonna make it impossible to do things like inversions all this kind of stuff and then scope that down
That’s actually to your point a very very good
outcome for the markets
So this was actually productive if this happens if the infrastructure bill gets I think the Republicans now
They first McConnell said 600 to 800 billion. Now, I think they’re they’re at 900 billion
I think the Democrats started at 2.3 billion now. I think they’re at 1.7
So hopefully it’s being brought down to a more reasonable number. That’s not gonna bust the the budget
1.2 1.3 and everybody will have something but here’s the crazy thing
I mean the US government debt is now at a hundred percent of GDP. We owe our entire economy
It’s pretty crazy. And there’s still other countries that are 1.5 right and double like Japan and others
Biden Biden six trillion dollar budget would increase our budget
Debt our debt from a hundred percent of GDP to 117 percent if he gets his way too much
It’s a World War two level of spending but what is the benefit equivalent to World War two that we’re getting out of this thing?
Well, also, we’re have a surplus in so many states that we’re doing lotteries. Thank you Queen of quinoa Rain Man and the dictator
I’m JC Calacanis. We’ll see you next time on the all-in podcast. Bye. Bye
Just got crazy
We should all just get a room and just have one big you Georgie because they’re all
It’s like this like sexual tension, but they just need to release them
You’re a B