Guys, my fucking dog in jail Joker’s in jail. Joker got in
jail again. Okay, so he’s been jailed in Italy. He was jailed
in Palo Alto. When will that dog learn? I’ve spent quality
time with my dog. He’s out of control. Why do you got jailed?
Because he’s a runner. He went to he’s a runner. He’s a runner.
He’s a track star. He uh the the we we we send him to like a
you know, like the dog walker where he goes and runs around
and they come pick him up but then they the guy opened the
door. He took off. Anyways, he gets found. They they’re trying
to call me um because I guess my number is on the thing which
I hadn’t realized. You don’t pick up? Can’t reach me. Well,
I’m in I’m in DC in New York and uh they put them in the
kennel and we get this picture and Nick, you can post the
picture but you know, cuz I sent it to you. Poor poor Joker
and dog Joe. He’s a great dog. The but he is he is. Wait, is
he back? Did you get out? He’s back. We got him back but he’s
back. He’s out of jail again. Honestly, he’s only gonna learn
if he goes to jail. You should get a little tag for him. Those
little uh remote tracking. Bro, that’s not, I mean, it’s
great but it doesn’t stop him from escaping. That dog,
there’s something wrong with that dog. Um remember when he
came over, when Saks came over? Yeah. And the dog was like
growling at him and Saks was like, not hunched in the
corner like. It’s the only dog that doesn’t like me. I mean,
every other dog, every other dog. What country was that dog
trained in? No, he’s not been trained. He’s not been trained.
We have to train him. I mean, I I I get it. He hasn’t been
trained but he’s so cute. Did you train that dog to hate
white people?
That dog is a little racist. I’ll say it.
Rain Man David Saks.
And instead, we open source it to the fans and they’ve just
gone crazy with it. Love you guys. Queen of Kinhwa.
Alright, everybody. Welcome to another episode of All In.
The podcast that you’ve been listening to for 48 episodes.
Here we are on the precipice of greatness. 49 episodes in with
us again today, the Queen of Kinhwa, your science ambassador
David Friedberg. Also on the pod, the Rain Man himself.
Definitely his dad lets him drive in the driveway. David
Saks and batting cleanup, the dictator himself Chamath
Polyhapitiya. What did we all think of last week’s pod with
Bology? I felt it got cut off too soon. I was getting into a
groove with Bology and I’m trying to figure out how to pick
that up with him because I thought that we were getting
into some pretty interesting discussion towards the end and
we obviously ran out of time. Chamath had to hop off. So it
would it would have been great to keep that conversation going
with Bology. I really do think there’s a big question mark on
like, how does the decentralized centralized web or
decentralized social networks in particular work with respect
to kind of that, you know, recommendation application
layer, which is effectively what search solved on the
internet. And so I’m curious to keep the conversation going and
seeing, you know, what this means. I made the decision to
end the pod because Chamath had to go, Saks had to go, there was
a hard stop. And I was like, I don’t want to keep this going
without the other besties. And people were very upset. They
thought I shut it down abruptly, but we had a certain
amount of time and we can always have them back. So
everybody relax. But I did look at the stats. We each came in
with our, you know, whatever percent pro rata and he had
double so he had 40% and we all had basically. Which is right
for a guest, I think. I felt right. Didn’t it feel right? I
think it’s important to hear what when folks come on, what
they have to say. He’s a really smart guy. And, you know, you
can kind of just let him go and riff for a while. And then just
react to him. So I think it’s, it’s lovely to hear such a deep
thinker. Think out loud, quite honestly.
Yeah. And even if you don’t agree with him, I don’t agree
with him on a lot of his points about, you know, decentralized
everything. I think centralized works for, you know, many things
better. I’m curious, Saks, you know, looking back on it, were
there moments that you felt maybe you disagreed with him
more or agree with him more and wanted to lean into a
conversation? Obviously, it’s very hard to have five people on
a pod and only get a certain amount of airtime, etc.
Well, look, I think, I think biology is a great guest to have
on once in a while. I mean, it does kind of turn the pod a
little bit more into a TED talk. Definitely have that vibe, but
the fans liked it. And I mean, biology should have his own show.
I mean, he can go for a while. I mean, he’s got a lot to say for
hours. Yes. And he has, he has. And I think he should do his own
show because there’s definitely a huge fan base for it. And, and
if people want more biology, I interviewed him for about an
hour on purple pills, which is kind of the, the, I don’t know
if you want to call it solo pod solo show that I do where I
occasionally interview people on calling download call in and go
check out purple pills. So yeah, you know, I gave biology a
little pep talk coming in saying, Hey, listen, it’s a
roundtable discussion. And I’ve interviewed before and you can
kind of tip into the monologuing and explaining very big picture
things. So just try to pass the ball a little bit here. And I
think he did adjust his game a little bit. But it’s, you know,
it’s hard to have somebody like that on. I think you pointed out
sacks that it’s more like a TED talk for him. We’re having a
conversation and he’s used to being interviewed. And I think
that is a that’s a transition. But, you know, it was fine.
Let’s move on. Yeah. Okay. So I think we’ll start off with
something we talked about on episode nine, which was coin
basis CEO Brian Armstrong wrote a very controversial blog, very,
very controversial blog post. Exactly a year ago, Coinbase is
a mission focused company. At the time, he was dealing with a
never ending debate inside his own company about Black Lives
Matter about social justice and any number of issues. And he
said, Listen, the company is mission focused, our mission is
to, you know, make people more financially independent,
literate, etc. And we’re going to ban any discussions on our
electronic communications, you can do things on your own time.
And it was quite controversial. At the time, we had a good
discussion, I re listened to our discussion, I re listened to
our discussion on that pod. And we all universally felt like it
was the right move. Well, he went ahead and picked up the
hornet’s nest. He did not have to talk about this ever again.
Everybody had forgotten about it. And he grabbed the hornet’s
nest ran into the end zone and spiked it. Jason, can you Well,
before you do that, can you say how many people left as a result
of his blog post? And all of you know those stats? Because I
think I don’t have those stats. But it was 5% ended up leaving.
There was a big article about it. This was I think I think it
was worth him doing a follow up post. This was the one year
anniversary of his blog post. And he was kind of giving us a
status update. And what he basically said is that the
policy had worked. So you got him. So first of all, should we
just review what the policy was? The policy was that they were
going to declare the workplace to be politically neutral that
people would leave their politics to the door, they would
not have sort of extraneous political conversations at work.
That doesn’t mean you couldn’t support whatever causes you
wanted on your own time or tweet whatever you want on your own
time. But while you’re at work, they would declare it to be sort
of a political DMZ, like a demilitarized zone. Basically,
all he was doing was reasserting the old center, the old etiquette
of Hey, when you go to work, you you’re not engaged in your
Yeah, you’re paid to work, you’re not there to engage in
political activism. So that was the policy. And of course, the
woke mob became completely hysterical about it, as it
turns. And so then what happened is that Brian offered everyone a
very generous severance policy if they didn’t want to stick
around for the policy. Yes, extremely generous. They made it
really easy, certainly done generous, right? They made it
really easy for people to check out if they want to check out
well, only 5% took the policy people. Yes. And then on the
heels of that, there was a gigantic New York Times hit
piece against the company, the usual disinformation and
slanders against the company. And then now we have this
follow up piece. And I think what Brian basically reported is
that today Coinbase is a more aligned company, because
everyone who’s there wants to be there for the mission. That’s
what they focus on when they go to work. He talked about how
they had hired top talent away from other companies. I mean,
basically, he put out the bat signal, and people came running
because, you know, we have, they wanted neutrality, they did not
want people are voting with their feet. They’re fed up with
the politics and distraction. And and I think the employees
were secretly relieved that he declared this policy. Basically,
he took the heat on himself for the larger benefit of all the
employees who just wanted to be there and work and not have to
wonder whether they’re doing something right or wrong,
because they’re on the wrong side of a political issue.
freeberg nailed it when he said, in our episode nine,
which you go back to freeberg, you may not remember your
comments, but you said, What about the employees who just
want to come to work and don’t want to engage in political
speech? Now you’re infringing on them to force them to be
participate in these discussions. And they don’t have
a choice because they need to feed their families need to go
to work. And so freeberg, I think you’ll take a little
victory lap there. He says in this tweet storm, I’ll just read
the third part of it. One of the biggest concerns around our
stance was that it would impact our diversity numbers. Since my
post, we’ve grown our headcount about 110%. doubled it, while
our diversity numbers have remained the same or even
improved in some metrics. So all of the hand wringing, and
pearl clutching that this would have a negative effect on the
company has turned out to be wrong. Go ahead, Chamath and
then freeberg. I mean, if you want, it’s like, I think it’s
important to set the context for what this is, there is a
productivity war going on inside of institutions around the
world. And what’s happening is that people’s personal beliefs
are bumping up against what the mission and goals, operational
goals of a company are or a university or all these other
places. And so this is probably the first big example. This is
a what is a 50 $60 billion public company, $40 billion
public company that basically said enough’s enough. This is
our mission, everybody else basically just needs to shut
the fuck up. And I think that that’s very important. Now, if
they then go off and actually crush their goals, that’s the
one missing piece in all of this, because when that happens,
then you can write a through line through all of this and say,
okay, this is in part what allowed them to do it. So I
think that the the the folks that you know, were really up
in arms, still have one small straw in the fight, which is
that if these guys don’t achieve their goals, they’ll point to
this as one of the reasons why, but a whole diversity of
strength, or if you know, like, yeah, you’re suppressing free
speech, you know, that argument. But I think if Brian then goes
and delivers a couple of knockout quarters in a couple of
knockout years, then, you know, what he will be able to say
definitively, which no one can refute is, we leave our politics
at the door, we define our okay, ours, and then we go and we
build things that people need as a company. And then you go
off and you can do whatever you want. And I think that that’s
very powerful for many companies and institutions.
Friedberg, you heard my recap of what you said last, I’m not
sure if you remember to re listen to what are your
thoughts today?
I think it’s, it’s worth just noting less about the
particularities of what was said in the particular issue at hand
here. And I would look more to kind of Brian’s leadership style
as an excellent example of defining and creating strong
culture, culture in an organization can give that
organization what it needs to succeed, it puts everyone
aligned in a specific way on how we make decisions, how we
operate, it doesn’t matter what his particular beliefs and
opinions or what to exclude what to include in the dialogue and
the discourse and the model for discourse within the
organization. I think what matters that he put a line in
the sand, and he said, this is what we’re going to do, this is
what’s in, and this is what’s out. And organizations that do
that and do that effectively generally win, they win more,
they do better, the teams are aligned, the teams are more
unified. And I think that definition may sometimes be
controversial. And you’ll notice that as companies get bigger, go
public, they’re larger, they bring in professional managers,
and the founder or CEO steps out, they generally don’t do
that, right, they generally try to not do that definitional
work, because they’re trying to minimize loss, and not kind of
take the bet on maximizing long term gain and doing the things
that they think culturally define, or will enable success
long term. So I think it’s a great example of leadership
generally on how you kind of can, can be very vocal about
defining a strong culture.
Elon calls it I think Elon calls it corpo speak.
What happens, like,
we’re meeting most companies, when they get bigger, they
gravitate towards corpo speak. And then what happens is some
cohort of employees who are really good, just feel trapped
in this kind of morass of mediocrity.
And by the way, look at Elon’s, you know, call it attrition
rate, right? By the typical large scale public company
corporate metric of like, how many people are leaving per
year, you’d say, Oh, my gosh, something’s up with that
organization. But it really speaks to a strong culture.
There’s a company that’s famous for this called Bridgewater
Associates, you know, run by Ray Dalio $100 billion hedge fund,
one of the best performing investment vehicles of all time.
And they have incredible culture. I’ve talked about Ray
Dalio’s book principles before, and some of the work he’s done
on this, where he is so adamant about getting culture right
within the organization, how you operate, that they almost
have, I think, a 30% attrition rate after the first year of
people that come in, because they not only try and screen
for these elements of what they consider to be the right
cultural fit for their organization up front, but then
they also screen people the heck out of the door if they’re
not a good fit. And I think Elon has a similar sort of model.
And you know, I think Brian, the way he speaks about the
organization is a similar model. And it’s about defining
the lines. It’s about being very crystal clear about what’s
in and what’s not, whatever, if you as a CEO, and a founder,
whatever you believe, you need to believe in it strongly. And
you need to communicate it clearly and then communicate it
and then let people vote. They vote with their feet. They don’t
get to vote whether to change it. They just get to vote
whether they get to stay or whether they go. And I think
that that’s a really smart. I think that’s well said. Yeah,
I think there’s one other issue here. Jake, Jake, how this goes
back to your point about why did Brian have to bring this back
up? Was it unnecessary? Did he spike the hornet’s nest in the
end zone? Here’s why I think it was necessary. If you go to
point seven and eight of his tweet storm, he says it was the
most positive reaction I’ve gotten from any change I’ve made
in the history of the company, which is saying something, how
could something be so negative in the press, but turn out to
be incredibly, incredibly positive with every stakeholder
95% of of employees privately, all the investors are telling
him it was a great thing. And then what he says is the only
sense I can make of it is there’s a huge mismatch right
now between people stated and revealed preferences. And we’re
operating in an environment of virtue signaling and fear of
speaking up. So to me, this is the point of this tweet storm
and bringing up now is without people like Brian standing up
and saying what the truth is that look, everybody wants this,
they’re just afraid to articulate the principle that we
keep, we keep encouraging this climate of fear. And you know,
the alternative to Coinbase, you know, one of the other companies
we’ve talked about is Apple. I mean, you can basically choose
to be Coinbase or Apple, what has Apple done, they booted out
Antonio Garcia Martinez, because of a passage in his book that
they knew about. And ever since then, the company has been
roiled by boycotts and petition writing from the employees
about some new cause every couple of weeks,
and eventually that’ll show up in the operating results of the
business. It’s just a matter of time.
Right. And so so why does that go on? I mean, I’m sure most
employees at Apple don’t want to be, you know, constantly roiled
by these, like, petition campaigns. But they have to put
up with it, because everyone’s so afraid to speak up. And that’s
why it’s important that what Brian, do we have to basically
recognize that this woke mob who’s cowed everyone to silence
is maybe 5% of these companies. And if everybody just acts like
Brian, the problem will be over.
Well, we know we know what the trail of breadcrumbs is right
now. And I think we should probably, you know, shine a
light on it, which is that that 5% is exactly the same as
Donald Trump, they just exist on the left, you know, and there’s
an there’s more and more research that shows that just as
much as we thought they were right, authoritarians, they’re
also left authoritarians. And this is what we’re seeing that
that the craziness that you know, everybody decries on the
right, actually also exists on the left.
And they just put a button on that before we pivot to the
next story. Armstrong was very clear that the mission is about
global wealth inequality. So staying focused on that, in his
mind is the high order a bit and will result in the most great
change. So paradoxically, or ironically, you know, all these
woke people attacking Coinbase, Coinbase might do more for
wealth inequality, and justice in the world. If they stay
focused, then if they try to tackle everything, and you know,
this is a road to nowhere for Apple, I think sacks, you
pointed this out about how if you were running Apple, you
would fire anybody who does a petition, because I’ll tell you
where Apple is about to basically land by enabling all
of this woke mob inside their own company by coddling them
addressing them and not keeping them focused, they will
eventually get to the fact that China is, you know, has 3
million Uyghurs in a concentration camp. And those
Uyghurs are proven to be providing through slave labor,
equipment and components to companies that eventually make
their way to Apple products. Ergo, Apple support slavery. And
that’s what the employees will eventually get to and that will
cause chaos.
But there’s something even closer, more closer to home
that that’s probably true, or could be true. I don’t know.
It is true.
But, you know, the fact that Apple had the most important
security leak in their entire software career, just a few
months ago, is also quite important. Like you had a
zero, why is it important?
You had a zero. So the iOS 14.8 exists because of why, because a
researcher or a set of researchers in Toronto discovered
that there was a zero click exploit in iOS that allowed you
to basically turn on the microphone, turn on the camera,
you know, grab anything you needed from iPhones, it was the
most secure device until two months ago, when it turned out
it was actually the most insecure device. So I tend to
think those kinds of technical mistakes happen when people take
their eye off the ball. And I think people take their eye off
the ball, because they’re demoralized with dealing with
distractions.
Saks.
Yeah, I mean, I think it’s the whether it’s the Uyghurs or the
security issue, it’s a good example of the employees at
Apple, see the spec in somebody else’s eye, but not the log in
their own. I mean, that’s, that’s the principle. And, and
they would be much better off focusing on dealing with their
own internal issues. But but let’s go, can we go back to that
article that Chamath referenced about?
Yeah. Anything you got anything else on this issue? Do you want
to before we segue over?
No, I thought this is a really great article. Do you want to
explain it? Jaco?
Yeah, I’ll just give you a quick overview. And then you can dive
right in since you put it on the docket psychiatrist and author
Satel, hopefully I’m pressing that correct wrote an article
for the Atlantic entitled the experts somehow overlooked
authoritarians on the left. The main point here is that Trump’s
presidency sparked a ton of research and coverage of
authoritarianism on the right, but mostly ignored the left with
some researchers even suggesting that the left wing, that wet
left wing authoritarianism isn’t real. In an email to Satel, a
social psychologist from Rutgers said the following. For 70
years, the law, the law in the social sciences has been that
authoritarianism has been found exclusively on the political
right. Why is that one reason left wing authoritarian
authoritarianism barely showed up in social psychology research
is that most academic experts in the field are based at
institutions for prevailing attitudes are far to the left
of society as a whole sex.
Well, actually, Chamath put this on the docket. So Chamath, do
you want to introduce what you liked about it?
The reason I saw this, and I thought it was so interesting
was basically we had an entire body of research trying to
understand why some folks are attracted to these
authoritarian figures like Trump. And overwhelmingly, all
the research at the time said they only exist on the right.
And you know, you went and all of this started after Hitler.
And so there was all this research around the, you know,
social and attitudinal reactions to Hitler and how he came to
power and then all of the iterations of folks like him on
the right afterwards. And so people put Trump in that
category. And then they said, it can only exist there. But as
it turns out, when this person did this research, and she
surveyed 7000 people, and all of this data was very well
summarized in this Atlantic article, which I’m sure we can
post in the show notes that folks should read. Lo and
behold, it actually exists on both sides. So as it turns out,
the extreme right and the extreme left are exactly the
same. They’re moral absolutists. They believe in
themselves and themselves only. And they believe anybody else
that outside of where they are, is fundamentally in the wrong.
And if you actually look at that, and see how Trump behaved
in his presidency, and now how you see how the left names and
shames, you actually find a lot of commonality. So the reason I
found that article interesting is that it actually says, again,
what we’ve been saying, which is coming down the middle and
finding, you know, reasonable compromise is the only way
forward, because the minute you start moving in either
direction, you are the same. And that person is an ugly person
that we don’t want around. Let me give the money quote, and
then get your feedback. Friedberg, the similarities in
the study included, quote, similarities between
authoritarianism on both sides, left and right, preference for
social uniformity, check prejudice toward different,
different others, willingness to wield group authority to
coerce behavior, cognitive rigidity, aggression and
punitiveness toward perceived enemies, outsize concern for
hierarchy. And, as Chamath pointed out, moral apple
absolutism, a free bird, I think, authoritarian figures
resolve when a population feels insecure. So I mean, we talked
about this last pod, but I do think that, you know, the
notion of freedom emerges after the comfort of security has
been provided. And I think the absence of security drives
people away from the drive towards freedom, like, when you
have a feeling of insecurity with respect to kind of your
ability to get a job, I mean, remember, Hitler rose to power,
when unemployment, you know, post Weimar Republic was
skyrocketing, people, you know, couldn’t get jobs, they couldn’t
afford food. And the authoritarian figure was going
to provide the security needed, I think, to resolve the concerns
that the population had. And then, you know, people latch on
to that. So, you know, there are moments in time when I think
authoritarianism can emerge with different forms of resolution,
it doesn’t necessarily mean that the authoritarian actor needs to
take a left or right point of view, they’re just going to give
you a path to security, when you’re feeling insecure, if you
don’t feel insecure, you’re going to say that’s ridiculous.
So countries that are wealthy countries that are privileged
with the opportunities that maybe the United States has are
less likely and less inclined to fall in, you know, in favor of
authoritarian leaders. And then as we slip backwards,
economically, unemployment wise, etc, we’re more likely to be to
be in favor of those sorts of actors. And so I think that,
you know, we’ll see him emerge, but don’t you think it’s crazy
that we actually didn’t think it could exist in one end of the
political spectrum? And now it does you have a point in that or
no, I never really understood the whole, like, Hitler’s purely
a right wing guy. Like, he was a, you know, a socialist, and he
was trying to enable, like, you know, socialized services and
socialized systems for people, you know, in a lot of political
circles, that would be argued as being a very kind of left point
of view. And so I don’t know if it Yeah, I let’s go beyond this
go beyond Hitler. But you’re right, the the Nazi Party was a
National Socialist Party. That’s what that’s what the name
of the party was. But there’s also Stalin, Pol Pot, Mao, I
mean, if you’re paying attention to history, you know, that
there’s been authoritarianism on the left, not just the right.
And so but, you know, in the universities, and in the media,
they only want to focus on the right wing version of it. And I
think what the study does is it upends 70 years of dogma that,
that, you know, authoritarianism is only to be found on the
political right. I mean, it’s obviously can be found on the
political left as well. And you can see that in cancel culture,
in speech restrictions, in these very aggressive COVID
mandates that are now happening. You can see it in the, the sort
of the, the ghoulishness, anytime somebody in the right,
you know, dies from COVID. I mean, there’s, there’s always
some chortling on the part of the left about this, the harsh
penalties for non compliance. I mean, right now, rigidity is
the one that stands out for me, like, there is just on the left,
they make a decision, Amazon is bad. And they cannot move off
of that, right, David, like, what about what about willingness
to wield group authority to coerce behavior? And what about
aggression and punitiveness towards perceived and cancel
culture that would be that to me is it begs a good question,
which is what socialist regimes have come to power without an
authoritarian figure? Has there just none?
They’re all revolutionaries, right? Actually, the study has a
really good point about this, which is they they say that the
researchers describe what they call the anti hierarchical
aggression. So one of the traits of authoritarianism is, is they
call it an outsized concern for hierarchy. But you know,
leftists think that they don’t believe in hierarchy, but
actually, they do, they believe in an anti hierarchical
hierarchy, which is they want to turn upside down the social
hierarchy, and they’re willing to justify that the ends justify
the means. In other words, if you can turn the hierarchy
upside down, they’ll let you do anything. And it’s actually
pretty scary. That’s where the sort of the revolution comes
from. Here’s a practical thing, jk about what you said, which
illustrates this point even further. Right now, we have a
three and a half trillion dollar bill, kind of meandering
through Congress. And, you know, it’s very much a question
mark about whether it gets passed or not. And one of the
elements that’s in there is free community college. Now, when it
passes, if it passes, there’s a lot of support that that’s
something that the government should do, it’s a good thing.
But if you’re a private company like Amazon, who just announced
that they will give you free college, they’re still a bad
company. And, and this is the example of this intellectual
rigidity that doesn’t actually see the forest from the trees,
what do you really want? Do you want the process where you
control and you meter out progress? Or do you actually
want the outcome where somebody can get a job where they make
15 or $20 an hour, and also now get college paid for? Yes, I
personally want the latter. Yeah, we much better if the
government didn’t have to provide. I’d love I’d love it
if the government could pay for it. But I’m really glad that
Amazon is in a position to pay for it as well. But if you
start to become absolutist and say, Well, no, it just needs to
be top down and metered out this way. And any private
organization that wants to try to do it is still bad. I think
that’s where that rigidity holds us all back. It’s unnecessary.
Here’s where I see the rigidity Chamath is, they keep saying gig
workers are bad. Nobody should be allowed to be a gig worker.
And David had a great interview with the ride sharing guy on
Colin, and in which they talked about the fact and this is
somebody who is super pro advocate of drivers said,
listen, 80% of people do not want to do shift work. They do
not want the government dictating how they work. And I
talked anecdotally with an Uber driver studies making like 70
bucks an hour. So during peak hours, they were fighting to get
minimum wage for drivers. Now drivers are making 20 3040 $50
an hour. Uber rides have gone and Lyft rides. It’s a massive
competition free market works. Well, and they can’t take the
win. They still are so rigid on the left that they’re demanding
whatever that woman’s name is, who is you know, in the pocket
of the arena Gonzalez, Lorena Gonzalez in the pocket of the
unions. How cynical are they? The victory is upon them. Yeah,
people are getting paid five times more three times more
minimum wage, and they still want to screw them. The takeaway
for a lot of people should be that your spidey senses should
go up when folks present solutions as a choice of one
source only. Ah, you know, when things when things can only
happen in one way, and it’s the way that I feel the most
comfortable. Yeah, your spidey sensor should go up and you
should think to yourself really is that is that really the only
way like can’t we have choice? Can’t we have different ways of
solving this? Can’t maybe we could run an experiment and see
what happens? Go ahead, sex? Well, I think your spidey sense
should also go up whenever somebody is basically saying
that speech needs to be censored for some higher purpose, you
know, that that that whenever people are trying to a bridge
and take away our rights, and our sort of long held values,
our freedoms, you have to start getting concerned. And there’s
always a reason why they want to do it. In the study, the quote
that the left wing authoritarians agreed with was
getting rid of inequality is more important than protecting
the so called right to free speech. So there’s always some
higher reason the means always justify the the ends always
justify the means. But but that’s that’s what you have to
look out for is when they’re taking away your right to
speech to another fun proof point. Fun because it’s Dave
Chappelle that you can listen to or watch to see a flavor of
this left wing authoritarianism is called redemption song, which
is a little clip he put out recently. And the the entire
clip is more about him getting his body of work back from
Comedy Central. But the part in the beginning talks about
folks on the left that really tried to dunk on him when he got
COVID. And you should just listen to his reaction and how
he frames it. Because I think it’s pretty powerful. And again,
it explains that extremism on both sides, they actually end up
looking the same. Yeah, aggression and punitiveness
towards perceived enemies. And I think that applies to anyone
who anyone who defies that, that whatever the conventional
wisdom is on COVID. There’s another another example in the
study of that, that the people who the left wing
authoritarians agreed with the statement, I cannot imagine
myself becoming friends with a political conservative. So you
know, you’ve got these social groups that are completely
uniform. And by the way, there’ve been like studies for a
long time showing that liberals are twice as likely as
conservatives to be upset if their son or daughter were to
marry someone of the opposite party. So this has been a this
has been turned up in polls for a while, but this and you’ve
seen it on universities and college campuses, right? But
there’s this idea that you know, anybody of the other political
side is just suspect, you know, morally suspect needs to be
shunned, needs to be expelled. Like those are the people you
have to be concerned about. Yeah, you can’t be friends. I
can’t be friends with the USACs because you voted for Trump.
It’s just ridiculous. No, but it’s, I think it’s the
derangement to give the other side of this, I think Trump was
so extreme, and so trolling, and so great. I mean, if you
think about his superpower, it was to troll the left and put
them into such a deranged mindset, that they did actually
become that which they hated most.
Right. But he did, he did troll the left. But But here’s, but
here’s the thing is that we only hear in the media about the
authoritarianism of the Trump administration, how many times
were they screaming fascism during the Trump years, and, and
now today, and of course, you know, if you go to MSNBC, it’s
January 6, all day, all the time, that’s all they want to
talk about. But you there’s a total blind spot with respect to
the authoritarian tendencies of the left, which we see right now
in COVID policy. I mean, it is getting so extreme right now.
And I mean, Friedberg, you posted a breaking news that just
announced by a press conference, Gavin Newsom is now
implementing mandated COVID vaccines for all public K
through 12 schools in California starting this fall.
Wait, wait, these students?
Yeah. All eligible kids in all in all public schools, in all
public schools, in order to go to school in California, you
have to have a vaccine.
I mean, kindergarten, kindergarten.
Well, I mean, they’re not eligible yet. If it’s when
they’re eligible.
Yeah, they’re, they’re, they’re gonna be eligible very soon.
I mean, look, I, I, so, so we have a 13 year old and 11 year
old and a five year old, the 13 year old got vaccinated, she
wanted to, we supported it, the 11 year old wasn’t eligible,
she didn’t get a vaccine, she got COVID. For me, it was a
mild case. And our five year old isn’t eligible for the vaccine,
he never got COVID. Now, if, if and when a new vaccine comes
out that our five year old is eligible, I don’t think he
needs it. I mean, I’m not anti-vax. I mean, I’m glad I got
the vaccine. I’m glad, you know,
Is he going to school?
My 13 year old got the vaccine. Yeah, he goes to school.
I guess the question is, do you, if it is safe, do you want
them going to school, catching it, spreading it? And do you
want them to not have to wear a mask?
How can you say conclusively, what’s safe for a five or six
year old at this point in time?
It’s a little hard, their bodies are developing. And yeah,
you need some time.
I mean, do we really need to mandate this? I mean, why, why
can’t parents make up their own decision?
Because of other people in society who would be impacted.
I mean, you also see this, you know, look, I think, I think
vaccines maybe are a complicated debate because vaccines do
actually provide protection. Let’s talk about these mask
mandates, which I supported at the beginning of the pandemic
because it’s all we had to fight it. But you take an example,
like San Francisco still has these stringent mask mandates.
The mayor of London Breed was caught out at dancing, singing
at a club, screaming, but in fairness to her, it was Tony,
Tony, Tony. I mean, yeah, I mean, that’s what she said was
her defense. She was like, she was basically like, it’s Tony,
Tony, Tony guys. What do you want me to do? I’ll risk the
COVID, which is I had to give her that one. If you want to
risk, if you want to risk to play poker or see your favorite
artist, I mean, I mean, what do you want to do? What do you
want her to do? Let me ask this question.
What she said when she got caught was actually correct,
which is we should be out supporting restaurants. We
should be out supporting nightlife. Adults should be able
to make their own decision about the risks they’re willing to
take. The problem is she’s not willing to give the rest of us
that choice, right? And we can all make our own choice. And by
the way, look, the idea that the COVID is not going to get
you. What you know, once you take off your mask, when you get
to the table, you know, we’ve talked about this, right? Yeah,
you wear the mask and the meter D stand to the table, then you
take it off to eat and drink. And the COVID somehow not going
to get in. She was saying she was like, I listen, they were
like, you weren’t eating, we have you on video, you weren’t
drinking. She’s like, it’s unrealistic for an adult to put
the mask on and off in between sips and bites. And I was on a
flight and I was flying coach as opposed to a business class
recently. And when I was in business class, I was eating and
drinking. There was no entire foreign language so far you’re
speaking. What are you saying?
Most people pay for a plane ticket, and then they get on an
airplane.
So but the interesting thing was, when I was in business
class, I was eating my meal, I was drinking, no issues. I had
the mask off for whatever 20 minutes I was eating and
drinking. When I was in coach, same situation, the flight
attendant was going up and down the aisle. And while people
were eating and drinking, if they didn’t have the mask on,
she was kind of being like a whole monitor saying please put
your mask on in between bites. And I was like, okay.
Yeah. And when we supported this mask mandate way at the
beginning of the vaccine, we all thought the government’s
going to distribute n 99 or at least n 95 high quality 3m
masks, right? We never got those. We never got it. I know
people people are like walking around wearing these cloth mat,
these loose fitting cloth masks. It’s ridiculous. It’s
theater, the COVID goes, you know, through the bottom over
the top through the side, go right through it. I mean, like
it doesn’t do anything. And you’re the Lone Ranger. Yeah.
How’s that? Well, I mean, I look if you were a high quality,
like, you know, PPE type mask, I think it might be helpful. But
you know, it’s a marginal benefit once we have vaccines.
Oh, by the way, just as we end this, what do we think of
Andrew Wiggins? Well, you can’t comment on this, maybe because
you’re an owner on the team, but a number of NBA players,
high profile ones, in fact, in New York and California, where
you’re not allowed in the arena if you’re not vaccinated, are
now deciding to sit out their home games. So Kyrie Irving
being the highest profile one is refusing to get the vaccine.
And he will be getting paid. He’s got a $200 million contract
max player. I think he gets $40-50 million a year. He’s
going to give up half of his salary to not $20 million a
year to not get the vaccine at least and leave his team to not
play with him in home games. What are our thoughts on
mandating NBA players who are playing inside an arena to be
vaccinated? Did you see Draymond’s interview? I did.
What did what did Day Day have to say about this? He says that
he’s so **** strong, isn’t he? Yeah, he was like, this is
ridiculous that we don’t like respect each other’s like we’ve
made this so political and it’s all like antagonistic as
opposed to just meta recognizing that there are differences and
people have differences of opinion and respecting them and
embracing each other for those differences rather than like
attacking each other and finding fault in each other and
forcing them. And it’s a great point. But I don’t know. I mean,
I don’t think that this point is any different than the point
about, you know, mandating a vaccine for anything, any
workplace, any school. I mean, if you’re going to mandate if
you’re going to mandate vaccines for workplaces and
mandate vaccines for schools, you know, the NBA is going to,
you know, not be kind of excluded here. It’s what it is.
Right. Just happens to be a bigger paycheck and a higher
profile stage. I think as a matter of policy, the right
policy here is to let private employers decide whether they’re
going to require vaccination or not. I think I think private
organizations have the right to do that. If you know, if a
restaurateur wants to say that we are going to be an all vax
restaurant, you want to, you know, they’re only going to take
clientele who are vax, that should be their right to do it.
If another restaurant says we don’t care, people can go to
that restaurant if they want. You know, I think that the free
market can sort of sort this out. I don’t know that we need
the government imposing it. If the NBA decides this is what
they want to do. They can’t
it has decided what decision?
Well, I mean, what I wonder about is how necessary it is. I
mean, given the fact that, you know, all the players are young
and healthy. And if they want the vaccine, they can get the
vaccine. Look, I’m really glad I got it. You know, I think it
but but I just, you know, if given that everybody is
vaccinated now who wants it, I just, you know, what is the
point of forcing that last 10% of holdouts to do something they
don’t want to do? I mean, this is where I think the
authoritarian I would resist the authoritarian impulse.
Friedberg, is there a new pill that’s coming out? I saw a story
today about this. I don’t know if I want to cover that or go to
unicorns. First, Merck published some results on this
basically antiviral pill, it effectively inhibits RNA
replication in viruses. And it’s kind of, it was designed to be
kind of broadly applicable. It was, you know, discovered at
Emory University years ago, and they were testing it for
influenza. And then even priests pre COVID, they were testing it
on other kind of coronaviruses, SARS and MERS. And so the the
data that they just published shows that there’s a 50%
reduction in hospitalizations 50% in hospitalizations, while
for people that are test positive for SARS, COV to
infection, and then they start the pill within some number of
hours, you take a few of these pills, I think they said five
days, right? Yeah, well, they did the test on like, it was
effectively Yeah, four or five days. That’s right. When you end
up reducing the number, the percentage of people that end up
in the hospital by 50%. Now, you know, so the idea is that for
countries that don’t have access to vaccines, you can very
cheaply make this chemistry, it’s a cheap molecule that you
could theoretically produce at scale, and you could ship it all
over the world. And countries that don’t have, you know, broad
scale vaccination programs, they can make these pills available
quickly and cheaply. And then, you know, as people get
infected with SARS, COV, two, they just pick up this pill, you
know, put it in every pharmacy, go grab a couple. And then the
hospitalization rate goes down. We don’t yet know if it reduces
the transmission rate. So there’s a lot of question marks
on like, does this actually solve the problem of the
pandemic? It’s certainly another instrument to blunt the, you
know, the impact pronounce the name of it. It’s mall new, all
new pair of your mall new pair of the government. And by the
way, there wasn’t a lot of people in the study, no one that
took the pill died, people that didn’t take the pill did die in
the in the infection in the infected population, because
they split them right, they gave some people a placebo and some
people the pill, the people that had the placebo, there were
deaths, no one in the group that had the pill, the actual pill
died. And so, you know, so theoretically, we don’t yet have
enough data to know. But there’s also a big question on the side
effects. Typically, these anti viral the RNA kind of blocking
drugs have other side effects. They’re usually pretty mild. But
you know, so so there’ll be a little bit more studying, but
generally, people view this as a super big positive. It’s another
instrument, I’m going to make a I’m going to make a prediction.
Here we go. I think that the combination of vaccines and what
is equivalently Tamiflu for COVID, which is effectively what
this is, is the one to punch we need. So that this basically is
rendered, you’re missing the three, you’re missing a key
piece there, the testing, you must have testing to know that
you have this. But I think that that’s a I think like the
testing is, it’s not efficient, but the solutions exist. My
point is, if you have a combination of all these things,
this is like a flu, which means that there’ll be less ability
for folks to not show up to work, which means that most of
the economy really will get back going. And I think then we
can get back to really addressing what are all that 10
or $12 trillion? How does it show up in the economy? That’s
where the inflation comes from. That’s for all this other stuff.
So I’m, I’m pretty excited by what I read today. But now my
mindset is going to 18 months from now, midterm inflation, I
think that’s going to be what it’s all about.
We ordered 1.7 million courses of this. I’ll call it’s a we
just call it basically, this is the equivalent of a z pack. So
I can call this the impact. If this hits, I’ve taken probably
1.7 million z packs. That’s just on the way back from Vegas.
So I mean, this feels like the endgame and they are going for
emergency use. So let’s keep our fingers crossed. This would
mean the stock market’s going to rip Jamal.
I know, I think the stock market is in a little bit of
precarious position, because if you have to, if you have to
reposition yourself, for inflation, there’s a lot of
tech stocks that will get just absolutely obliterated. Like,
well, when you when you when you have inflation, so the the
order of operations, inflation means prices go up. The
government sees prices going up. And they say, how do we
control that they raise interest rates so that the cost of
borrowing goes up so that then less money is being spent,
right, so that we become a little bit more restrained.
When you do that, then all of a sudden, people have to think
about how much money you’re going to make in the future.
Because if you’re not investing as much in the future, you
won’t make as much in the future. And when you discount
all those dollars back, there’s less of them. And so all of a
sudden, you start to think about, oh, my gosh, well, I want
dollars today, not dollars 10 years from now. That really
puts a lot of pressure on tech stocks, because we trade on
multi year valuations in the future. So inflation is very
bad for technology stocks. Inflation tends to be good for
companies that make money today. Why? Because if I get $1
today, I can put it in this in the, you know, bond markets, or
I put it into a savings account, and I can get more interest
than I would have otherwise. And then separately, you also
want to own things that are physical and real, because
those have more value. So all of that has to then get worked
out into the economy, and we have to make a bunch of
economic decisions. So we so now the solution for that, in
all of those cases, though, is still if you’re a hyper growth
company, you’ll be okay. So if you’re growing more than 50 60%
a year, you’re fine. But if you’re growing 20 or 30%, and
you’re kind of a middling business, and rates are going
up, and inflation is going up, you’re in a very, very, very
precarious spot. And snacks, what do you think?
Okay, well, I think there was, there was a great article in the
Wall Street Journal over the past week called university
endowment mint billions in the golden era of venture capital
is basically talking about I mean, these these university
endowments are like gaining 50% year over year, there’s been
like nothing like it before. There’s so many unicorns being
created. There’s, there’s a separate article in I think
pitch book as well about the rate of unicorn or crunch base.
Yeah, that the rate of unicorn creation, I think last year, it
was like one every few days. Now it’s it’s more than one a day
bonkers. And so you know, we’re getting multiple unicorns now
created every day this year, it’s just this golden era VC,
this engine of wealth and prosperity creation. So that’s
the good news. And to connect this to a point we were talking
about earlier, if the radicals on the left would just allow the
golden goose to keep laying golden eggs, we’re going to have
enough wealth and prosperity to pay for all these progressive
programs in the long run, but they’re not willing to wait. And
so you have in Washington, for example, I think a political
program that really could upset the apple cart. I mean, you’re
talking about a three and a half trillion dollar
reconciliation bill, it’ll probably get brought down to
somewhere between one and a half and two, then you got a 1.2
billion trillion dollar infrastructure bill, they’ve
already spent 1.9 trillion on a COVID relief bill. This is after
the 6 trillion. What would you what would you advise should be
the amount spent? Well, okay, good question. So last year, the
federal government generated record tax receipts, the most
revenue it’s ever raised, and it was about 19 and a half
percent of GDP. When Bill Clinton left office, he broasted
about the fact that government spending was only 18 and a half
percent of GDP. Last year, it was about 30% of GDP. My theory
on this is that if you have government spending as a share
of the economy at around 20%, from a tax and spending
standpoint, things basically work, okay. But as you try to go
up to 25 and 30%, it starts to break, you have too much
deficits and debt, too much money printing, too much
taxation, too much inflation, you become more brittle, and you
start to you basically are, you know, unhealthy, you’re killing
the golden goose. And so, you know, all we have to do is let
the economy keep ripping. 20% of it is going to is going to be
government share. And you’ll be able to fund more and more
progressive programs over time, as society gets richer. And by
the way, this, this prosperity that’s being created in the tech
ecosystem, it’s available to everybody who has a good idea. I
mean, this is not so as we all know, so it’s not just
government that’s creating advancement, and economic
opportunity for disadvantaged people, the tech economy is
creating it as well. And what I worry about is, is why are we
taking so much risk in upending this whole system that is
working quite well? Well, the other thing is, this is all in
the face of there being 11 million open jobs, there’s 1.4
jobs for everybody who’s unemployed. So the idea that in
some way, society is broken, and people can’t be employed. Now,
these might not be there’s only 4 million, there’s only 4
million people looking for work. There’s 11 million outstanding
jobs. Yeah. I mean, it is bonkers. Friedberg, or do you
think this is sustainable? What are your thoughts on spending
and turning over the apple cart as sex?
The longer you guys have me on this podcast, the more likely it
is you guys are going to unmask me as a diehard libertarian. I
will not let my tendencies, you know, come out in full force.
The spending is ridiculous, and there’s a lot of waste. So I
mean, I’ll just leave it at that. What I think is
interesting, though, is this unicorn creation system. This
unicorn creation machine, you know, it’s worth highlighting,
because I think that that crunch base article show that
these unicorns in aggregate were worth like what one and a half
trillion dollars or something. And so those are all private
companies. $3.4 trillion.
Is that the amount of both bills?
3.4 trillion is the total market cap of all the private
unicorns, not just in the US, but at the world. And right now
in Washington, they’re talking about three and a half trillion
dollar reconciliation bill, same size. Can you imagine
government spending, basically the entire value of the tech
ecosystem in one year? It’s bonkers, right?
And so this, but by the way, I mean, like, I think that that
3.5 trillion, you can kind of think about that as being the
future economy of the future global economy, right? So the
entire I just pulled up the latest quarterly stat, but the
entire market cap of public US companies today stands at $47
trillion. The top 500 are about $38 trillion. So you know,
these private companies that are kind of the emerging tech
companies are, you know, call it 10%, or, you know, 8% of all
public today of all public companies today. And, you know,
it used to be the technology company started in Silicon
Valley, sold technology to traditional industries. What’s
happening in Silicon Valley today, and over the last 10
years or so, is that technology, quote, unquote, companies are
becoming the next industrial companies, they are replacing
profound insight. And so this is like what we saw, you know,
Airbnb is a hotel chain without hotels. Uber is, you know, a
transportation company without vehicles, DoorDash, DoorDash,
but but even more importantly, there’s an entire emergent class
of life sciences companies of novel hardware companies. And
these businesses are leveraging their core technology
competence to create an advantage in replacing an old
model of doing industry, they’re not selling into the old school
console. I think that the you know, and people are freaking
out about, you know, some of these big investors like Tiger
Global coming in and writing crazy checks. If you take an
index of the three and a half trillion dollars today and said,
you know what, these guys today are going to be worth more than
the $46 trillion market cap of all the other public companies
that’s it today, in the next 20 or 30 years, that’s a pretty
good way to kind of place your money over a 30 year horizon,
I’m going to go ahead and put as much money as I can into the
index of the private companies, and expect that they’re going to
be worth more than 46 trillion in 30 years, I’m going to make a
10 bagger, that’s a retirement fund for my family. And so it
makes a ton of sense, I think that these, you know, these
unicorns, given the advantages that are involved, you know,
kind of evolving from software and like sciences, and so on, do
end up kind of playing out, it’s going to be ugly. And what
will happen is you’ll end up seeing the asymmetry, you’ll see
the like, oh, my gosh, it’s something that’s 1000x, you
know, 100x return, it’ll become $100 billion public company or
$200 billion public company. And then there’ll be a bunch of
them, they’re going to die. And people are going to focus on the
depths and say, this was overhyped, the bubble is over.
But the reality is the index of companies today, I would be
willing to bet 20 to 30 years from now is worth more than the
$46 trillion of all the companies.
So Chamath, one of the things we’re seeing here, and you’re
playing a small part in it, or a large part, depending on who you
talk to. We now have over 6000 publicly traded companies on US
exchange, we have less than 4000, we have about 3800.
Okay, no, we had 3600 in 2016. According to the research I have
here, according to markets, watch 6000, publicly traded
companies in US exchanges. So what’s the right number counting
the pink sheets and over the counter stuff, which is we’re
seeing dramatically more publicly traded companies,
many speculative ones, or ones where you’re getting to buy in
in year four, five or six, obviously, you’re part of that
with, you know, all the different IPO A’s through what
are you up to now? What’s the Yeah, we have six tech specs, we
have four biotech specs, you know, I mean, I’ve started or
invested in a bunch of others that have gone public.
So let’s look at this through the lens of the public markets
as well.
My macro view is exactly what Friedberg said, we are much
better off with as many technology companies being
birthed and being viable. Because over the long arc of
time, those companies will rebuild things that are today
inefficient and broken in a better way. And the world
becomes better. The question is, for a lot of people, well,
what if the wealth isn’t better, because it’s only, you know, a
fraction of the number of people with a very specific skill set
that many other people don’t have, that I think is a valid
argument. But then there’s a different way to attack this
problem, which is you could actually do something really
meaningful around corporate interest rates and corporate
tax policy that would then get it. Right. So like, even if
those, those 1000 companies, if you assume that that $3.4
trillion 10 x is that’s 34 trillion of eventual market cap,
right, that’s going to be supported by trillions of
dollars of earnings. But maybe those things only have a million
or 2 million employees, but there’s 8 billion eight, you
know, odd people in the world. Well, the way you get the money
into the government’s coffers that they can reallocate it to
everybody that doesn’t work at those 1000 companies is through
sensible tax policy that goes after the companies, because
those companies will still do the job, right? It’s not like
you’re going to choose to not work at a, you know, world
beating startup in a mission that you care about, because of
the corporate tax rate. Nobody’s going to do that. Right. So I
think this is where like, if you if you if you actually take a
step back and think of the bigger picture, the answer is
right in front of us, we just choose not to listen. This is
why you know, again, what Trump did was kind of stupid. You
know, he focused on corporate tax policy, cutting it
unnecessarily. And now what we’re doing is we’re fighting
over tax policy. And part of the reason why this bill isn’t
going to get passed is because of corporate tax policy and
trying to raise it again. But really, what we should do is
actually raise it leave personal rates roughly where they are,
you know, Elon even said, when asked by Kara Swisher this week,
he’s like, I pay 53% taxes. What about you? Yeah, it’s going
to 57. And, you know, it’s 53 5761. Who cares? Sure, whatever.
And he has to the point he made was listen, the pro publica
article was really disingenuous. They said he got a
tax refund. And they didn’t, they never explained. Well,
that’s because he overpaid his taxes massively the year before.
So they’re selectively pulling information. And the fact is,
he said, I will be the first money into SpaceX and Tesla,
I’ll be the last money out. That is something we want more
founders to do, which is never sell their shares and be have
more skin in the game. So I I’m sorry, I disagree with that. I
think that’s a that’s a bunch of fucking malarkey. Why? If you
choose to not sell, so be it. Okay. But look at the good that
Bill Gates has done by selling down Microsoft. So I mean, yeah,
that shouldn’t exist. The Bill Gates Foundation shouldn’t
exist. No, no, no, no, the reproductive protect. It had to
be paid some he did that when he hits his 60 years old. I’m sure
when you know other no, he started to do it when he was 40
years old, Jason. And he sold PayPal, and he was able to use
that money to reinvest in Tesla. I do think putting all the
money back into two companies that are solving two major
issues. He wouldn’t have been able to do that if he hadn’t
sold in the first exactly my point is, let’s not conflate the
problem. If you generate wealth, I think that you should be bound
morally bound by society to put the money back to work. He
chooses to put the money back to work by reinvesting so
aggressively into the things that he’s doing. That’s laudable.
Yeah, I think that’s virtuous. Yeah, I agree. But it’s not the
only way Bill Gates took a different path, which is to
basically take all those profits, sell it down to then
be able to go and put it into the Gates Foundation. People
will take multiple paths. The point that’s the same among all
these people is there’s a moral obligation, they feel to do the
right thing for the future, then we’re in agreement. So let’s
just celebrate that not some tactical thing about buying and
selling. By the way, one other point I’d make them off like
you, you said that, you know, we should tax the the wealth
creation and distribute it. There’s another way to get that
redistribution of wealth, which is to enable access to the
investments earlier, by public pension funds, by the
endowments by the places where people by the retirement funds,
where you know, a broader swath of the population, you know,
have savings sitting and change the accreditation. We’ve
historically kind of forced the narrative that everyone in the
United States needs to have a home and have 80 90% of their
wealth tied up in a piece of real estate. And then we end up
with these massive kind of inflationary bubbles to keep
that value that book value kind of growing for them. The
reality is, if that money was put more productively into
building businesses, via retirement funds that had
access to venture capital, the public pension funds already do
but they should they probably under allocate to venture
capital today, relative to where they’re putting. We talked
about the endowments are crushing and look at the
returns. Another way, by the way, if that was the model, you
wouldn’t need to tax right? You
Well, by the way, one of the brilliant provisions in this
reconciliation bill is they’re actually disallowing retirement
funds to invest in alternative assets, including startups and
and say venture capital insane.
That is so wrong. So wrong. Yeah. What? That’s in there.
Taking pension funds and saying, you can’t have access to them.
You as an individual through a 401k, or IRA, I cannot invest
in alternative rule, right? Yes, partly in response to that.
Well, they should just make it a cap. Don’t you think they
should cap Peter teals? I think
why? Why cap anything? Who’s this? Well, because it was
against the spirit of it. The spirit of the Roth was let’s
let’s discuss this as a specific issue. I’ll tee it up
for you, Saks. Peter teal put his Facebook stock in his Roth.
And yeah, you’re supposed to get that tax free. So you can have
a great retirement. He did that as an end run around paying
taxes on the Facebook investment that became worth billions of
dollars reportedly. So now they’re saying you can have a
Roth, but anything above 50 billion, you got to pay tax on
because the goal here isn’t for you to use it as a shelter
against some massive venture gains Saks.
I don’t have a huge problem with them putting a cap on the
benefit of these accounts. However, my issue with what’s in
the bill, there’s a couple of issues. One is like we said,
they’re disallowing investments and alternatives, which I just
think is bad for savers. Why would you want to do that?
Second is the treatment of what happens when you exceed the cap.
And right now what they’re saying is you have to
distribute out all of those funds and then subject them to
immediate taxation at ordinary income rates, which is
confiscatory because you could have made the investment outside
the retirement account and paid locked, long, long term.
If you do go over it should be yeah, long term tax, of course.
Yeah. And and furthermore, it’s even worse than that. Because
what they’re saying is, let’s say that you do have an
alternative, like an investment in a startup or a venture fund,
you have to distribute it out and pay tax on that, even though
that investment is not liquid, right? So you should be able to
take it out and just be treated normal cap gains and not have to
liquidate it. Do you think what it’s going to do is, it’s going
to get it’s going to give people an incentive, it’s going to warp
the incentives for saving, because what it’s going to say
to people is you want to do well, but not too well, right?
Because if you hit the cap, you’re now subject to a
confiscation, you get penalized. Yes, it should be. So it
shouldn’t be a penalty. Yeah, exactly. I think the way it
should work is you have a cap at any distribution above that,
you basically that becomes the basis for future taxation.
I think all of this can be summarized more simply, I think
that we have, unfortunately, gotten so confused, that we’ve
decided to fix the finish line and stagger the starting line.
Right? Because all of this still doesn’t apply to rich people.
No, this has been rich people, rich people can do all of these
different things. They can set up these out of state trust, they
can set up generation skipping trust, they can be, you know,
qualified investors, they can have QSPS deductions. And so
what this will do, unfortunately, is entrench the
kind of wealth gains that Peter Thiel was able to generate in a
very visible way that will just piss everybody off. And I think
instead, you got to go back to a different to a different litmus
test. So I, Jason, you have been the strongest advocate for
letting people participate in the economy. I have always
agreed with that we need to figure out how we can make sure
more important that it that it isn’t abused. But that’s the
best ways to educate financial literacy so that they can
actually be a part of it. Even the starting line, let everybody
be able to put stuff into this stuff and learn about it.
I mean, what Peter did essentially was put lottery
tickets into his, you know, non tax retirement fund, lottery
tickets being buying stocks in private companies early, but
regular Americans aren’t allowed to do that. So rather than
retroactively try to penalize Peter, because you disagree with
his politics, or because he did it too well. I think it’s better
that everybody be allowed to be an accredited investor and do
what Peter did, which is, everybody should be able to take
their 401k or their Roth and be able to buy the next LinkedIn
Uber. So if you were a civilian, and you took an Uber, or you use
LinkedIn to hire somebody in year two, and you had an
opportunity to buy those shares, you should be allowed to buy it
because you’re a human resources person or Uber driver, and you
realize this is a great service that will change the world
doesn’t take a genius to figure that out. Freebird.
Yeah, look, I mean, the downside is you see speculative
concentrated bets that white people out. That’s the reason
the protective provisions are in there. So I think there are
probably sensible ways of managing that, you know, around,
you know, qualifying, you know, pools of these investments in a
way creating indexes against them, etc. And maybe that’s the
right way to provide access, but you know, giving individuals
that maybe, you know, don’t have the right kind of point of view
on a particular investment, the ability to put all of their
capital into that investment. Generally, I would say go for it.
The problem is we’ve socialized, you know, protection, right? So
and this is the same with healthcare, in a model for
governing or model for a state where you provide socialized
care for people through healthcare, socialized
healthcare, or you provide socialized support for people
through, you know, the social security system and other
services like that. It’s difficult to say, okay, the
government’s going to be your backstop, and it’s going to
provide the support for you. And we’re also going to let you
take risky behavior. And that’s where I think the two have to go
hand in hand. If you want to get rid of one, you got to get rid
of the other. And so because otherwise, we all end up paying
the cost of the person that takes the, you know, outsized
risk. And then we all end up having to foot the bill for that
person taking that risk. So if we’re all going to be there to
protect that person, we have to tell them you can’t take
unnecessary risk. Okay, hey,
Saks, let me ask you a conspiracy theory here.
Peter Thiel supported Trump when Trump was teetering on the
access Hollywood tape, and he went to bat for him, he gave him
a big donation at that time, then obviously did the
Republican National Convention, and was a key intellectual
influencer in his election plan. Now the Democrats are in,
and suddenly the focus becomes this one outsize Roth IRA, and
we’re going to rewrite the law so that Peter Thiel has to take
$5 billion or so is one of the estimates that I saw online on
CNBC out of his IRA. Do you think this is specific
vindictiveness on the part of the Democrats to try to attack
specifically Peter Thiel? I know he’s your best
Well, yeah, I mean, it does feel and I’m not I’m not a Peter
Thiel apologist, but this feels vindictive and personal.
So yes and no. Okay. So what I would say is there have been
proposals over the last I think, going back to maybe even 2014
on providing some restrictions or caps on, you know, these
these IRAs and the Roth IRAs. However, there’s never been a
proposal as punitive and retroactive and confiscatory.
That’s what they’re doing here. And specifically, it’s the fact
that they’re going to force Peter to distribute out
everything above the cap, and then tax it as ordinary income.
I mean, that that’s just changing the rules. That part,
I think, is directed at Peter, and I’ve actually heard that
staffers on Capitol Hill are calling this the Peter Thiel
provision. So let me just confirm that part for you. So
what I would say is, I think there is a sensible way to
provide some restrictions on these retirement accounts, but
the way they’re doing it is so punitive. I think it is
motivated by political revenge against Peter.
Chamath, what do we think of the number of unicorns being
created in the private markets? Obviously, when a company hits
unicorn status, I think they’re going to start buzzing around
and maybe knocking on your door and SPACs and boards might
start thinking about that. These companies sometimes have
$10 million, $30 million in revenue, 50 million in revenue,
and they’re becoming worth a billion dollars. Do these
valuations make sense writ large? And are you concerned
that this is a bubble?
I don’t think there’s a bubble.
Okay. Explain why there’s not a bubble in early stage private
companies.
No, I think it’s because of what we just talked about, which is
that these companies, by and large, are growing at incredibly
fast rates, and they are replacing legacy incumbents that
are growing very slowly or not at all. With and who have
basically won for a long time with inferior products. And so
as the superior products with more nimble organizations get
capitalized to go to market, they’re just going to win. And
so I think what we’re seeing is a wholesale replacement of the
economy, from the old to the new. And so that’s why these
companies will do well. And I think it’s going to be a really
powerful force in the world because like the world should be
a little bit more efficient and fairer when you have all this
modern technology working on your behalf. So I’m a real
supporter of all of this, I think there’s going to be even
more. And I think, you know, the the thing that we have to be
comfortable with is whenever something goes from a fringe
thing, which is what venture capital was, Jason, when all of
us were, you know, first in Silicon Valley 20 years ago, to
you know, today in 2021, we’re sitting here, this is going to
become a fundamental part of the economy. And when that
happens, there’ll be more and more money, the returns won’t be
as good, that’ll be okay, but there’ll be a lot of progress.
And so you know, we’re going through the same transition that
private equity did in the 80s and 90s, that venture that
hedge funds.
Did you see all the different venture capitalists who are
retiring, Bajan from Spark, the kid from Lightspeed, a bunch of
other folks, obviously our friend Bill Gurley is stepping
up.
He’s 50.
Am I doing something wrong here? I’m like busy creating a
venture firm at age almost 50.
What do we think’s behind this? They just made too much money
and they’re
Or is it because it’s too competitive now?
And they’re moving to Wyoming.
I would say it’s slightly different than this. I don’t
know. I don’t know. I mean, I know all of those guys, but I
don’t know what their motivation is. But what I would say is I
tend to think that the mindset of venture has a relatively
short half life. And I think it’s about 15 years.
And I think that there is a and because, you know, company
building is roughly a 10 year arc, you know, like when you
get into something early. And so I think that there is like a
newness whenever you start, I don’t think it matters what your
age is. And then there is this sort of like death march that
sets in by year eight or nine. And then you try to see it
through to returning the capital and making sure all the
employees and founders you’ve been invested with land the ship.
And I think what these guys did was get to that place and say,
okay, I’ve had this 15 year beautiful arc. Do I want to do
another 15 year arc? And for a lot of people, it won’t make
much sense. And then also, I think your patience to do it
goes away. Right? Because it’s like, you guys know what it is.
exhausting. It’s exhausting. The amount of drama I’m dealing
with right now in my portfolio is bonkers. The the the bet I
don’t know if you’re seeing the sacks, but the amount of
shenanigans, bad behavior, fraud, lying, backstabbing is
at an all time. That would be your portfolio. JL. Yeah.
It’s literally three companies. I’m literally dealing with three
companies with drama out of 350. I think it’s one out of 100 is
probably fine. But I am seeing all kinds of shenanigans, even
in the diligence phase. I’m seeing it.
I met something more tactical, which is like, for example,
you know, yesterday, we’re starting something really
ambitious in batteries. And I have to sit there for an hour.
And we have to go through ordering the equipment, setting
up the lab getting human resource. And there’s only so
much of that that you have the energy to do after a certain
amount of time, it’s important work, you have to do it right.
But it feels a little low leverage. Now for that CEO, it’s
everything. And so you have to be on top of your game to help
that person. And I think this is where I appreciate their
honesty, in basically saying, guys, I don’t have that level of
detailed focus in me anymore. And that’s important, because
then a next generation of folks who want to put in that 15 year
journey, you need somebody committed, you need somebody
who’s super committed.
Yeah. And I do think there’s a difference between being a
partner in a large partnership, where you kind of have your
portfolio of companies. And, you know, to Tomas point, you’re
going to be on that arc with them. And then kind of building
a firm from scratch, where like, quite frankly, I would go crazy
the way that, you know, you’re dealing with Jason and Chamath
is saying, I would get burned out if I didn’t have a team.
So we now have like a pretty big team.
How many?
Well, just on the investment team, I think we’ve got about
15 people. And, and then we now have a bunch of operating
partners. So, you know, we were looking at what Andreessen
Horowitz has done with services, you know, we had this big debate
in the venture community for a long time about whether venture
firms should operate, it should offer services and operating
partners. And Andreessen, you know, went hog wild with that.
They’ve got like 200 people doing it. And I think they’ve
proven that it works in the sense I don’t, you know, it’s
not totally clear how much value they’re delivering, but it
clearly works in the sense that founders would like the services
if they can get them.
It’s great marketing, but it may not be.
It’s great. It’s great. It’s great marketing.
Because if you’re a great founder, when you were a great
founder, you wouldn’t want Andreessen Horowitz telling you
how to run your HR and doing your marketing for you at
Yammer.
Right. But so what we’ve done is what we’ve done is focus on
bringing on not 200 people, but an expert in every functional
area that a SaaS company might need, because you do want access
to an expert. When you’re setting up the department, you
want to go talk to the digital marketing person or the legal
person or, you know, or, you know, we have an executive
briefing center now. So we do believe that there is a version
of the services model that makes a lot of sense. And we are
building that if I had to do all of that value add myself, yeah,
I would, I would burn out.
Yeah. I mean, I think it’s a very good point. I literally
last week launched the syndicate.com slash SaaS, a SaaS
syndicate, just for the same reason. So I can build a group
of individuals who are focused just on that and who have that
domain expertise. But they’re the great founders do not want
you up in their business. So I I’m concerned with like that.
That’s why we have like kind of we call it a teach them how to
fish model where we don’t want to do the work. We want to give
them an expert as a resource who can meet with them, show them
show them some best practices.
Do you have people though coming to you expecting you to do the
work? Because that’s what I know happens sometimes. Although
can you find us a developer? And I’m like, no, but I can talk
to you about finding developers, but I don’t have a recruiter on
staff. Do you have a recruiter?
Yeah, we actually do. Now we have three recruiters on staff.
So, um,
so you’re paying a half million dollars a year to recruit for
your company. So that’s a basically, basically, that’s a
big advantage. Is it working? Are you actually landing
developers?
Yeah. I mean, look, we can’t and I don’t give a fuck about any of
this. Anyway, this is us in the weeds. So you want to talk about
some, okay, well, just a couple of a couple of it for a second.
I just want to go back to this like golden era point when we’re
talking about venture capital, because look, obviously, in the
weeds, we’re going to talk about our problems. But I really
think that what’s happening here with a thousand new unicorns
being minted every year is just unbelievable. If you look at the
number of billionaires in the U S I just Googled this. There were
614 billionaires in the U S as of October, 2020. Now there’s
probably more, I don’t know, let’s say there’s a thousand.
Well, if you’re mincing a thousand new unicorns every year,
how many billionaires is that creating?
I mean, how many millionaires more importantly, how many
people who are making 50 to $250,000 a year before they
joined the ecosystem and now are worth millions will buy
homes, hire people start the next but let me just give you
guys the counterpoint to that, which I’m not necessarily
arguing, but I’m this is what I think the narrative is, which is
that those businesses that are kind of, you know, accumulating
wealth and accumulating revenue are effectively destroying the
old economy and shutting down companies and shutting and
destroying 11 million job openings. That’s bullshit.
I don’t I don’t I don’t believe it’s a zero sum game. Yeah, I
think there’s it’s it’s creative. It is disruptive,
right? So, there is a there is kind of a temporal flux and
there’s a flux of people across from the old economy to the new
economy and it’s that flux that I think creates the great
uncertainty and the great heartache that everyone’s
trying to solve. That’s the hand wringing. That’s the hand
wringing. This is this is why it is so important to get
corporate taxation, right? Because if you’re going to
replace GDP dollar for dollar, don’t focus on the fewer
employees that work there. Focus on the largest number
possible, which is the revenue that these employees are
helping to generate for these companies. So, if you had much
much higher corporate taxation, you can play around with all
the personal taxation you want but if a lot of people do get
shut out of the economy, you’re not going to make nearly as
much for the government as you would by taxing companies more.
Chamath, should there be a backstop? Because we know tax
law is so sophisticated and if you’re intelligent, you could
make it seem like you didn’t make any money because you’re
investing, you’re distributing, yada yada. Should there just be
a Hey, listen, whatever you want to do with your taxes is
fine. But x percent of your top line revenue is your base tax.
And you cannot get around that. Should there be something like
that? There’s a couple things that this tax bill attempted to
do, which could be really powerful if it does get passed.
I think that corporations should pay a large tax. I think
that they should be forced to spend a certain percentage on
R&D. And I think they should be forced to spend a certain
percentage on basically benefits for their employees. And
I think that would do a lot to level the playing field. Then I
do think that you can have much higher individual taxation, but
you need to make it simpler because there’s too many easy
ways like that ProPublica article showed for you to play
games for individuals to not pay taxes. And so you got to
simplify all of this stuff because it’s too complicated. So
if you’re rich enough to hire a fleet of lawyers, you will work
all your way around it. Yes. Period. And they repealed it as
part of the EMT was for corporations was repealed as
part of the tax cuts and jobs act. I think I don’t know where
that stands. But it does seem like a lot of companies because
I don’t know how that makes sense. J kal. I mean, like some
businesses run high margin, some are low margin, some are
losing money, some are over invested. I don’t have the
solution. That’s what I’m sort of saying. But one of the I
think one of the optics issues here is, you know, people are
like that company didn’t pay any taxes. That company sells
this many iPhones, that company. Yes. Because they’re they’re
doing what tax laws were designed to do, which is to
encourage investment. So how do you fix it? Give me a solution
for your bird. I don’t I think that once businesses are mature
and they start dividend in cash and making distributions and
they’re profitable, that might be the time to tax them. I’m not
sure why would they ever do that if they had an army of
people saying, Hey, you don’t have to, you don’t want to
if they’re investing in growth, they’re creating jobs and
they’re growing the economy. And that’s fine. I don’t think
they’re creating as many jobs as you think, but they are growing
the economy. That’s why you have to tax the corporation because
that’s the effective proxy for taxing GDP. Yeah, look, I would
be all about. I’ll wear my libertarian hat again for a
second. But like, I would be all about taxation if I felt like
my dollars had a positive ROI where they ended up. And the
problem right now is like government spending is set up
in such a way that it’s effectively been gamified and
people extract capital from the government. And my dollars are
not getting a positive ROI for me or for society. I would
rather have them sit which is why you left. Let’s be honest.
That’s why you left San Francisco. I mean, it’s just
they’re spending more. I left San Francisco. I’ve got a family
and I and I need a backyard. So that’s a little bit but isn’t
part of it that you are San Francisco, a separate degree of
incompetence, but like, but yes, you’re right. They’re spending
more than ever. And it’s getting worse. San Francisco is
a whole nother a whole nother nightmare. Jake out. Well, like
I’m just speaking in California writ large, in general, right
now, whether it’s the state level or the federal level, it
feels to me, and I think it feels to a lot of people that
dollars aren’t being spent in a way that’s generating a return
for the taxpayer. And I think we all feel that way. And I think
that’s what’s frustrating. It’s not about how much one’s being
taxed. It’s about how are those tax dollars being spent? And are
they being spent in a way that secures the future of our
nation of our people of our livelihoods, etc. And making,
you know, giving everyone access to opportunity, what’s happened,
what’s happened, what’s happened is we’ve created things like
student loan programs, and, you know, housing programs and
infrastructure programs that are literally just giving away
money to private companies that are profiteering off of
government spending, right. And it’s as our favorite Professor
Scott Galloway says, it’s one thing I really do agree with
politics, it is it is that there is this notion of crony
capitalism, where the United States and state governments,
even local governments as seen in San Francisco, California,
all the way up to the federal level, are spending money in a
way that I think we all feel is benefiting some
disproportionately to most. Now, if there was a high degree of
taxation, and everyone was benefited in a meaningful way,
and those programs were well managed, and capital flowed
meaningfully to, to support everything we want to support.
Great. I think everyone would raise their hand, raise two
hands and say, tax the heck out of me. Let’s make that happen.
But that’s not what happens. And I think that’s the primary
aversion to high taxation.
Sachs, you get the final word?
Yeah, I mean, look, I what I’m worried about is taxes are going
up big time, no matter what happens in Washington, spending
is going up big time, we now have peacetime deficits that are
the biggest that they’ve ever been, the deaths that the
national debt, the peacetime national debt, the highest
ever been, we have a looming debt crisis in China, we have
supply chain shortages. I mean, you know what, there’s a lot of
things here that could upset the apple cart. And what I’m afraid
of is we’re going to look back at at this year, the 1000
unicorns being minted and say, that really was the golden era
and everything happened. And after that, we really screwed
up.
You sound like the old guy at Starbucks that says that every
generation and complains about the last generation, golden era,
and it’s all down.
How much does music suck today?
Normally, normally, I will say how impressive it is that 10
years ago, none of those unicorns existed. And it is
likely the case that $3 trillion of value was created via private
funding and private companies over the last 10 years. So all
these entrepreneurs, all these employees, anyone working at
these businesses, anyone involved in these businesses
should be thrilled about the fact that you from zero created
three and a half trillion dollars of value in 10 years.
That’s extraordinary.
Yeah, I’m not I’m not I’m not trying to create nostalgia about
the past. I’m talking about the present and trying to preserve
it because I’m seeing some storm clouds on the horizon.
Yeah, I would like to play the best song from Tony, Tony, Tony
is really Yeah.
Okay, everybody, we’re heading out this one’s for you London
breed.
State state approved entertainment.
You can take off your mask for this entertainment.
It’s so good.
I need you guys watch a squid game.
Anybody watch squid game?
No, we have lives.
Nobody watched the game.
My kid, my kid’s been talking about that.
Should I be letting them watch squid game or is it?
No, it’s the most violent Korean horror dystopian show ever
watched. They’re going to be scarred for life.
Oh, I want to watch that.
Hey, sex as a follow up.
Did you, uh, did you watch the squid game?
As a follow up.
Did you, uh, did you stop your kids from, uh, from tick tock?
Did you take your kids off tick tock?
They told.
Yeah, I went in there.
I’m like, kids, what are you watching?
I’ll tell you in a second.
Yeah.
So did you take your kids off tick tock?
Yeah, I went in there.
I was like, kids, what are you watching?
They’re like, dad, get the hell out of here.
Tell us our names.
And he was like, okay, I’ll be right back.
If you can tell me to turn off tick tock by my name, I’ll do it.
David’s like, see you later.
The conversation was, what do you want?
I was watching on tick tock.
I hear it’s all sex and drugs.
They’re like, no, we’re watching dance videos.
I’m like, okay, go ahead.
I trust you.
The dance videos are literally like.
Absolutely.
Sex and drug-based every single one of them.
It is so deviant.
No, stop.
It is not that you’re so exaggerating.
I am so not exaggerating.
Literally, if you listen, take the most obscene lyric to obscene hook to any rap song.
That’s what trends.
Oh, my God.
It’s so true, guys.
Every generation says the same about the next.
It’s unbelievable, right?
No, but it is like explicit.
Listen, whatever.
I mean, like, you know, Pearl Jam and, you know, all the way back to the Beach Boys.
They said it about Elvis and shaking his hips.
Yeah, exactly.
Yeah.
But I mean, no, this, when I say it’s explicit, it is literally explicit.
You just don’t get the youth, Jekyll.
You don’t understand them.
I think I understand it a little bit too well.
Anyway, you do not.
You see you.
Do you listen?
Oh, hey, guys.
Are we going to do the all in summit or not?
I went to the code conference and I was like, this was amazing to get back.
Jekyll, you got to stop talking about ideas and actually just doing them.
What are you talking about?
We create a spot.
I’m just trying to get buy in.
Jason, take a day to do it.
Go just do it.
OK, all right.
I need your buy in.
We have a voting system here.
We’re all in.
My name is Miami, Miami.
OK, first year, second year, Italy.
Not Rome.
All right.
We’ll do first year, Miami, second year, Italy.
Make it somewhat accessible.
I think we do domestic.
You have a cane, so you can’t get there.
You old fucking bastard.
So here’s how it’s going to work.
Two hundred fifty tickets, 200 for purchase, 50 for scholarship.
All in summit.
Three days, Miami.
Sax and I are off to the races.
Why don’t you make it more people, bro?
Why do you have to keep it so exclusive?
You’re just so exclusive.
I want to.
What is it?
I want to invert the top down hierarchy to what?
I want to be a left wing authoritarian.
What is it that I have to believe in?
That is what you are, a left wing authoritarian.
I just want to be rich and powerful.
I don’t care what party I am.
I just want money, status and power.
Let me tell you.
Let me tell you why I like this idea is because to the points we’re talking about with Coinbase
earlier, we you know, we have these conferences in the tech industry,
and they’re frankly run by people who hate tech in the tech industry.
And people who are successful tickets.
Right, exactly.
And so I see these tech founders going up on these stages and subjecting themselves
to these interrogations by people who hate them.
And I’m like, what are they doing?
Like, it makes no sense.
I’m putting up a form.
I’m going to let people take deposits.
I’m going to pick a month and we’re going to go.
How many people went to the conference, guys?
You went to this week?
The code conference, I think was probably three or 400.
By design.
It was a third or half of the tickets.
I didn’t actually buy a ticket because I didn’t want to be in the conference itself.
Because I was concerned about a breakthrough virus.
But I did host the poker game with Skye and Brooke.
Tickets, I think are 8000 for code.
And I think Ted is up to 10 or 15.
So how much are we charging me like $25,000,500,
7500.
We’re charging 7500.
And then 50 scholarships for people who wouldn’t be able to afford it.
So the gross revenue here is we want 1.5 million.
And what’s our cost going to be?
Cost will be a million.
And what so wait, so we’re so we’re making profit on this deal?
No, I’m making a profit.
We spend.
Let me be very clear.
We spend what we spend what we make.
I am buying the wine and you will shut the fuck up.
Okay, so then it’s going to be it’s going to cost 2 million.
So it’s going to make 1.5.
No, no, no.
And if he’s doing the wine.
No, it’s gonna go to me.
I want I want a wine budget so that everybody that comes is it feels like they’ve had an
exceptional food and beverage experience.
So much is gonna spend half a million dollars on wine.
No joke.
So then it has to be 10k a ticket.
But you know what the people who are coming can afford it.
They don’t take out we’re not privileging you with some profiteering.
I’m not profiteering off of it.
Honestly, the reason I want to do it most is I want to play poker for three days.
And I want to have us the four of us interview the most iconoclastic interesting people.
And I want to do it for the fans so that some number of fans get to come who wouldn’t
normally be able to come to a conference at this level.
And I just think it’d be a blast.
It’d be fun to get together.
Okay, stop talking about it and do it.
We’re all okay.
I’ll do it.
All right.
I just want to make sure everybody’s bought in.
I mean, to get you fuckers on a date.
I’ll set a date.
Okay, not not the first week of February, because I think I have a I’m thinking March,
April, March, April.
Also, not the third week of February, because I think I’m skiing in Europe.
Jesus fucking Christ.
Can you give us the dates you’re not gallivanting around Europe and other places?
Bro, I’m grinding every day here.
You see what I’m doing?
It’s like, I’m fucking working hard to I mean, it’s crazy right now.
It’s like, I’ve never seen the market like this.
I mean, it is bonkers.
Enjoy it while it lasts.
What’s that?
Enjoy it while it lasts.
Exactly.
All right, everybody, we’ll see you next time for the dictator Chamath Palihapitiya
for the Rain Man David Sachs and the Queen of Quinoa.
David Friedberg.
I’m Jay Cow.
And we’ll see you on episode 55.
Bye.
Oh,
we should all just get a room and just have one big huge orgy because they’re all just
it’s like this like sexual tension that they just need to release somehow.