sacks, I am going to give you $1,000 each to the charity of
your choice for every correct answer. Fuck it. 10,000. But you
have to answer you have to answer in real time and you
can’t fuck around. Okay. No stalling. This is this is to any
charity chooses included Tucker Carlson 2024. Okay, let’s go to
give the answers right away. You cannot fucking think about this.
Here we go. 321. First, middle and last name of your children
and their birthdays. Go.
First of all,
time already. No,
okay, go do you know you can beat these out? Nick? Go ahead.
Go. So is January.
No here. What’s the
2008
is
October.
Um,
2010.
And then
little guy, little man.
You’re trying to stop me with a little guy.
He was born October
of 2016.
All right, good.
That was a struggle. I got it. I got there. He got there. That’s
all that matters is he got there. It is. So you’re gonna
give that you’re gonna give 10 grand. Yeah, 10 grand each to
10 grand each. So 30 grand 30 grand to Tucker Carlson for
President DeSantis 2024.
I said charity asshole.
Hey, everybody. Hey, everybody. Welcome to your favorite
podcast, the all in podcast where we talk about the economy,
technology, politics, and, well, basically anything that’s in the
news. With us today, again, the Queen of quinoa himself, David
Friedberg. How are you doing, David? I’m hanging in there
today. All right, people are looking for the dog. Where’s the
dog? Monty? He’s sitting here on the floor. Monty. Come on.
Come here. Come on, Monty. All right. And from a random palace
somewhere in the world. The dictator himself Chamath
Palihapitiya. How you doing? See?
I’m doing great. You know, I got another dog.
While you were in Italy.
I went to the breeder that I got Aki from and she had a three
year old that was not really, you know, ever gonna become a
breeding dog or whatever. So I adopted the three year old. He
has a parasite. So he’s been pooing everywhere, everywhere.
That’s great information for the cold over the all over the
castle, all over the castle. Fantastic. liquid poop, by the
way. But we finally diagnosed it today. And he’s going to the to
the vet to get some liquids and to get the parasite expunged
from his body.
Okay, thank you for that information. I don’t know where
is you? Nobody cares. How you were doing. I thought you were
just gonna say great. I didn’t know we were gonna go straight
to diarrhea.
We got a new dog to you did. It’s awesome. It’s been kind of
a disaster. The kids were like that. We found this like, I
think, you know, golden, that is really calm. You know, like,
she’s just super low energy and calm. It’s like perfect for us.
I’m like, I don’t know. I think that’s just like the puppies
kind of asleep, you know, like, it’s gonna wake up. They’re
like, No, no, no, no, this is like a special dog. It’s like
really well behaved, whatever. So anyway, we get it. Sure
enough, like, a week later, the puppy wakes up. And she’s eating
everything in the house destroying everything. It’s
Yeah, so now we’re
with that dog number two or three for you.
It’s dog two with the dog one was a rescue dog who’s great. So
dog number two is now getting trained.
All right, David Sacks is with us, of course, the Raymond
himself, and in related dog stories, I put all the girls to
bed and then I hear screaming, I get up, I run outside,
literally, the new bulldog who’s nine months old Maximus went on,
you know, one of his running fits, one of my daughters falls
out of bed, gets like a bruise on her, like lower back, and
she’s wailing. The other daughter feels terrible about
it. And then the dog decides that he is going to projectile
vomit everywhere. All at the same time. You guys have had
these moments where like, it’s just complete utter chaos. It’s
chaos, chaos, chaos, it’s cat dogs plus kids equals chaos. So
but would any of us have it any other way? I love the combo of
dogs and kids. It’s just the best. It’s pretty great. It’s
dogs are amazing. Especially when you bring in a new dog or a
puppy into the house. It’s chaos, but it’s a really
beautiful chaos.
Well, you know what I think also is like, think about how
overrated everything in life is people like, Oh my god, this
place with the pasta in Italy, it’s the greatest life changing
thing. And all this movie was incredible. It’s the best movie
ever made. And it’s never the best movie ever made or the best
past ever. It’s great or whatever. But I think kids and
dogs are underrated. universally
have as many kids as you can possibly biologically have and
can economically afford is my one opinion. And the more dogs
the better.
I love dogs. Yeah. All right. I think we should start with the
COVID cases, because this is impacting everything from the
economy, to people’s decisions, touching on people’s freedoms.
And it’s hard to know where to start here. But I think facts
are always a good place to start. Here in the United
States, we had gotten COVID cases, you know, to that 12,000
a day average, it was pretty amazing. And it looked like it
was going to go straight down smooth sailing. And we had had
deaths down at around, I saw some seven day averages, where
we were at 150 200. Now, the weekends are kind of weird, in
terms of reporting, but the seven day average today is at
- In other words, it’s been flat for a month when you do
this. And this is according to the New York Times statistics
and Google, you can search for Google, and you’ll find these
have some great data that they’ll just put right in the
search result. However, cases have gone from this 1215 k a day
average, soaring in just 30 days to 62,000 a day and a seven day
average of 40,000. So we’re basically tripled the number of
cases, cases trail traditionally deaths by something in the
neighborhood of 10 days. I think I’m correct, Friedberg.
So what do you think is actually going to happen here? We’re
going to we’re going to get up to 10 100,000 200,000 cases a
day, and maybe double the number of deaths from the people who
are not vaccinated? Yeah, you know, the current logic on this
is that there will be because of the number of people that are
generally infected and are spreading what is now an even
more infectious variant of COVID. The people that are not
vaccinated are starting to get it at a higher rate. And that’s
where the deaths are starting to come from. So yeah, we will see
deaths climb. And I think like we talked about last time, we’re
starting to see even Gavin did an interview yesterday in
California talking about how, you know, there it’s on the
table that we may go back to certain restrictions, behavioral
restrictions, mask mandates, etc. So there’s going to be a
set of reactions. And I think as we talked about last time, we
saw the market start to react to the potential of that on Monday.
And then very interestingly, kind of reverse course, Tuesday
and everything came back when everyone was freaked out on
Monday after they saw the weekend’s data, which showed
that cases are climbing like crazy in the US. But I think the
conventional wisdom is not that many people are going to die.
Therefore, we’re not going to see, you know, political
leaders, force restrictions that are kind of going to damage the
economy. And we’re going to start to walk what I think
Israel’s calling the golden line, which is balancing the
economy with the the health of the citizenry. So. So, you
know, we’ll see, it’s going to come down to policy. But I think
from a desk perspective, there will absolutely be a rise in
deaths now as unvaccinated people are the going to be the
bulk of those deaths. And, and this thing is spreading again
amongst people that haven’t been vaccinated.
Well, and then sacks, this becomes now a great Rorschach
test of what do you see in this data? And in this moment,
because it’s a pandemic, as many people are saying, now, I think
this is becoming the meme or the catchphrase, it’s a pandemic of
the unvaccinated. So people have chosen to opt into this
pandemic, and then a group of us have chosen to not be part of
it, you were part of it, even as a vaccinated person, but you’re
feeling great. You’re back to 100%. So what do you think
should happen in terms of closings, or shutdowns, or mask
mandates? What’s your take on the pandemic of the
unvaccinated?
Well, I think we need to differentiate between public
policy and private behavior. So, you know, after last week’s
episode, where I said, you know, Delta variants real, there’s
gonna be a huge spike in cases. Unfortunately, I thought we had
this thing whipped, you know, a few weeks ago, now, I think the
data is showing something different. You know, everyone,
there’s a lot of commenters saying, sacks, you’ve turned,
you’ve been blue pilled. No, it’s, you know, I think there’s
a difference between acknowledging what’s going on,
and then having the the policy conversation around it. I think
the difference now from last year, I mean, there’s a couple
of things. One is that we do have vaccines. So I think for
most people getting vaccinated will take the worst risks off
the table. The other is we know so much more about what works
and what doesn’t work. And so lockdowns don’t work. If you
know, if they ever did, they, they, they, we now know, looking
at from what different states did last year, that they don’t
make a difference. So there’s no reason to go back to that
policy. But also, I mean, I would even say on mass, it
should be
well, do we know that? I mean, is that I think so sure of that?
Yeah, I think so. Because the thing that the government
planners never take into account is that private citizens are
going to adjust their behavior in both directions. So in
Florida, they didn’t have mandates, but people who are at
risk took, you know, extreme precautions, they would either
lock themselves down or be very fastidious about wearing a high
quality mask. By contrast, in California, we had the most
severe lockdowns, but they were never really feasible. So
there’s 10 pages of exceptions, people didn’t really abide by
them. And then on top of it, you know, you have all these mass
mandates. But if somebody wears like a sock, loosely affixed to
their face, does that really protect them? You know, so, you
know, people, if they’re, if they’re not interested in
complying with these mandates, they do it in a half hearted
way. I’m not convinced that the mandates work in the first
place. So the smart thing to do here is just to have
recommendations and let private citizens decide what their
response is going to be. We know now so much more about the risks
that we all face than we did a year ago. And so just let
private citizens decide. I mean, I’d even say on on
vaccines, I mean, look, I’m pro vax, I don’t really understand
where the anti vax people are coming from. But I’m kind of
done wasting my breath trying to convince people to get
vaccinated. You know, on this show, who don’t want to get
vaccinated, you know, if they don’t want to send those doses
to the developing world, where they’re desperate for them.
Let me ask you, Chamath, do you do you agree with saxes
position that listen, citizens are just going to have to make
their own decision here, leave everything open. And let’s not
have the economy collapse again. And people, people are
smart enough to make their own decision. And is this framing of
this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated, the correct
framing? Wow, I’m really of two minds. There’s there’s the part
of me that says that you have to give people the right to make
their own decision. The problem is that in this specific case,
there’s so much transmissibility. And as a
result of that, how this thing can mutate, that I think that
public health has to take a priority over any individual
individuals rights in this very specific narrow, narrow case,
because the delta variant is so transmission, transmissible,
people are going to have to lose some freedoms is one of those
showing a vaccine card when you go to an arena that you wouldn’t
need that if everybody was vaccinated, or you had to go
through a lot of hoops to be unvaccinated as an example. I
mean, and the reason is because the longer you allow this thing
to float around in the Petri dish of the unvaccinated, you’re
increasing everybody’s risk. And this is where I think individual
freedoms as long as as a trample on collective freedom, then I
think live and let live. But I think on this specific issue, I
think that it’s it’s it’s unconscionable to be in a
situation where we are fighting basically a time function, where
at a certain amount of time, you’re going to have a variant
that that is, you know, basically will overcome all the
vaccines we have will kill enormous numbers of people,
including the vaccinated will literally shut the economy down.
And that’s a probabilistic event now. And I don’t like the fact
that I’m susceptible to that because of a bunch of people who
frankly, aren’t doing it for medical or religious reasons.
They’re just watching Fox News and just spouting off.
I agree that we’re at risk there. But we’re also at risk
from accident and vaccinated people in the rest of the world.
So Delta variant came from India, the lambda variant, I
think the wrong came from Peru. I mean, the fact of the matter
is unvaccinated people everywhere are potential Petri
dish for the virus. So I’d rather I mean, this is why we
need to send those unused doses that by the way, are at risk of
expiring. We now I mean, there was a tweet about this recently,
there’s huge stockpiles of vaccine in the US are going to
waste right now. We should ship those anywhere in the world that
people are ready to get back
specifically to Mexico and Canada and Canada’s I think this
month going to even though we got off to a massive headstart
going to eclipse us in terms of the percentage of accident, let
me ask it more pointedly, should a teacher should teachers
be public school teachers be forced to be vaccinated? Should
you be forced to have a vaccine card to get on public
transportation, airplanes, or, you know, take buses, you know,
long haul buses, long haul trains. And then third, should
you be forced to show a vaccine card to get on to go to sporting
events or concerts, let’s go through those three. So your
personal freedom ends, you’re going to be forced if you want
to go to group behaviors, if you want to participate in a public
construct, if you want to consume a public resource, or if
you want to provide a publicly funded good, then it’s the
broader public’s rights that are superior to your individual
rights. Otherwise, work at a charter school where it’s not
required, watch the fucking concert from home, or drive your
car, use a bicycle or take an Uber.
The end. So what do you think? And then Freeberg?
So I understand that argument, I would differentiate between
public and private requirements, because I don’t like the idea of
giving government the power to forcibly stick a needle in your
arm. So
what you’re not said you could stay home where you could take
your bicycle. Sure. So is that a reasonable that you don’t get to
go to a Warriors game because you’re unvaccinated?
Yeah, I think you know, the Warriors stadium is privately
owned, the team is private. So I think the I think that private
companies should be able to set up their own rules for the
benefit of their employees and
customers about airlines, because that is, you know, a
gate. It’s, there’s a limited number of them. Yeah, I think
so. Airlines should be able to force it. Now, what about school
teachers?
Should they can’t they can’t force it, but they can set the
requirements for you to board their planes.
You know, okay, now, what about public schools? Should, if
let’s do teachers and students? Should teachers be forced to get
a vaccine if they want to come in? Because you said if they
don’t come to work in the fall on a couple episodes back,
you’re fired?
Why when they want to get a vaccine, the whole debate with
the teachers unions was that they wanted to be at the front
of the line for vaccines, which isn’t an issue anymore, because
we have so many. So I don’t think that’s a serious issue.
Now requiring the kids to get vaccinated is that that would be
the real policy question. And
well, let’s tackle both. Should teachers be forced to get the
vaccine? Yes or no,
you just kind of brushed over? Yeah, you’ve had to force a
force. No, I mean, I think it’s important to just to just, you
know, pinpoint this, like, forcing teachers to get
vaccinated in order to, you know, work at the school. I just
want to highlight the precedent it sets, right, which is, you
know, you just said you don’t want the government to tell
people that they have to go get a shot in their arm. If someone
has a personal choice, that they don’t want to get that
shot. Does that mean then that they, you know, should lose
their job as a public servant?
Well, no, I mean, no, I’m saying that, look, I think that
deal, but like, if there’s one or two teachers that say, you
know what, it is a big deal to me, I have a different I have a
set of reasons why I don’t want to
get shot. I think those teachers, that’s an assumption
of risk. I mean, if they’ve decided they’re going to assume
the risk, then you know, don’t come crying to us when they get
sick. Well, the
argument is that was your choice, the vector of exposure,
right, that they could potentially Petri dishes as
they could be that they could they could be the vector that
gets kids sick.
In all of these situations, there’s an always a very obvious
and justifiable exemption for religious and medical reasons to
not be vaccinated, not just for this, but for anything else. So
I struggle to understand why all of a sudden people who don’t
have a fucking clue about science are all of a sudden,
these armchair scientists who can judge whether or not a
vaccine is appropriate for them, where they probably already
gave vaccines of all other kinds to their kids and themselves.
They probably take all other kinds of advice from doctors.
But on this one specific issue, they narrowly say, you know
what, I’m an expert enough, because I’m watching this
television show, I’ve made a decision that to me makes no
sense.
Yeah, look, I actually agree with you. I’m in the camp of
that everybody barring some, you know, highly specific medical
condition that renders you ineligible should be getting
vaccinated. So I agree with you about what the right answer is.
But I do think that when it comes to government, it’s it’s a
more complicated question about how much power you give to
government to force people to engage in, you know, behavior
they don’t want to engage in.
Can you
these are real question private organizations are different,
we’ll agree on private organizations, but we do have to
make some decisions on public transportation. And we do have
to make decisions about teachers, and we’re going to
have to make decisions on students. So could you bench the
teachers who or otherwise penalize them who are not
vaccinated? You know, there are sometimes where you know, a cop
or a teacher is put in a, you know, not in the classroom, not
on the beat for whatever reasons, sometimes disciplinary,
but for other reasons, could you just say, Listen, if you’re not
going to get vaccinated, you’re going to not be in the classroom,
you’re not going to you’ll be a remote teacher, and we’re just
going to create two classes here.
I don’t think I don’t think there are many teachers who
don’t want to get vaccinated. But but I look, I think the
virus is everywhere. Now, it’s just endemic. And so to single
out like one particular group and say, you’re gonna put you
down on your opinion. So you’re saying teachers should not be
forced.
I’m saying that, I mean, if they work at a private school, the
private school could definitely require it.
We’re talking about public only. Now we all agree on private.
Look, I think it’s a really down on it. Yeah,
I think it’s a really complicated question. Because I
think there are clear public health benefits to everyone
getting vaccinated by also don’t really like empowering
government to force you. Because, look, it’s like
everything else, the government may be right in this particular
case, but what else is it going to do with that power? And you
know, I don’t like giving government that power. So look,
it’s a complicated question. I don’t you know, it’s not. I
would, I would probably err on the side of not letting
government force people to do it. But But But look, I think
it’s a close call. I do think it’s a close call.
Chamath forced the teachers to get vaccinated or not.
Yes. And the reason is because these kids are already being
left behind, even when school is functioning normally. And you
can see it in the test scores, you can see it in our readiness,
you can see it in our ability to actually do the jobs that are
required. We are not doing what we need to do as it is in the
absence of a pandemic. And now you introduce a reason for folks
to basically check out and not appear. What do you guys guess
how many years were lost in these 15 months when kids were
at home? I would say not 15 months. No, it’s more. Two
years, two and a half years, three years.
Depending on what grade they are. What did the Did your kids
miss graduation? Did they miss senior prom? Did they miss their
SATs? I mean, what did they miss in terms of
Yeah, I mean, Chamath Chamath is a good point, which is that if
that that when government is the employer, requiring it on their
employees, because it leads to better outcomes for that
institution, that is a little different than government just
mandating that you Jason Kalkan as private citizen have to go
get a shot in your arm, right? I mean, so there is a slight
difference there, like military, for instance, right? The
military probably wants to vaccinate everybody, so that if
they need to be ready for a combat situation, they’re not
like, you know, incapacitated by an outbreak of COVID. Right. So
I can, I think they’re, you know, we’re getting into shades
of gray here from a public policy perspective. You know, I
don’t want teachers missing school because, you know, for
weeks at a time because they didn’t do the obvious thing
getting the COVID vaccine. So look, I think there are some
really good public policy arguments there. But I think
again, the, the one place where I’d say government is clearly
overstepping is if they just said, Listen, you private
citizen, not an employee of the government has to go get
vaccinated. As much as I would like everyone to get vaccinated.
I don’t want to give government that kind of power.
President Biden could legally require military members to get
vaccinated. But so far, he has declined to do so July 9, New
York Times. Friedberg, where do you stand on this? Chamath says
he’s all in your teacher, you get vaccinated at the end. sax
is kind of close, but is a little concerned. What do you
say, Friedberg?
I mean, another way to frame it is that there’s a new
qualification for a job, like, you know, there’s qualification
to be in the military, you have to have certain physical
capabilities. Jason, I don’t know if you would qualify. I
don’t think I would. I don’t think I can be like,
for totally different reasons. Your inability to fight or throw
a punch would be no, maybe J Cal could eat the enemy. I would be
great in the military. I’m
he’d be like Clemenza. He’d be cooking the meatballs or
something.
Joker. Private.
There’s the I think the reason there’s sensitivity to it is
because there are existing teachers in jobs. And then
you’re telling them that in order to keep your job, you have
to go get a vaccine. Now, exactly. If we were to have zero
teachers today, and we were starting a public school system
from scratch. And you said here’s one of the qualifying
criteria to be a school teacher, you have to have an education
degree, you have to have maybe a master’s degree in education,
you have to have appropriate qualifications and training and
certification. Oh, and by the way, you also have to have a
vaccine. If that becomes a criteria, I think people find it
less offensive. It’s the fact that we are now saying that
there are people that are being told that you have to go get a
shot in order to keep your job. And that’s the complicating
thing that I think people are trying to wade through. I don’t
have I don’t think that if you were to say like, look, it’s
obvious that the qualifying criteria to be in the military
is you have to be able to run and do push ups or whatever the
criteria might be. But if you impose that on people that were
already in the military, and then you’re going to kick a
bunch of them out, people would be up in arms about it.
If you had a BMI requirement,
yeah. And that’s the concern I think that arises with, you
know, imposing these kind of, you know, personal body
criteria, upon, you know, specific jobs when people are
already employed in that job. And it’s there’s, there’s
absolutely no answer, right? Like, if you’re going to do it,
you’re gonna have incredible backlash and trouble and pain.
And if you were to, and we’re not in a circumstance where we
can build these organizations and these institutions from
scratch,
look, there’s a lot of social issues where, you know,
particularly on the liberal side, people do not want the
government prohibiting them from getting certain medical
procedures, right? Well, you know, I’d say it’s even more
invasive talking about people transitioning, or, you know, or
the issue of abortion, you know, very hot button social
issues where people are saying, the government should not have
the right to legislate. What happens with what happens with
all treatments? Yeah, what happens with my body, right?
Well, force it, you know, giving government the power to
forcibly inject you with something is, you know, that is
that is invasive. And so I do think there are like rights
implications to that.
But I want to be very clear. If you want the services that are
offered to you by the collective whole, if you want to consume
and be a net drag on the resources that we share, then
you need to sign up for the compact that we all sign up for
that’s, that’s my overarching argument. The thing with
abortion where I’m on the other side of the issue, just to be
very clear is like, it is a woman’s body. I don’t think I
have any right to dictate what she does. I don’t understand
what she goes through. I don’t understand what situation she’s
in. I don’t think I have the judgment to do that. It shouldn’t
have an impact on the collective and her decision to carry or not
carry a baby doesn’t theoretically come with a
probabilistic chance that I may die. It does not. Right. But
when you choose to not get vaccinated to a highly
transmissible respiratory disease that could kill me or
mutate, yeah, I’m not saying that I have a say. But I do
think I should have a say if you’re then all of a sudden
going to consume the same resources that I consume, where
I’ve signed up to that compact for public health.
Based on all this, here’s where I come to what if we gave
teachers an off ramp, listen, if you you need to be vaccinated to
be in the classroom. If not, you’re going to get a one year
buyout or whatever one month or two months for every year of
service. So if you’ve been with us for 20 years, you can get 20
months of pay. And or you could say if the virus is spreading at
under this rate, in other words, you know, we’ve got under 1% of
the population infected or whatever the the criteria is,
then you can come to work in the classroom. But if this thing is
spreading, you’re out. And that’s it. And there’s an off
ramp here, to David’s point,
unless there’s a narrow, like, look, I do think you can be a
conscientious objector for legitimate reasons. Again, like
we have these very specific definitions for religious or for
health specific reasons that you that you don’t get vaccinated. I
think those should be respected. It’s not that cohort of people
we’re talking about. It’s everybody else that right now
wants to not think for themselves. And as a result, put
everybody else and themselves in danger.
Yeah, I think the most compelling part of your argument
schmoth is that we’re is the health externality, right? That
that that each person’s decision does have an impact on whether
they could be transmitting, you know, multiplicative, contagious
particles. And this is why I was in favor of a mass mandate at
the beginning of the pandemic is, it’s not just an individual
decision, your your choice actually does affect whether
other people get sick. So you know, this is why I do think it
also wasn’t very invasive, correct? sacks. I mean, was your
other point? Yes, exactly. Potentially high benefit for
very low cost. I think we’re but but but the thing that maybe I
didn’t necessarily take into consideration is, you know,
people complied in such a half hearted way. I mean, I do think
the mass makes a difference. If it’s an N 95 quality mask that
you put on correctly, right. But when people just strap a sock to
their face is loosely fitting, and they don’t give a shit. I
mean, does that really make a difference? I mean, I’m very
skeptical. Let me ask you a question, sacks. And then we’ll
go to freeberg. And then we’ll flip to the next topic. If we
were on our third pandemic, or let’s God forbid, a second
pandemic starts a totally different one, you know, Ebola
type or something. And we’re on the fifth variant and people are
dying at a higher rate. Does your calculus change sacks?
Because because the the downsides that the costs of you
know, not not imposing those more restrictive regulations
goes up considerably. I mean, definitely my thinking today is
highly influenced by the fact that that if you’re vaccinated,
you’re call it 95% likely to be taking the most deadly or
serious risks off the table. And so the people who are choosing
not to get vaccinated are essentially assuming the risk,
you know, it’s like, it’s like smoking in a way where, when I
made the movie thing for smoking, Christopher Buckley
told me, you know, he’s the author of the book. And he said,
Look, there’s something uniquely American about defending
people’s right to do something that’s manifestly harmful,
right? The main character, and thank you for smoking as a
spokesman for big tobacco, and he’s engaging in political spin.
But his argument is, look, people have the right to engage
in this behavior, even if it is known to be harmful to them.
Maybe America is the only place in the world where people buy
into arguments like that. But I do. I you know, look, that is
that is, that’s freedom is letting people do stupid
things, you know, and, and so we have to weigh the benefits of
freedom against the against the costs. And
by the way, sorry, can I just say something? Smoking is a
perfect example. Because as you know, there is now a non trivial
amount of law around the liability related to individuals
that enabled secondhand smoke, both the smoker, but also other
things, condo boards, other places where all of a sudden,
you didn’t choose to fucking have, you know, tar and
nicotine, right? bartenders, my dad worked in bars where people
it was a cloud of smoke for 30 years, 30 years, right? They
told him he was essentially a smoker. It’s not it’s not just
the detrimental activity at the time. Remember, we’ve socialized
the cost of treatment for people through public health systems.
And because of that, it’s not just an individual’s choice. If
there is a socialized cost for everyone that’s now got to pay
the price,
but the government is so omnipresent, all of our lives,
there’s always going to be a social cost to any bad choice
people make. And to Tomas point, I mean, everybody uses
government services to some degree. So that alone can’t be
the reason I do agree that the
behavior, David, what about people speeding on highways at
125 miles an hour? Like, it’s illegal.
That’s illegal. But But I think I think your mouth is right that
the smoking example is a good one. Because we do regulate
secondhand smoke, because there’s an externality, there’s
a health externality to everybody else. If you smoke in
a public place. And so we restrict that. But we don’t make
smoking illegal. We don’t stop you from doing it in your own
homes, or in private places. And the argument is, listen, if you
want to do something that’s harmful, primarily to you,
that’s your choice as an American. You know, and I know
people, a lot of people don’t like that. Actually, this is a
this, I posted a tweet that I got
just because an opinion is wrong doesn’t mean it should be
censored. Just because the behavior is harmful doesn’t
mean it should be prohibited. Just because something is
beneficial doesn’t mean it should be required. Right? It’s
a completely reasonable tweet.
Yeah, I thought it was a pretty inoffensive anodyne tweet, just
reminding people that just because, again, something is
positive doesn’t mean you force people to do it. And just
because some behavior is harmful, you don’t you don’t
ban it. I think smoking is a great example of that, right? We
let people engage in behavior that’s harmful to them, because
freedom is a value in and of itself. For this, I was attacked
as a selfish asshole, by, by this other pod. And I really
think
Kara Swisher and Professor Koltakes.
Professor what?
Koltakes, that literally made an index of all of Professor G’s,
you know, takes that Macy’s would be incredible and Amazon
would lose its money and yada yada. He’s kind of obsessed with
you too, Chamath Prof. G. Yeah, who just got a show canceled on
Bloomberg, but they were a little Kara Swisher was called
sacks and asshole.
Well triggered, it was bizarre that they would get so triggered
by this inoffensive tweet. But I think what you see here is an
example of the way that the woke mind thinks, which is
well, hold on, I don’t think Kara’s woke.
Are you kidding me? She’s like, she’s like the Madame du Farge
or the woke revolution. She’s
meeting the Farge.
Madame du Farge was this character in the French
Revolution who had knit the names of the next person to be
guillotined. And she was, you know, one of the leaders of the
sans culottes. No, look, Kara is constantly ginning up the mob to
try and, you know, guillotine some non known non woke person.
I don’t think that that’s true. That’s true. I think she’s kind
of moderate. You’re trying to you’re trying to curry favor
with her. So you don’t know.
No, no, she I mean, she did get it right. You are an asshole. I
mean, you are an asshole. She got that.
You’re not old and failing. Well, you are kind of old. You
looked old.
You look old.
She’s effectively saying we’re all assholes. Because I think
all of us have talked about that.
We’re assholes. I’m an asshole. Yeah, I love it. Own it.
What?
What’s your other choice being a whiner on the sidelines?
What we’ve said on the show is that we have a moral imperative
to get to get back to normal. Do we not? That is what we’ve
said. And for that, she’s basically saying that that is a
let them be COVID position, right? That we are basically we
don’t care if people get sick and die because of COVID. That’s
not true. You know, we just have a
fear. I think we should make people get vaccinated.
Yeah, you’re pretty close to getting people vaccinated. I
asked you, Saks, if there were three more variants, and this
was an acute situation, you said you would force
Oh, look, if we had if we had a variant of COVID, that was as
deadly as Ebola and as transmissible as Delta variant,
it 100% changes the game. There’s no question about
willing to change the government’s ability to put a
shot based on it’s a benefit. Yes, it’s a benefit cost
analysis. And that’s reasonable. But look, I give freedom, a lot
of weight. And part of my calculation is the fact that I
can get vaccinated to take to most likely take the most
serious risks off the table. So while I am impacted to some
degree by other people’s choices, I’m much less impacted
now that we have
but you’re thinking about this, yours, I still have a problem
with the way you’re thinking about this, because you’re
using you’re viewing this as a linear problem. This thing is
transmutating. And so
I know, but there’s still billions of people all over the
world who are unvaccinated, and we’d be better off focusing on
getting them a Marshall Plan for the vaccines, all these unused
doses, we’re wasting our breath in the United States, trying to
get these vaccine hesitant or anti vax people to get
vaccinated.
Did you guys see that? Emmanuel Macron of France, you know,
basically tightened all these restrictions around access to
public places, going into bars and cafes, they basically put
all these rules in place that you have to be vaccinated. And
he did it in a public address on TV. 22 million people watched
it. Yep. And then after he did this, suddenly, the vaccination
signups went up to like 20,000. A minute, they got 4 million
people sign up to get vaccinated. Yep. I mean, in
France, what’s the point of being alive? And then let me
throw a wet blanket on the framing of this on whether all
of this talk about forcing vaccinations even make sense or
is possible. I have been to like three events over the last month
or two, where I was required to be vaccinated. And I literally
just took a photo of this index card that I got from this
person and sent it to them, which I could go make a kinkos
or I could print at home. So like, my point is, I don’t think
that there’s not a great digital system today to enable the level
of restriction that we’re actually talking about. How are
you actually going to know that people go into the Warriors game
are actually vaccinated? How are you actually going to know they
did it at Madison Square Garden, they literally had you pull out
your ID and they match your name to your vax card. And I think
printing out a vax card and faking it if I carry a find
could be a $10,000 fine. And so you would do it like anything
else. If you could, you could make a bogus driver’s license.
It’s not digital, right? There’s no, there’s no kind of
centralized system where we know who’s actually been vaccinated
who’s not. So so much of this is just this like analog paper
trail thing of like, here’s this piece of paper that says I’m
vaccinated. I think that you’re never going to really close the
hole on this thing. Now, you certainly will see the sort of
psychological behavior that they saw in France, which is you just
announce the restrictions, you announce these rules, everyone
or some number of people will sign up. But you know, I’m not
sure this actually ends up becoming this truly enforceable
mechanism of behavior in society over the next, you know, short
while I mean, maybe over time, we digitize all this stuff. But
we’ll see. Yeah. Anyway,
the best the best case scenario is that because Delta is so
transmissible, we get to herd immunity because all the people
who didn’t get vaccinated, just get it and get the natural
antibodies. And hopefully,
we to that because we have 60% of adults in the United States
have had one shot or more, which is why deaths probably aren’t
going up because that’s like 75% and people over 60. I think so
freeberg in your estimation as our science guy, with what we
have, like 30 million people who’ve been infected that we know
of, you got to triple that number, right? Because there’s
people who we don’t know, and then you have 65, you have 60%.
So we got to be in the range of 70% have been exposed or been
vaccinated. So when does it kick in? Or are we experiencing, you
know, herd immunity right now with these low deaths?
We talked about this before, but there are, you know, there’s a
spectrum of infection, right? You’re, you’re, you’re, you can
have viral replication happening in your body, and then your body
clears out the virus before you even know, because you’ve got
enough antibodies to that particular strain of a variant
of a virus before your body even, you know, you start to
feel symptoms. And there are cases where the virus kind of
replicates in an uncontrolled way for a period of time, and
you have incredibly bad symptoms, and you have
inflammation, all the stuff that follows. And so, you know, in
terms of how you measure this stuff, it’s really difficult to
say that you’re going to stop all viral replication by getting
a certain number of people to be to have been exposed, as we’ve
seen, even when you have a broad and diverse antibody pool in
your body, because you’ve been exposed to a vaccine, we are
still seeing that some of these variants can break through for
some period of time, because there’s not enough of the
antibodies that can actually bind to that specific variant.
And so the rate of transmission slows, the rate of severe
infection goes way down, and so on. So it’s not as binary as,
hey, we hit herd immunity, and now we’re done, it seems this
is, you know, as we talked about earlier, and as I think everyone
is coming to terms with, this is going to be an endemic virus.
And that means that it’s going to be circulating in the
population in a modest way, causing sometimes severe,
sometimes, you know, modest outbreaks, for likely a very
long time, no matter how many people get it, no matter how
many people get vaccinated, because you have different
levels, should we ignore it? At what level? Should we just say,
Listen, that is the steady state? How many cases a day? How
many deaths a day? Do you think is the steady state that we
should just say, we just go to work and ignore it?
I am a brutal, cold hearted libertarian on this point. And I
have been since we first talked about this last year, I’ve
always been of the mind that we need to balance the, the follow
on life effect and from the economic fallout associated with
making certain behavioral changes, and restrictions
relative to the actual loss of life, right? So you can never go
I really think this point about zeroism, and this term about
zeroism is an important one, you can never get to zero cases,
what is the acceptable number of cases? And what is the cost to
keep that caseload down? The balance of those two is a very
difficult leadership decision, put a number on it. It’s about
saving lives, right? So like, there are a certain number of
people whose lives are going to be ruined, who are some of them
will commit suicide, some of them won’t be able to earn an
income, again, their businesses are going to get shut down. What
is the economic cost of that versus the economic cost of the
loss of life?
What I’m saying is, what is the number we had an average of 250
death 250,000 case known cases a day at the peak, we had a peak
deaths of 4100 a day, we are now at 200 people dying a day. And,
you know, 30,000 cases, is there a number at which you say, let’s
just focus on getting back to work? And is that number where
we are now? I’m trying to get
so I Yeah, again, I wouldn’t simplify it to those data
points. What I would do is, again, I would look at, you
know, at what age are people dying? How many life years are
we losing? And how can we address the acute populations
that are at risk in the acute populations that are that are
potentially going to be exposed, manage those
populations differently than you manage the broader population
that has a lower likelihood of risk of death and a lower
likelihood of fatality. And the restrictions that you then
impose to, you know, start to manage the risk and the exposure
to different populations gets weighed against the saving of
life and the loss of life in both circumstances. So it’s not
easy, right? It’s it’s never wants to sum this whole thing up
to like, how many deaths a day is appropriate? That’s not the
right answer, right? Because
well, you’re saying how many
that part of it is so obvious, right, that and we should have
known this last summer, the obvious part being that what you
want to do is focus your prevention on the part of the
population that’s the most at risk. And what do we do with
lockdowns, we literally locked down the entire population,
every business, it was completely insane, we should
have focused it on protecting the most at risk populations
isolating the sick, or the people at greatest risk, not
everybody was just insane. And I mean, I can’t believe we’re
still having that conversation a year later.
Can I before we move on to the next topic? Can I can I read the
best? Can I read the best best comment from Saksas tweet, so
Saksas tweet, because an opinion is wrong doesn’t mean it should
be censored. Just because the behavior is harmful doesn’t mean
it should be prohibited. And just because something is
beneficial doesn’t mean it should be required. The best
response goes to distantly social rumple, whose full name
is at Wendell shirk, who said, this message brought to you by
the generic self serving platitude alert network. We now
return you to your regularly scheduled episode of the bland
soap opera with the problem sisters.
Well, yeah, I look there, there’s an element of truth to
that, which is I almost didn’t tweet him because I thought it
was too much of a platitude. But the fact that people on the
other side got so triggered by it shows why it was actually
useful to tweet it is, they think that if you’re calling for
any modicum of freedom or return to normalcy, you’re basically a
selfish asshole. I mean, it’s insane. I mean, they want to
stay in this world of zero is COVID restrictions forever.
We got to move on. We’re 45 minutes into COVID. So we got to
move on. But I think if this is in the influenza, plus or minus
100% zone, we got to pick a number where we decide we’re
moving forward as a society. And you know, local communities can
make decisions if they have outbreaks. But I kind of think
if this is within, you know, two x of our yearly deaths from
you know, influenza and just the normal cold, I think we move
forward as best we can do we want to go to China, Cuba, I
think just real quick, before we move away from this, I really
want to just highlight the DeepMind announcement from this
morning, because I think it’s actually quite relevant to the
tracking of variants and what’s been going on. Okay. So this
morning, you know, DeepMind, which published alpha fold, and
we talked about this a few
by Google, it’s their AI, it’s an AI arm owned by Google. And
they basically took protein structure and tried to predict
what a protein looks like physically as a function of the
DNA or RNA, that codes the amino acids that make up the
protein. And so again, like when you have a string of amino
acids, they they combine and they fold into a way that’s
really hard to predict. And that’s the shape of the molecule
that we call the protein, and then it does something in the
body. And historically, we’ve had very hard times understanding
how genetic code translates into physical structure of protein,
which would allow us to predict what that protein can then do in
the body. So this morning, DeepMind incredibly published a
database with the predicted structure of every protein in
the human body, and in 10 other species using this, this
capability that they now have,
what does it mean in English?
And so you know, what this means is we now have a physical model
of every protein that human DNA can make. And that model would
allow us to basically now predict what that protein does,
how it does it and how certain drugs can bind to those
proteins, and how certain drugs can affect those proteins and
how we can alter human health by making new molecules or
adjusting the genetic code to change the shape of those
proteins in specific and targeted ways. So it’s an
incredible data set that was just published. It’s almost like,
you know, releasing the Rosetta Stone, in my opinion, in terms
of we now have this ability to translate human genetic code
into the physical form of the molecules that run our body and
do things in our body. They did it for 10 other species. And
they said that they’re going to publish this proteome database
and scale it for all other species of life that we have the
sort of data set around, for which they expect will achieve
over 100 million unique proteins in this database over the coming
months freely available and searchable. And let me just
explain, and I know I’m on a monologue here. So I’ll win the
monologue stat. It’s a good one. It’s a good one. But let me just
explain why this is relevant. The Delta variant, what it is,
is that you know, the the SARS-CoV-2 RNA sequence is about
30,000 base pairs long. 10% of those are about 3000 base pairs
make up the spike protein, which is the protein at the tip
of the COVID virus, the coronavirus that gets into the
cells. And, you know, for every 10 people that are infected with
coronavirus, there’s about one nucleoside mutation, one of
those base pairs changes, and the virus evolves. And we don’t
know how that change in that genetic code translates into a
different structure of the protein. And so we suddenly
discover empirically, and you know, by looking around,
suddenly, all these people are getting more infected than
we’re getting infected before we look at the genetic code, and
we’re like, oh, here’s the changes that happened. But we
could have with this capability from alpha fold predicted what
changes make the spike protein do a better job binding to human
ACE2 receptors on the cells and getting it to cells. And what
other changes could be made in the whole genome of the SARS-CoV-2
virus that could cause this virus to be more transmissible,
more deadly, all these sorts of factors, because we can now
estimate the physical form of that protein by changing the
base pair. And so this tool that was released today, I think
highlights that over the next decade, these sorts of things
that are going on with viruses mutating and variants occurring
that are affecting our population can be better
estimated and tracked digitally. And it gives us the ability to
start to prepare tools and defense mechanisms against them
with new drugs and new variant models and new vaccines well
ahead of the Oh my god, we just got hit with a nuclear bomb,
let’s clean up the mess kind of in the future. So it’s an
exciting day, an exciting moment.
Would they have been released this, David, if it hadn’t been
for COVID coming out? Do you think DeepMind just pivoted
their entire group? Because they have about 1000 people I
understand. And by the way, they pay something in the order of
six or 700,000 a year on average. And there’s many people
there who are getting paid millions of dollars a year. So
just think about the scale of what Google is spending on this,
you guys know that I probably shifted a large number of
people to work on this, you guys know that I have long deep roots
at Google. And I will tell you that the value system of people
there, you know, the press and the public will think what they
want. But I think that the value system of people there, drove
them to realize the importance of this work that they’re doing
with alpha fold, and it is important for humanity. And it
is important for the health broadly of people, they could
have kept it all inside, and used it to build therapeutic
drug companies and make money from that. And I think the
importance of this discovery and this capability was, was realized
and is published for that very reason. There’s a lot of work
that DeepMind does to optimize ad targeting and ad spending and
all this stuff. And they make 10s of billions of dollars of
incremental revenue for Google per year based on those
capabilities. And then there are these things that benefit all of
us. And by putting this out publicly, it’s a great good for
humanity. And, you know, they’re making it freely available and
searchable. And so I don’t think that COVID kind of
instigated this, because they’ve been working on this for a very
long time since before COVID. And this is a very hard
biological problem that is key to understanding biology and how
biology works. It’s been going on for decades, they’ve unlocked
it with software, and they’re making it freely available. And
you know, there will be hundreds of drug companies that will now
start because of what’s in that database.
This is a mitzvah to society to humanity. It does it change the
fact that Google is spending well over a billion dollars a
year on DeepMind and doing projects like this. Does this
change any of your thinking about breaking them up trim off
or you know, how we look at big tech?
That’s a good question.
No. Because how do you afford it? Yeah, where does it where
does this kind of
we learned something very disturbing about big tech this
week, actually. This is quite a bombshell that Jen Psaki dropped
from the White House press briefing. We got to talk about
this. She just sort of casually mentioned that. Oh, yeah, by the
way, the administration is flagging posts for a social
media company for big tech companies to take down to remove
accounts, specific accounts and posts. Yeah. And she just kind
of just casually mentions Oh, yeah, the big tech companies are
very, you know, eagerly cooperating with the
administration to take down these counts, accounts. She even
said that when one of these companies takes down an account,
the rest should do it to implying that the White House is
providing the central coordinative role in the
censorship global block list. Yeah.
Let’s let’s take the most charitable view here. I know
that it’s very easy to make this a left versus right. They’re
censoring yada yada, Trump got banned. But if somebody was
saying, this was micro, this was an account that was claiming
that microchips were in the vaccine. Would it not be? How
would the and there was hitting scale? You know, what would be
the way for the White House to inform social media that there
was an account that was saying falsely that microchips were in
there, and that that was trending?
The White House or its officials are free to put out their
statements and their position. But this is different. This is
the White House coordinating behind the scenes with big tech
companies.
Well, they’re not behind the scenes. They’re saying they’re
doing it right here to everybody.
Correct. Correct. The behavior was behind the scenes, but
Pisaki just admitted it, which is why it’s such a bombshell.
Look, even the ACLU
you were president, and there was an account on Facebook,
YouTube, Twitter, that was saying there was a microchip
from Bill Gates.
This is a this is a blatant violation of the people’s First
Amendment rights.
Tell them how would you you are allowed you’re the First
Amendment gives you the right to say things that are untrue. It
is not the business of government to declare what is
true and what is false. Okay, even even hold on. I’m not done.
Even the ACLU came out of retirement. We hadn’t we haven’t
heard from them for the last year. During any of the hard to
be the ACLU. Yeah, we haven’t heard from them during the past
year. During all of this activity has been going on with
accounts being blocked and ghosted. They finally came out of
retirement to say that that this is a dangerous violation of
people’s First Amendment rights. You cannot have the government
saying what is true and what is false and then denying people the
right to express their opinions based on what the government
thinks is the truth. And by the way, there’s been a very
subtle change here in the language that’s being used. If
you remember what the argument used to be that we have to stop
disinformation does now it’s shifted to have to stop
misinformation. So those two things are very different. It’s
kind of like that. Well, it’s kind of like the difference in
the term equality versus equity. They sound similar, but they
actually mean very different things. So disinformation is
actually a campaign of purposeful purposeful campaign
of propaganda and lies usually put forward covertly. So it’s
the FSB, or some intelligence agency putting out whatever
putting out disinformation usually under false accounts. So
in that case, we can say no, you can’t do that because you can’t
engage in deception around who you are, right. But
misinformation is simply information that’s being put
out that frankly, you disagree with. Okay. And
or could be discernibly wrong. Wait, you’re, you’re kind of
framing that, right? It could be, you’re putting out
information, like there’s a microchip in the vaccine that is
more explicitly known to be wrong.
Look, the lab leak theory was considered misinformation by
these same people three months ago.
Okay, let’s take this. There’s a microchip. If the if it was the
case that they said there’s a microchip in the vaccine, would
you be okay with the White House contacting social media companies
saying, Hey, you got these accounts that are saying
there’s a microchip, you might want to look into it. They’re
not saying take it down. They’re saying take a look into it.
That’s not the White House’s business. Do I believe in the
microchip theory? No, of course not. It’s absolutely ridiculous.
But it is not the business of
to be telling social media who to ban and who to block list.
I think they didn’t tell him to ban. I think they told him to be
aware of it. Go ahead, come off. I think your framings wrong
sex. No, no.
But Saki said that when one site takes it down, they should all
take it down. And then Biden on top of it comes out and pours
kerosene on the fire by saying that social media sites are
literally killing people. Well, yeah, by allowing by allowing
this misinformation. So here we see now let’s be honest. He’s a
president. This is the President of the United States using the
bully pulpit to call social media sites mass murderers by
virtue of allowing people to have free speech. Trump never
used language that intemperate. I don’t remember him ever
calling God, American companies. Go ahead, come on, let’s not
speak. Let’s not speak.
This is the exact reason you you can’t have a stranglehold on
distribution, because it will get perverted. And then we
either have people we like or people we don’t like in these
positions of power, or people we like or people we don’t like
regulating, and it’s constantly flipping. And we’re all just
doomed and bound to get fucked over. So back to the thing that
Friedberg brought up before, I think alpha fold is incredible.
I think Google has been an incredible company. They make
money hand over fist, they waste an enormous amount of money and
all kinds of trash. So it’s good that they were actually
able to do something useful here. I generally think that
companies like Google and Facebook and Amazon,
unfortunately, do not allow the constructive form of capitalism
that people want in today’s society. They’re just too big.
Trump off makes a great point, which is we’ve got these big
tech monopolies who’ve become gatekeepers over content, okay.
And what the administration has done and their allies in
Congress is hang a sort of Damocles over the heads of these
big tech companies. They’ve appointed Lena Khan to be the
enforcer at the FTC. They’ve got their six bills in Congress
right now. They’ve held congressional hearings around
taking away Section 230 protection, which is very
economically advantageous for these big tech companies. So
they position the sword perfectly over the heads of big
tech companies, threatening to break them up and rein them in.
And then Jen Psaki in the White House, go to them and say, we
want you to take down these accounts that we don’t agree
with. This is misinformation. Okay, that is a huge danger to
free speech. It’s basically like the administration saying to
these big tech companies, nice little social network you got
there. It’d be a real shame if anything happened to it. Look at
what’s going on. Don’t you want them broken up? I do want them
broken up. But what I don’t want is if you want them to hold the
sword, or do you not want them to hold the sword? I actually
want the sword to come crashing. I actually want the
sword to swing the sword, not hold it over and then use it
for extortion. Yeah, that’s actually a great explanation.
Then, Friedberg. Yes. I’m trying to moderate here, Friedberg. Do
you give a shit? We’ve talked about this spent all day on his
phone. He is not dialed into this. I’m with you guys. I
thought we just went over the alpha fold stuff way too fast. I
mean, the arguing over freedom of speech is happening. And all
of this debate Friedberg at the same time that we are making
incredible life changing moments for humanity. Two different
companies went to space last week with civilians. And then we
are basically defining the blueprint for the human and
every other species on the planet. And we’re fighting over
people too stupid to take a goddamn vaccine that would save
everybody’s life and let us continue on and people are
dunking on Bezos for not reading the room. I don’t know if you
saw this Friedberg. But how do you think about the space race
in relation to reading the room, etc.
Progress, technologically, will only arise with capital. So you
can assume that that progress, you know, it’s not like someone
stumbles into a cave and discovered a rocket ship or
stumbles into a cave and discovered alpha fold. There are
years of toiling and labs like Edison did making the light
bulb. It medicine had to raise a ton of money to get that light
bulb project off the ground. If you guys haven’t read, trying
to remember the biography, there’s a wizards of something
was it’s got wizards in the title. It’s a good biography of
Edison. And, you know, and I feel like we’re at this moment
where the Wizard of Menlo Park. Yeah, I think that’s the wizard
of Menlo Park. That’s right. And the amount of capital that it
takes to make these breakthroughs at alpha fold or at
Waymo, or what Bezos and Elon are doing is so extraordinary
that you have to be in a position where you can fund this
work, you’re not going to get a bunch of kickstarters to fund a
SpaceX like project or a, you know, Blue Origin like project.
And so I think that the benefit of scale that comes out of some
of these businesses is that we can do research and development,
and we can progress our capabilities as a species forward
in a way that would have never been possible if not for the
capitalist system and the ability for these businesses to
accumulate a large enough pool of capital to take on multiple
billion dollar bets. And like Chamath said, waste a lot of
money and lose on nine out of 10 of them. But if that $1 billion
bet works, it’s worth $500 billion. And that money
continuously gets reinvested. And look at what Google did with
Waymo, they put over a billion dollars in that project before
everyone woke up and said, my God, self driving is real, it’s
possible. And it kickstarted an industry. And I just feel like
the amount of money and not to mention the fact that like,
these are free markets. So these businesses, Google, you don’t
have to search on Google, you don’t have to buy from Amazon,
but everyone benefits from searching on Google, everyone
benefits from buying on Amazon. And the capability of these
businesses is rooted entirely on the fact that consumers are
choosing to use their products and their services, because they
are so good. And so I don’t feel like these guys are screwing
people over, you can consider the small business model as
being like, you know, hey, maybe we shouldn’t have had small
business retailers for as long as we did, because at some
point, distribution was going to be economically advantaged by
being centralized. And therefore all consumers are going to
benefit by centralizing. Is there really a right to
maintain local distribution sites that we call small
businesses that should remain in business forever? Maybe there’s
a way to help them transition into a new business model or a
new market. But same with what happened with the taxi industry,
technology will force these evolutions, the capital
accumulates, and that capital can be invested in things that
we would have never imagined on a smaller scale. But go ahead.
No, I do think sympathetic to what you were saying. I do think
that if you look at every platform innovation that’s ever
happened, so whether it’s, you know, we go from no print to
print, you know, to newspapers, to radio to television, you’ve
always first started with a pendulum that was very much
firmly in the camp of centralized, monopolistic or
oligopolistic kind of early outcomes. And either through
legislation or through innovation, then the pendulum
swings to decentralization that’s typically happened,
right. And you can look at all of these industries that’s gone
through that. So it stands to reason that technology will be
not dissimilar to those things. And everybody says the argument
is well, no, because technology has these specific features of
network effects and lock in. But I think that betrays this idea
that legislatively, you can come and just basically destroy the
China in the China shop, and you have to just start all over. So
it’s likely that we’re going to move to a place that’s a
healthier outcome for everybody. And obviously, we want things
like alpha fold to exist. And we want things like Waymo to exist.
The question is, how should they exist? And if they come out of
the goodwill of Google, it is just so easily as likely that
some other person, let’s say it wasn’t Sundar and Ruth Peratt.
But to other people who didn’t like it, these things could have
been very different forms and shapes and not exist at all. And
I think that’s the arbitrary nature of it, which is not
necessarily free market capitalism that doesn’t benefit
us.
Should we come off be upset that Bezos is going to space and
spending 10s of billions of dollars that he made from
Amazon.
He had a bad press conference. Let’s just be clear at the end
of the day, he has wanted to do this his entire life. He built
an incredible company, he was able to take a lot of that
capital and invested in it. He’s invested billions of dollars in
other things $10 billion in climate change. His ex wife has
invested, you know, $6 billion just last year alone in all
kinds of good works. So those two individuals, because of
their success, I think will generally do and have done the
right thing. Let’s not get that confused with a horrendous press
conference, where he just put
why was it horrendous?
Well, I think you said it, you know, the thing that he said
around, you know, I just want to thank the customers and the
employees for paying for this. It sounded flippant. And it
didn’t really acknowledge the incredible amount of heavy
lifting and hard work that he did acknowledge in the clip from
2000 on Charlie Rose, right. So if you if you actually played
those two things back side by side, you’d say is this the same
person? One was thoughtful, extremely respectful. The other
one was now maybe he was just amped up. I mean, I could see I
think that’s what I think cloud nine, so to speak, you know, and
so and so he just wasn’t thinking about it. But you know,
honestly, like, look, he is smart enough. And that team is
smart enough to say, we’re assuming you’re coming back. So
here’s some fucking talking points. Why don’t you just look
at those on the way down as you float down to earth. And let’s
just make sure we nailed this and put our best foot forward.
That is where I think he probably has some regrets based
on how people reacted.
This Bezos spaceflight was a real Rorschach test because he
took heat from both the right and the left. But the criticism
was very different. You know, the critique I heard from the
right was that he’s having some sort of midlife crisis, the
rocket looked too much like a phallus, okay, fine, whatever
that the criticism from the left was, it had much more to do with
a real contempt for private initiative and private
enterprise, you could almost see them being horrified and
dismayed that, you know, why was he doing this with his own
money? You know, if this had been a NASA flight, I don’t
think they would have had a problem with it. And so you see
here that even though Bezos has been so much more effective
using his own money to do this, the left is reflexively hates
that. And, and they kept saying, well, how dare he use this
money, the money could have been used on something else so
much better. Well, what do you think of that argument? Yeah, I
think it’s wrong in a couple of respects. It basically implies
that the purveyors of these social programs are better
distributors of societal resources than our greatest
inventors. And I don’t think that’s true. You look at these
social programs, they want to keep doubling down on they’re
not working. You know, these programs are policies towards
homelessness is not failing because of lack of funding.
There’s a tremendous amount of funding. In San Francisco,
they’re spending $60,000 per tent per year, they’re spending
$300,000 in social services per homeless person per year. Lack
of funding is not the problem. The approach is the problem. We
spend something like $25,000 per pupil in California schools,
the test scores are going down. So you know, these people who
are criticizing Bezos don’t know what to do with the money. They
don’t know how to spend it any better. They’re not good at
executing. However, Bezos or Elon, these are two of our
greatest inventors, let them go, let them go. Because you know,
they are pushing the boundaries. And I do believe there will be
great engineering and scientific breakthroughs that come as a
result of what they’re doing with this new space race.
It’s also super uninformed if correct me if I’m wrong here,
but they were saying that the they should have been doing
more initiatives on earth if you actually and they were kind of
talking about climate change and the use of these fuels to get to
space. And number one, the rocket ship fuel, my
understanding in these is less than the what happens in a 747.
So put that aside. And then second, Elon has done more for
global warming with Tesla than anybody in the in the battery
packs, I think in modern society, I can’t think of
somebody in the private sector who’s done more. And then has
there ever been a gift, there’s never been a gift of $10 billion
to one cause, let alone one cause which Bezos gave, which
was climate change. Nobody, nobody has done more. So hasn’t
you would know Chamath, I thought Richard Branson had done
a lot for global warming. I thought he was very involved in
the carbon credits space.
I think that we’re witnessing something that can best be
described as people who have reached a point in their life
where they’ve realized that they’re impotent, getting
incredibly angry at people who are willing to be wrong, but
want to just have a chance to be on the field and try and have
the freedom to do so. And that just literally infuriates a
certain class of people. It proves itself out by what David
said, we are not in a funding crisis, we are running 10 $20
trillion deficits, you know, or sorry, 10, you know, hundreds of
billions of dollar deficits, 10 $20 trillion debt levels that
are increasing every year. We have a surfeit of money. We
print money whenever we want, we don’t have a shortage of
money. We have a shortage of capable people who know what to
do with that money. And in the absence of people being able to
do things, they would rather other people not do things not
because it’s not the right thing to do, but because it makes them
feel impotent.
Right. And so what what is what is driving that I think you
there’s a real contempt for private initiative. And Jason,
you’re right, you see it in the hatred towards Elon, nobody has
done more to actually reduce carbon emissions than Elon. I
mean, even the best end of story, period end of story. I
mean, the best gift to some philanthropy, I don’t know if
that’s going to make a difference or not. You’re right
that he’s putting his money where his mouth is on that
issue. But it’s indisputable that Elon, the electric car
industry would not exist without Elon. And yet there is contempt
and hatred for the fact that he did this through private
initiative.
If the guy does he does it in a way that is not checking the
boxes for this cohort of people who feel incredibly insecure and
fragile emotionally. They don’t like that he says what he wants.
They don’t like that he does what he wants. They don’t like
that he dresses the way he does. They don’t like any of it
because it’s not conformist enough. It’s not about the look
people. It’s also about the money that it’s the wealth
that’s been accumulated to hold on. I don’t think that’s what it
is at all. No, I actually think what it is is psychological. It
is nothing about money. I think what we are witnessing and I
think social media has just blown the cover off it is a
psychological awakening that people have, which is that they
were comfortable knowing that there was a class of insiders,
and a huge cohort of outsiders. And they just believe the world
would function as it should. Now you see people migrating through
this membrane, achieving enormous amounts of success,
basically eclipsing every single insider possible by orders of
magnitude. And it breaks people’s brains, because they
don’t like it. Because now they think, why did it happen to me?
Why not me? And the thing is, because you’re not capable. And
at somewhere along the way, I’m working, you’re not dedicated,
you didn’t try or you didn’t try.
They didn’t act with agency.
I mean, look, every day, every day, the greatest thing that
I’ve learned about the public markets now, having been, you
know, purely on the early stage technology side, building,
running, then investing, is I get a mark every day, right now
to do both businesses, I get a scorecard every day. And some
days, I really think to myself, maybe I’m just not good enough
today. And I say to myself, that is true today. And then the
difference is tomorrow, I have a choice, which is I wake up and I
decide, am I going to go back at it or not?
And I’m not a game. And I’m not going to hate on other people
who had a good day today, just because I had a bad day. And
that’s what I think we’re going through. We’re going through and
social media allows it to happen. And it allows you to
put it out there. You can hide behind a screen name, you can
basically say whatever you want to vent this pent up
frustration. One journalist doing it. Of course, of course,
because these journalists are doing it to where they’re just
so bitter that they feel dunking on the greatest
inventors of our time is a productive use. The difference
is journalists do it with the real screen name under the guise
of journalism. Everybody else does it with the fake screen
name. And it’s all just a bunch of trolling.
In order to do something really great, like Bezos, or like Elon,
you have to believe that you have agency over your own life,
you have to believe that you can accomplish great things. You
have to, you know, act with with purpose. And is that really what
we’re teaching kids to do today in schools, what we’re teaching
them is they’re either victims, or oppressors at some
intersectional framework. We’re not teaching them about earned
success, we’re teaching them about privilege, which is, you
know, is presumptively ill gotten. And it’s all about a
transference of privilege, and, and basically money from people
who are oppressors in this framework to people who are
victims. But no one’s talking about how you actually create
change and success in abundance. It’s all a negative sum. It’s
always a negative sum game.
Freeberg, go ahead.
I did it all back to the Kim Kardashian sex tape. I think
that there was this moment where someone who was didn’t do
anything, didn’t have a career wasn’t doing anything workwise,
but was kind of a pseudo celebrity for being a celebrity.
It’s like the Paris Hilton, Nicole Richie era, right? Like,
folks who don’t really have much to talk about, except that
they’re the ones that people are talking about. And then that
sex tape turned her into a superstar. And then she became a
billionaire a few years later. And so, you know, there, there
is this kind of poignant moment, I think, where folks are like,
wait a second, you don’t have to do anything to get really rich
in this country, you don’t have to do anything to achieve all
this fame. Therefore, the the kind of assumption is, hey, you
know what, there are people that just get stuff and get to do
what they want to do. And the rest of us don’t. And I do think
that social media is the magnifying glass that takes
those those moments and makes them very big. And kind of then
that becomes the assumed standard, when the reality is, I
mean, all four of us work really fucking hard. All four of us
came from nothing. I don’t know about sacks. But I mean, the
rest of us, his dad was an immigrant doctor from South
Africa, and he moved to the south as a Jew. I’m just
80s. I mean, I think all of us graduated college deeply in
debt. And then we all worked our way out of debt. And we all
found ways to work really hard and find opportunities for
ourselves in this incredible country. And to build value and
to build businesses can be done to realize those returns. And we
don’t start out as elites. We were never elite, we were always
the struggling, you know, immigrant entrepreneurs that got
ourselves to where we are, because we clawed and we pushed
and we fought and we had grit, and we had determination, and we
had smarts, and we had put in the effort. And I think that
that’s not really and so did Bezos, and so did Ilan. And I
don’t think that there is any standard of elitism that endowed
in them, like maybe in, you know, the British, the days of
the British monarchy, these kind of inalienable rights to have
the freedom that they have. And I think that that and I think
that that’s so important, because people miss that point.
And they think that Kim Kardashian, or the random bolt
of lightning or the elite is the kind of endowed upon people
in a way that’s unfair.
They’re misreading the situation. Everyone else is
missing out. Yeah, they misread the situation.
So a couple things. Kim Kardashian may have gotten some
initial fame because of her sex tape. But fuck if she’s not an
incredible business person, because from there to now,
that’s execution. Totally. There’s a lot of there’s a lot
of toiling hard work, good decision making. She fucking
nailed it. Was I lucky to have actually joined Facebook versus
MySpace? Yes. But when I was there, did I fucking hit the
cover off the ball? Goddamn? Yes. You know, was I lucky to
have started social capital and be able to raise capital? Sure.
But then did I have to help find a team, coach that team work
with them make good investments. That’s fucking hard. And I think
what people forget is that this takes a lot of hard work, that
there’s all kinds of levels of success that you can be proud of
all kinds of different accomplishments. What I loved is
when Friedberg used us, and Ilan and Bezos in the same
sentence, because I catch myself where I’m ashamed sometimes
where I’m like, I am not as good as those two guys. So how dare I
use my name in the same sentence as their name? And then I think,
wait a minute, what the fuck am I quibbling over? Like, this is
insane in any way, shape or form. We’ve all made it sure
there’s different degrees, but it’s beyond that it matters at
this point. And this is what I think we’re living in a society
where it really distorts you. So if how do we change it?
Chamath? How do we change people from thinking that it’s random
and that you can’t do it? Because there are people who
are no, it is random. But there are a group of people who
believe the system is rigged. I cannot become Chamath. And I’m
stuck in a rut and I can’t get out. I can’t get out. How do we
change that? But we have the whiners and the complainers and
the haters are stuck in a massive rut. And I think the
thing that happened that I said it last pod, I’ll say it again,
maybe I’ll just say it every fucking pod. It is not about
winning and losing. It is about trying and learning. And that is
a huge thing. It’s about a learning mindset. It’s about
this idea that things are changing so fucking fast. The
only thing that I can do to stay safe is to learn how to learn
because things will constantly be changing underfoot.
But what do you say to the single mother with three kids
who is in a town where the factory is shutting down and
she’s losing her job and she doesn’t have the resources to
move? She is not the person that hates Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos. I
will fucking but what did she do? Because aren’t there
institutional ruts in the United States? Yeah, yeah, I
understand. These are two completely different topics. My
point is, if you go online, it is filled with Pete, a small
cohort of people that are positive. And then a large
cohort of people that are silently trying to just gain
information out and a small vocal minority of bitter people
who can’t do shit. And all I’m talking about is people. Well,
who knows if they’re privileged, but I’m just saying they’re
here getting paid 100,000 to work at the Atlantic. I just
think that these people have been checkboxes their whole
lives. They tried to play the team sports they were told to
they went to the schools, they tried to do the CFA, the MBA,
the this or the that. Nothing worked for them. They work in an
environment where they don’t feel any equity. Actually, this
is where equity is important. They feel disenfranchised, and
they’re angry. And as a result, they just want everything to be
different so that nobody wins because they can’t win. But if
they were winning, they would be the first one to say shut the
fucking door behind me. I’m convinced of it. 100.
The irony is that the people you’re talking about all went to
these elite institutions. And they imbibed these ideologies
and philosophies. And I think the people who have been
successful, went to those not in all cases, but they went to those
places and then rebelled against it or just shut it out.
Here’s what we should do. Here’s what we should do. We should all
contribute five or 10 million bucks into a into an LLC, we
should call Pegasus, we should use Pegasus to infiltrate all
the fake screen names on Twitter, and then index that to
LinkedIn to figure out where they all went to school and what
they do and just publish a database of all the haters.
Well, I mean, it’s how funny would that be?
I it’s very interesting, because I’m watching a group of these
complainers leave traditional mainstream media, because I’m
focused on journalists, because I was one. And I’m watching them
leave journalism, a small group of them, and become
entrepreneurs on substack or their own products. And I feel
like there’s a little group of them who are realizing, holy
shit, I can make $1 million. If I apply myself, and I quit the
New York Times, and I go start my own publication,
right. And I actually see something interesting and
differentiated, not just towing the party line at the New York
Times. There’s a whole little, there’s a little crack here in
this, like, I’ll say, I’ll say they are just as successful as
Elon Musk, and Jeff Bezos. The the financial quantum may be
different. But I bet you the personal fucking satisfaction
quantum is the same. And this is the key. This is the key, you
could be running a $500,000 a year business. And you could
feel like a million fucking bucks. You’re a nice house. Yeah,
you have a nice house, no nice family, you know, you employ a
couple people, you provide a good life, you do what you want
to do when you want to do it. The sense of freedom that comes
with that and power and agency is the same as them. And maybe
in some ways, the super richest guys in the world actually have
less agency than these guys would. Because they’re so, you
know, scheduled, and people are coming after them all the time.
One of my big takeaways from being in the tech industry for
20 years is that if you’re smart, hardworking, and don’t
have behaviors that sabotage yourself, you will be
successful in this industry. You know, over two decades, I mean,
I’ve seen it. How could you not you have such tailwinds at your
back, there’s so much value being created. We saw over the
past year, more money, more LP dollars have gone into venture
capital by far than any other year. And more money, more
returns is coming out. That’s why more money is going to I’m on
the call. When you say anybody could be successful just by
showing right. And you said that, but the first part is the
critical part, you just said who are not prone to self sabotage.
There is an enormous number of people who are prone to self I
was one I am still one. But I
brought to yourself your ego, he blew up his firm. That’s true.
But I think he blew it up. Because there was creative
destruction. I think he wasn’t enjoying it. And he needed to
start talking about it publicly. He said it. But the blowing up
of when you How do you reconcile the blowing up of the firm
Chamath, whatever number of years later, I’m rebooting.
This is all old news. It’s like, you know, the amount of success
in capital and money that we’ve made is undisputable. And I’ve
made it under all kinds of weather conditions. So you know,
it all kind of speaks for itself. But the problem is,
again, if you ask an average person, I don’t think they care.
I don’t think they know. I don’t think they have an opinion. If
you ask some, you know,
interested in how you reconcile or look back on it. Now, it’s so
much distance.
I’ll tell you from an outside perspective, how I reconcile
Chamath decision there is I think that as you become more
successful, your tolerance for doing stuff you don’t want to do
really goes down.
It goes to zero.
Chamath has got to a point where he didn’t want to be doing and
he blew it up zero.
By the way, that that is a characterization as well that
you know, sometimes in in your career, you have to make it and
in your personal life, you have to make a tough decision. And
there is no good outcome. There is no good way to do it. But
there are these moments where you got a rock falling on you
from one side and a rock falling on you from the other side. And
you’re gonna have to make a tough decision to get out of
the way
I said to myself a long time ago, that if I was ever lucky to
actually be wealthy enough where my wealth would change by
meaningful amounts, every order of magnitude, I would do
something different. And so you know, you can do the fucking
math. So there it is.
I see. It’s interesting being friends with you and watching it
and then also, I hate to give credit, there it is. But being
friends with Phil Hellmuth, and watching him set outrageous
goals for himself in poker. I just thought, you know what, you
got to set some outrageous goals for yourself. And that’s
how I sort of broke through as I just said, the minute that I
realized one at everything I do, I want to be the largest
syndicate, the most Jason prolific investor,
the minute I realized that I was basically going to become, you
know, a billionaire because of my Facebook stock, I fucking
quit. And the craziest thing about it is I left so much stock
on the table. It’s like two $3 billion of fucking stock, I
couldn’t care less. And then and then, you know, once I figured
out that there was something that you can do with capital,
that’s even more meaningful than just investing in companies at
a small scale. But now you can, you know, control companies and
really allocate and shape how economy flows. I made a
different set of decisions. And now I’m here. And if I increase
it by another order of magnitude, I’ll make a
different set of decisions. And that’s poorly understood by
folks, because again, it doesn’t map into a worldview. But the
point is, it maps into something that keeps me whole and sane.
And it allows me to not be zero sum about everybody else’s
success. And that’s what I think we need to teach people
try stuff. It’s okay to fail. Because that’s as long as you’re
not self sabotaging yourself. David said it so well, you will
eventually be successful.
What have you learned, David? You know, in this next chapter
being an investor capital allocator?
That me?
Yeah, David, you? Well, that’s what I just Yeah,
no, it’s what I said. I mean, just Well, I mean, the thing
that’s happening right now is just the tech economy keeps
getting bigger and bigger. It’s just an explosion. There’s an
explosion in the number of unicorns, explosion in the
amount of funding that’s available, explosion in the
amount of returns being generated. There are now so many
VCs that VCs are literally throwing money at people. I
mean, any half decent idea now gets funded. The idea that
somehow this ecosystem is elitist or exclusionary. It’s
absurd, right? I mean, you’ve got micro VCs now who you know,
one has to go to Sand Hill Road anymore, right? I mean, there
are so many ways to
nobody on Sand Hill Road. It’s a ghost town. Remember traffic
jam? I went I went down there the other day. And there was no
traffic jam. I was speaking at Stanford. And literally, I was
like, I got to put 15 minutes into my drive to get through
that Sand Hill Road, because it was at 830. I zipped down Sand
Hill Road to Stanford, there was two cars.
The tech ecosystem is so osmotic, it’s so permeable in
terms of allowing new people in, in fact, it’s sucking in all the
talent it can find, because it can’t hire enough people, even
in the worst economic conditions. And yet, when it
comes to talking about social and political, talking about
opportunity in social and political terms, the only thing
you ever hear is that, you know, the ecosystem is somehow elitist
or exclusionary.
And that’s old. That’s old news that that might have been valid
1520 years ago. I know when I went to Sand Hill Road for the
first time 1520 years ago, it was a bunch of white partners
who went to Stanford or had a MBAs from, you know, Harvard,
but that’s not the case. Now. It’s a bunch of people with
rolling funds and micro VCs and syndicates totally and everything
in between.
You’re so wrapped up in being a social justice warrior, that
you’ve just missed, that there is like basically infinite
opportunity, you know, then it’s on you, you’re sabotaging
yourself. And then 510 years later, you’re still stuck in
that role. And then you become bitter, and then you become
bitter to Jamal’s point.
Freeberg, how hard was it for you to leave Google? And what
was that like?
I was at Google for two and a half years. I had gone through I
joined before the IPO, I was like, couple hundred employees,
just under 1000 employees. And then we went public. I got this
huge bonus from Sergey to stick around. When I was thinking, I
mean, for me, it was like, seven figures. It was. Yeah, it was a
couple 1000 shares of stock, and like $250,000 of cash. And I
gave it up, you know, be worth a lot of money. But I just felt
like I learned so much at Google. And I had such an
appreciation for the team there in the company. And by the way,
I worked at Google. And all of a sudden, the company went public
and I could buy a house. I mean, it was an incredible moment for
me. And, and I suddenly felt what Jamal talked about, which
is this freedom in my life, suddenly, I had hit that that
next plateau of wealth, where I now had a couple $100,000 of
net worth. And I could leave, or I guess I had over a million
dollars of net worth, and I could now leave and go do
something I wanted to go do with my night, I had a couple
$100,000. And I could go leave and do what I wanted to do,
which was to build my own business and have the freedom to
make decisions. And, and so I honestly felt like really fine
just leaving all that money behind, I left, I left millions
of dollars behind. For when I left Google after being there
for two and a half years to start my company. And, you know,
it was a struggle, right? Like, I mean, as you guys know,
building a business, which I did from 2006 to 2013, was a
nightmare. Every day was a nightmare. I say, in
entrepreneurship, I’ve said this publicly before, but it feels
like every day, you’re taking a step backwards. And one out of
five days, you take a five step leap forward. So at the end of
a week, you’re one step ahead of where you started, but your
existential memory is that you’re failing every day, every
day, and suddenly you wake up and seven years have gone by,
and you’re like, Oh, shit, we’ve got an amazing business. And
someone wants to buy it for a billion dollars. And if you
don’t have the grit and the guts, and the determination to
push through those those daily battles and deal with that,
that hardship, you know, and I don’t think that being in the
comfort of the big system of Google felt right for me, I
think being in the playing field and battling it out every day
is right for me. And so it was the right, it was the right call
for me, obviously, it worked out. But you know, still, I make
choices in my life in terms of what do I want to do? Do I want
to go live on a yacht or have some luxury or do whatever? And
I prefer to just make great businesses and turn science into
into commercial opportunity. And that’s how I choose to spend my
time.
And I just wanted to send this out to the whole panel. Do you
ever think, you know, having hit the home runs, and having the
cash to literally retire at this age, and then just, you know,
kiteboard or do whatever? Do you ever think about retirement
and not going into work?
Fuck? No.
Okay. Yeah. You want to do you feel you want to work harder?
Yesterday, yesterday, as an example, was an incredible day,
because I was able to bicycle with Nat and the youngest to go
get a gelato. I had a kickoff meeting for I had a kickoff
meeting for a startup that’s doing something incredible in
batteries. Where, you know, starting from scratch, series a
co founders, me and the other into the other director. And
we’re starting literally starting and I remember the
feeling of having done this now 30 or 40 times and it’s the best
feeling.
La Dolce Vita.
And then I and then I had a call because I’m trying to put a you
know, more than a billion dollars to work in a different
battery idea. And I thought to myself, God, I, I’m so fucking
lucky. And it’s, it was a grindy long day, and I had never felt
more thankful. So why would I, you know, I don’t know, I feel
just so blessed.
Sachs, you ever think about hanging up? Or are you more
motivated to go to work every day? Are you annoyed?
Yeah, I mean, the thing that’s given me the most energy right
now is we’re in a private beta on Colin, you’re this app that
we incubated. And I mean, it’s, it’s, it’s, it’s good. And it’s
getting better every day. And I’m really enjoying tinkering on
it. And I feel like, you know, I, you know, it’s kind of like
a tinkerer, by the way, you’re a good product. You’re good.
You’re good at tickling.
We, you know, we tried to hire sacks as VP of product at
Facebook. What? Yeah. What would that have paid him?
I used 2000 sacks, probably seven billions, probably 2007.
No, no, because I did the hammer instead. And you know, Yammer was
successful. And I got to be my own boss. And that was better,
you know, so I don’t know if I probably wouldn’t have made as
much money. But look, I’ve done. Like you guys, I’ve done made
lots of decisions that may be less money. If I just stayed at
PayPal for 20 years, my stock would have been worth many, many
billions, right? That’s why I tell people don’t sell
everything. Let your winners ride at least partially. Yeah.
I mean, look, my, I was an investor in Facebook. If I just
kept all of that stock, that’d be worth a billion dollars today.
So I mean, it’s pretty crazy. Well, sell some just don’t sell
everything. That’s my new philosophy. Yeah. So your point
about to your point about what gives me enjoyment. I mean, I’m
really having fun tinkering with this app. And you know what it’s
like? It’s like, it’s like a new season. If you’re in like the
NBA or something, it’s like, can we make a championship run? Can
we get one more ring? You know? And so you’re like, you know,
it’d be like saying to somebody, hey, you already got, you know,
to NBA and NBA champion. Hey, you got three rings. Why do you
want a fourth? You know? And it’s like, are you kidding me
while I’m still in this league? Well, I’m young enough and
healthy enough to make a run at one at one more ring. How could
you not want to do that? You know, you got to go for it. I
can see you are you’re engaged, which is great to see. All
right. Listen, this has been an amazing episode. We will see you
all next week. If you like the show. Thanks. The end. We’re not
going to
everybody go try something, anything possible. Try and fail.
Read a book. Read something that you wouldn’t have otherwise
read. Love you guys. But I love you guys. Love you. See you
soon. Everybody listening to everybody. I mean, literally, if
you’re listening to this, and you are buying into this that
the system is ready to troll. Don’t be a troll. Don’t be a
douche. Like the system is not rigged. If anything, the system
is rigged for you to participate and succeed. Join the party. The
system is malleable. The system is about this. If you want to
change the world, the system is malleable enough that if you
pursue it in the right way, you can make it you can make a dent.
You can. Who is this? Who is this little search? Hey, look
how happy you are. Who’s the best dad? Where’s your dad? All
right, we’ll see you all next time on the online podcast. Bye
bye.
Let your winners ride.
Rain Man David
we open source it to the fans and they’ve just gone crazy with
love us
besties are gone
that is my dog taking a notice your driveway
we should all just get a room and just have one big huge orgy
because they’re all just like this like sexual tension but
they just need to release
you’re a bee
waiting to get