Jake out. Do you have intros today? No, I don’t have time
for intros. Oh, come on. Alright, fine. He started as a
nerd with no followers on Twitter. Now, he’s a nerd that
gets recognized when leaving the shitter. He turned water into
wine. He just wants to please us. Now, he’s a mixture of
Kermit the Frog and a science nerd Jesus. He’s the man with
the stands, the queen of the Sultan of Science, the prince
of Prozac, the lord of Lexapro. He gets stops for selfies all
over town. My producer fee gave him a mental breakdown. The
Zoltan of Zoloft, Mr. David Rehberg. It’s true. It did give
me a breakdown. It’s true. But you’re over it now. You just
name dropped three SSRIs in that intro. It’s incredible.
Well, I talked to his, I talked to his psychiatrist. He said
he’s working on the cocktail. Yeah, save some for me. Oh, oh,
you? Speaking of you, he’s got very quick wit and impeccable
grammar. Known for building beautiful products that don’t
work. Oh my god. Like Colin and Yammer. He used to invest in
sass quite a lot. Now, he’s fighting a brigade of Ukraine
bots. He’s spending so much time in his bunker. It’s starting to
get smelly. We see him only three times a week. All in
Tucker and Megyn Kelly. He’d invest in your startup if you
had the knack. But right now, he needs that cash for his GOP
super pack. The world’s biggest asshole, the rain man himself,
Mr. David Sacks. That’s a repeat joke. That’s not. I know
but it kills every time. So, I’m gonna keep repeating it
until you stop laughing. His wardrobe cost so much, he can’t
get into a scuffle. He bought all his friends with his white
truffles. He scaled Facebook to a billy. That wine collection,
it’s just **** silly. He’s on the world tour meeting with
princes and kings. Is he talking luxury sweaters or maybe
bigger things? The dictator himself, Chamath Palihapitiya.
That was really nice actually. Wow, I mean, I appreciate you.
You were obviously trying to get invited to dinner tonight.
Exactly. I’m trying to get off the alternate list. He’s trying
to get off the alternate. The email was harsh. Nine was
alternate. I know you would troll me. I know I have a seat.
As for me, I’m the world’s greatest moderator who can’t
take a note. Compared to these guys, I’m just a millionaire
who’s broke. The all-in summit almost killed us but we came
back from death’s door. I knew we peaked when Freeberg took
over the dance floor. We love the fans but we love each other
more. Thanks for the first 100 fellas. Here’s to 100 more.
Really good. Wow. That’s really really good. Look at you
touching him. Surprisingly, you became prepared today. First
time. He fought after 100 episodes. He finally figured
out he has to prepare. So, that was the note. Just prepare. Just
do your job. Just do your job. Do your job. Do your job. Do
your unremunerated job. Do your job. Speaking of
unremunerated, we heard that somebody’s grifting off the pod.
Oh, yeah. So, good point. What we heard, Sax, is that you got
a big care package for Moncler. Yeah, that’s true. What? What I
think we’re all gonna declare today is that we all wanna wet
our beak and if Moncler sends each of us a care package, we
will all wear Moncler gear at episode 101. Moncler’s my brand.
Google your own brand. Yeah, we decided to. Jamas got Laura
Piano. I got Moncler. You go get like, you know, Izod or
something. I don’t know. Actually, I got Izod too. You
have to do this. I have Uniclo. I got Uniclo. We got Gap Kids
for J Cal. Sax, you didn’t you didn’t declare your Moncler
gift package by the way. No, I did. That was the discovery we
made this weekend. So, I wanna thank I wanna thank the folks
at there’s a company called and they sent me this gift.
Actually, this hoodie, this Moncler hoodie which I never
seen before. What is this plug you? They send you a hoodie for
$1200 and they get a $50,000 plug? There are several other
things that I’ll bring you guys each a shirt from Moncler. Oh,
we get the shirt. Yeah. These guys are getting hundreds of
thousands of dollars of revenue. Yeah. How bad is your
portfolio that you’re grifting? Did you put this Moncler stuff
onto like eBay after you got it? I was already wearing it and
they sent me more. So, I’m gonna wear this hoodie. It’s
pretty cool. What can I say? I’m not gonna. It’s three cents
and all of a sudden, you’re grifting. I just for everyone
listening, I’m looking for a wardrobe. Okay, just send my
package to my office. Let me tell you something. There’s no
upgrade that’s gonna help Freeberg. I think you’re ****
No, I’m gonna bring you guys Moncler shirts to the poker
game tonight. Gee, thanks, Sax. Appreciate that. How did how
did you guys even find out that he got this gift? We’re at his
Fleet Week party and there was a Blue Angels party and there’s
someone there who started telling me like, did you hear
that Sax got this whole thing? Oh, somebody. There’s a rat?
There was a rat. I’m not telling you. Oh, there’s a rat.
But someone told me. He’s got a mole. Yeah. We were talking
about the podcast. We were talking about Sax’s hat. 100%
it was Woolway. 100%. No, no, it wasn’t Woolway. No. 100%.
Was it Jeff? No, one of my one of my friends was in the man
cave and he saw this like care package from Moncler and he
really admired this like jacket. It was like a puffer
jacket but with like wool sleeves or something. Oh, so you
gave it to him? And I gave it to him. He liked it so much.
I’m like, here, you take it. He’s not even on the pod. He’s
not even on the pod. Give it to producer Nick. So, he was
walking around with it. He was really appreciative. So, maybe
he said something or or what? I can’t believe this. The grift
is crazy. Let’s just say there was a lot of conversations
going on about your care package, Sax. Well, and it
makes us wonder, Sax. Are there other care packages that have
come in and like. Or Chamath. Have you been promoting other
stuff on here? So, who makes the couch behind you? Magazines
that you wouldn’t want to read. Chamath, how much of your
Loro Piano have you actually paid for over the past year?
That’s. 100%. I would never, I would never accept it for free.
Oh. It’s it’s important. Look, wait, no, all joking aside.
It’s hard if you’re running a clothing business especially if
you’re like a small niche provider of stuff. So, you know,
you have a responsibility to pay for this stuff not to grift
and get it for free. No, I know. When I was at the Loro
Piano store on 57th Street in Manhattan, the 18,000 square
foot store, I was thinking the same thing. These poor people,
how do they survive? Well, Loro Piano. 270 dollars square foot
rent. How are they making it? I would. Purveyors Friedberg.
Exploiting poor baby goats. Well, whatever. I mean, the fact
is the market’s down. There’s gonna be a little grifting on
the margins. It’s understandable. Let your
winners ride. Rain Man David Saxon.
I’m going all in. Freeberg, he loves to produce every
seventeenth episode. He does a great job. Oh, no, I like to
prepare or at least know what the heck we’re gonna talk about
when we get together. And here are some prompts. He he got
these prompts because he’s not doing his job. Yeah. Go ahead.
Sorry. Oh god. Alright. So, first up on Freeberg’s
curiousness. This is Freeberg. This is how you’re gonna do it.
Let’s skip ahead to the next section. Come on. No, no, no.
Okay. So, go, go, go. Why do you think Chamath people love
the podcast? Why do you think they listen? Why do you think
they love it? What what is the the phenomenon? What what
lightning has been captured in this bottle? First is I think
that they appreciate our friendship. It’s kind of like
odd and quirky. And I think a lot of, you know, it maps to
like relationships that they have amongst their own friends.
So, that’s what makes it relatable. But the second is
that all of us uniquely have a point of view about stuff that
matters more and more in the world. I think that’s just the
basics of it. Like, it’s not like technology’s going away.
And it’s not like it’s impact in the world is going away. And
the more it becomes mainstream, the more it’s important for a
lot of folks to understand what’s happening. And I think
we provide a pretty unfiltered view of it. And we do it where
and this is a lot of credit to Sax more than anyone else on
this show, has to take a counterpoint and steel man, what
would otherwise be controversial views. And if he
didn’t have his three friends around him, that would make the
pod meaningfully worse, I think. Can you explain for people who
don’t know what steel manning is what that means? Well, just
it just means like to have intellectual honesty around a
point of view, and actually put your best foot forward and
trying to explain it even when it’s not orthodox, even when
it’s not what the mainstream would say is right. And so what
it actually does is it creates a contrast against every other
alternative that you have to learn about things, which you
find incrementally is biased. And I think that’s what we’ve
gotten right. We are for friends that have a reasonable point of
view rooted in some amount of success. And I think that that’s
important because it gives us credibility. And we take all
sides of issues. Yeah. And oftentimes, it is not the
obvious, simple, reductive answer. And I think that that’s
where it really shines. Just so people know about the steel man
arguments, want to make sure people credit. I think most
people refer to it as the act of presenting the other argument
in the strongest way possible to be intellectually honest, like
the opposite. Exactly. Because the way the way the debate
happens on Twitter, and so forth is it’s almost like the
intellectual debate is being attacked, using opposition
research tactics, like it were a political campaign. So in
other words, they go back through anything you might have
said or written, take the the thing that was most wrong, or
least justifiable, or the thing they can even just take out of
context. And then they’ll try to make it about that as opposed
to the argument you’re actually making. And we just see this
tactic over and over again. And it’s not an intellectually
rigorous way of having a debate about something, you don’t learn
anything. Right. And deep down inside, you know that it’s
contrived. And that is the in a nutshell. So it does. It almost
in many ways has less to do with how good we are. But frankly,
how bad all the alternatives are. So even if you wanted to
learn about tech, and you go up and you sign up for these
newsletters, or if you look at some of these tech sites,
they’re really terrible. And they have done an increasingly
terrible job over the last five years in telling the most
important things, the truth and everything in between. And so if
you can find a source for an hour a week, that is trying to
tell you how basically the world is going to come together in a
really integrated multifaceted way. It’s not like we’re right.
And it’s not like we know better than other people. In fact,
many times, a lot of the criticism I get is, how dare you
talk about x, or how dare you talk about y? Because it makes
people who are experts in that field, you know, feel like, how
dare you come into my realm and even have an opinion on, you
know, what Russian politics was like in the 1980s. And those
things really annoy these folks, because they feel that those
opinions and that knowledge should be cordoned off and held
tightly as this secret that only they are allowed to talk about
into the world. And this is the point where with the internet,
all this knowledge is accessible. So the value of that
knowledge, in my opinion, is the least it’s ever been. It’s the
interpretation that’s valuable. And it’s the ability to actually
like think narratively around how all these things connect. And
this is where I give a lot of credit. I think you guys do an
incredible job. I think the way Freedbrook thinks is super
unique. I think the way that saxes thinks is unique. I think
J Cal, your courage to basically fight back is very special. All
of it together is a really unique recipe. It works. And
what I will tell you consistently is the number of
people that listen to this of import and influence. I am
constantly shocked. And if you are not sure of it, you need to
get out of this stupid little echo chamber of Silicon Valley,
go to New York, go around the world. And if you’re in the
right meetings, it’s incredible how folks are getting educated
using this pot. And I think that’s that’s really amazing.
Yeah, I think I think there’s like, been a tendency in, like
what we call media today, historically, kind of, you know,
communication amongst humans. It was very slow for a
communication cycle to go from beginning to end to close
because we had print and books and then telegraphs and
telephones and then television and radio. And the internet, I
think, has really changed the cycle, the loop cycle to the
point that, you know, a story iterates and proliferates very
quickly. And a lot of people talk about the news cycle being
very short nowadays. And what that means is that there is a
group think approach to resolving to a point of view on
what the news is. So the news comes out, everyone iterates on
it, they form their point of view, and all of a sudden,
everyone’s on the same point of view. And so there is no room
for dissent, or debate or discussion, because the cycle
closes so quickly, and everyone coalesces around the same point
of view. And nowadays, I think we see not just that unipolar
behavior, but we see this bipolar behavior, where everyone
coalesces on their point of view, and how their point of
view is, is the opposite of the other side. And everyone has
their own heuristic for what the other side is. There’s this
populism versus elitism siding, there’s this red versus blue
siding, there’s this us versus them siding, US versus China
siding, everything is now bipolar. And so you very quickly
coalesce around what your poll says, and what your poll is
instructing you to believe. And that is what is fundamentally
wrong with how the system is working today. And I think what
people find refreshing about a discourse that doesn’t succumb
to that bipolarity, as a standard, is that it provides
people the ability to have a real rational, out of sync point
of view, that maybe changes one’s point of view and changes
one’s mind in a meaningful way. And I think that’s what’s
really missing today. And I think maybe sometimes we do a
good job, and we touch on that. And so that’s what I would
strive to do is to always try and avoid that bipolarity on
everything. You know, the Zen Buddhists call it dualistic
thinking, you know, the human brain, and generally, the
universe seems to evolve into this kind of dualism on
everything. And it’s not really always the case that there are
shades of gray, that there is nuance, that there is a
complex dimensionality to things that I think people
really, if they take the time to understand, recognize that
maybe it’s not left and right. Maybe it’s not elite and
populism. Maybe it’s not all black and white. And that’s an
important, hopefully framing that maybe we can bring, bring
bring to light through through our diagnosis of what’s going on
in things right now. Yeah, I like to add to that. I think
there’s there’s a ton of great journalism going out there. We
see it. There’s a ton of great sub sacks out there. People go
deep, there’s other great podcasts out there. And right
now, it’s a tumultuous time for media journalism and getting
information and do what trust what sources do we actually
trust, who actually is thinking in a crisp way, and informing
people. And, you know, having been a former journalist, when
we were journalists, we knew that we would get 10 2030 40%
of a story, we would publish it, and we would try our best. But
journalism has changed dramatically in the last 20
years. And I can tell you journalism is dead. Sorry. Okay,
just I’m sorry. I’m sorry. There’s some great journalism
occurring. It’s on the margins. It’s irrelevant. And I’ll tell
you why. Because the facts are known instantaneously, on
Twitter, and through the internet, we don’t need people
to relay facts, we need people to wrap facts in context, and
allow us to come to our own conclusions. That’s why I think
journalism isn’t what it used to be. That’s why people who are
historically journalists struggle, because now they
actually have to create context and narrative and have an
opinion. But when you publish that into the Wall Street
Journal, or the New York Times, it becomes very confusing. They
don’t know that that’s what they were supposed to do. That’s not
what they used to do. That’s not how Pulitzer Prizes were
were historically given out. And that’s why everybody then, you
know, rants and rails kind of going is, you know, if you if
you look at it, as journalists, people don’t know this, but
journalists are being compensated, their little
salaries, in many cases are based on their follower
counts, they’re based on what audience they’re bringing to the
table. And you see this in Substack, Substack just said,
we’re going to hire the top journalists on who have the most
followers on Twitter.
But you have to change the word so that you change how people
think about it. These people are not journalists. These people
are opinion makers.
Okay, in some cases, they’re doing journalism. In some cases,
they’re not. No, no, there are some cases where they’re
actually doing real journalism. There are people doing
investigative reporting still, it’s not the majority of what
you see, but it still exists. It’s just a very much smaller
percentage. But putting that aside, if you think about but
wrap a virtuous blanket around every 1000 people because of the
acts of one, I’m not and I’m not I said, there’s a range here.
It’s a small percentage, but this there’s what do you think
that percentage of content creation, I put it at 5%. So
that’s one out of 20. I’m shocked. Yeah, I think it’s less
than 1%. But let me just finish this one thought here. You know,
if you are going to be hired, and compensated, and we talk
about systems here a lot. So just thinking from first
principles, if you’re a journalist, if you’re a writer,
opinion writer, whatever you produce content for Wall Street
Journal for podcasts, etc. Today, let this sink in your
follower count is what your book advances, it’s what your
compensation is. It’s who hires you. Now, if that’s the truth,
and it’s not all the time, but I think the majority of time
point at that your job is not to relay facts, we can get facts.
Exactly. Let me finish my thought here. And so then what
happens is how his follower account on Twitter actually
derived? How do you get that follower count by being tribal?
And so what’s happened is journalists have became tribal,
they get big followings, they give spicy takes, they pick
aside, and then their compensation follows it. And
that’s why New York Times said, Can we all stop on Twitter, and
they literally put an edict out. Then you look at this
podcast. I think people look at us as you know, in their
mixture, podcasting long form, taking the time week after week
to spend 90 minutes chopping these things up. I think that’s
what to the original question, Friedberg you had is what people
find so great. I, when people ask me, I say it’s really about
the fact that there’s a there’s a friendships here. And it’s
funny, but it’s also informative. And it’s insightful.
And at times, as you pointed out, Chamath, you know, random
acts of bravery and taking positions that are not popular.
And to think that you and Friedberg almost blew this up
over a few 100k. I didn’t. Yeah, no, the two of you equally
should share. I wouldn’t classify it that way. By the
way, here we go. Now the bad feelings are ready getting
spicy. I’m more of an ethical framework. But yeah, that’s
fine. Go ahead. Oh, even worse. Look at Chamath stirring the
pot. Just to chime in on this point. I mean, I think I’m in
violent agreement with you guys, but I’d frame it a little
differently. I think the reason why people seek out our
podcasts and other podcasts and sub stacks is, and sort of this
kind of independent journalism and are willing to pay for it
is because the mainstream media has become totally
devoid of substance. It’s as partisan and ideology and
ideologize as it’s ever been. Reporters are extremely
ideological. You look at the New York Times, the Washington
Post, the, you know, major television networks, it’s all
kind of the same thing. And yeah, there is like, you know,
a little bit of an echo chamber problem in terms of the
partisan politics. But the mainstream media is the most
ideologize it’s ever been. I mean, just to give you one
small example that we talked about in the pod, the you know,
we had two quarters of negative GDP growth, which the media is
always considered to be the definition of recession. And
then all of a sudden, they said, No, we can’t know what a
recession is anymore, because they know that’d be a horrible
headline for Biden right before the midterm elections. That’s
more of a partisan version, I think on the, you know, a more
ideological version would be just around this Ukraine war. I
mean, it’s just incredible how biased the coverage is, they
don’t even present the other side of the story, like this
called the Mearsheimer take about how we got to this point
that we’re in. So the American people just aren’t being
informed at all. I, you know, we love to talk about how the
people of all these other countries are being
propagandized by their governments, we never talk about
how propagandized the American people are, the media does not
present the other side of the story at all, on how we got
into the Ukraine war, and how we’re now at the brink of what
Biden calls Armageddon. Yeah. So how are we gonna get out of
it? How are we gonna get out of it? Any topic, by the way, I
just said that was my punch. So many topics that we see, you
know, effectively short form and short form, meaning it can
be presented in a soundbite or on a tick tock clip, or in a
couple paragraphs, where someone’s attention span before
someone’s attention span lapses out, always misses the
dimensionality that got us to that point. And so there’s one
perspective, one point of view, on one dimension, and the
dimension like Saks is talking about, about the time and the
history of the dynamics of all the countries and all the
people and all the interactions that have happened for the past
couple of decades, that led up to this moment. But then this
moment is taken in its context alone, and reclassified as
being something that is good versus evil. It completely
misses the entire storyline of what happened. It’s like going
to the end of a fairy tale and saying, here’s this moment of
what happened. And all the buildup and all the things that
occurred are often missing and all the different sides of the
story are missing. And I think that that’s really what makes
it so difficult today to feel like you can trust authority,
and that you can trust the media that’s presented to you as a
consumer, not just in the US or in the West, but around the
world. Because there’s so much that’s left out and manipulated
and kept away. And what people are waking up to is the fact as
Chamath points out that so much of that information, the direct
information is available now. And so this investigation, this
ability to uncover the data, and the storylines and the
perspectives that are typically missing from one form of media
is making people realize that there’s so much that’s being
left out the live 100% 100%. And I think in this podcast,
that’s what’s really shocking to people nowadays. And I think
that’s what makes maybe to some degree, hold our conversations
a little more appealing. I’ll drop to you in a second there,
sex. But I did see this happen in three specific topics that we
discussed here. If you remember, we talked about abortion. And we
were on that topic very early. And no one wanted to talk. I
remember when we started talking about the number of weeks, maybe
how Europe looks at this. That wasn’t part of the popular
conversation. It was always just are you against choice? Are you
for killing babies? It was like a very two dimensional. Look at
it. immigration, same thing. Nobody would talk about the
numbers. Nobody talked about recruitment. Nobody talked about
the point systems used in other countries. It was almost like
those basic things were not allowed to be discussed. Why
can’t the media discuss those nuances and freedom of speech is
I think the biggest one, and the search for truth. You know,
nobody wants to talk about the fact that the ACLU used to
actually protect unpopular speech and unpopular speech is
you know, the hardest thing in the world to protect. But how
did that become something we can’t even talk about now?
Right? And just the snap silencing of any opinion,
whether it’s Chappelle, or, you know, pick a topic and freedom
of speech, Trump, etc. You know, who gets protection for freedom
of speech? And we’ll talk about it later on the news with Alex
Jones, obviously, a very controversial topic as well.
Go ahead, sex, you want to add something to it?
Well, I think just to take this Ukraine situation as an example,
I think the media’s biggest power is the power to define
when time begins on an issue. So well, like, right with
Ukraine, we’re part of an escalatory spiral that’s been
going on for well, more than eight or nine months. This
issue has been going on since 2000 decade. Yeah, he’s over a
decade. So in other words, if you come in, in like the seventh
inning, okay, so to Freeworks point, you come in at the end of
the story, and it’s been an escalatory spiral. But the media
just pretends like time begins on February 24. Of course,
you’re gonna have a certain kind of view on the subject. Whereas
if you know the history of the situation, if you know that back
in the 1990s, you had people like George Kennan, who was the
architect of our Cold War containment policy, you had
William J. Perry was Bill Clinton’s Defense Secretary, you
had Henry Kissinger, you had john Mearsheimer all warn that
bringing NATO right up to Russia’s front porch was
extremely provocative to them that they would see that as a
provocation, it would eventually lead to a moment of crisis.
When that moment of crisis finally came, you know, we’re
not told that this was predicted. We’re told that
anyone who says that this war has anything to do with NATO
expansion is basically a Putin apologist and is spouting Putin
talking points. All right, let’s not let’s not let’s save some of
that for the Ukraine talk we’re going to talk about. No, but I
get your point. You could agree or disagree with that take. But
the point is, the media doesn’t even portray it. They really
just pick a side. And they I think I like your analogy of
like just coming in for the last 15 minutes of the game. And
just describing that, you know, we need to have a deeper
discussion of how did we get here? How did we get here on
immigration? Why don’t we have a point system? Why do we look
at people suddenly coming from south of the border differently
than we did just 20 years ago? How did that become a
politicized issue? What’s the right solution here? Especially
if we can’t hire people for basic jobs in the United States?
Everybody wants to know this question, what’s your favorite
you have a favorite moment, or a least favorite moment, a great
moment in the show history. And then I guess we’ll move on
maybe to some audience questions here. But let’s let’s get this
one because an embarrassing moment, your favorite moment,
your least favorite moment of a moment now you look back on and
you’re particularly proud of tomorrow.
I love the cold opens. I think that they are unbelievably human
and funny and normalizing. They are by far the best part of the
pod in life. And yeah, that’s my that’s my absolute favorite
part by by like, miles and miles.
Ah, it’s actually got a favorite moment other than Ukraine.
Other than Ukraine. I know you got Ukraine on the brain.
Probably when you started talking like Joe Pesci.
The Joe Pesci voice.
I can’t do it on command. I’m not your monkey sacks. Don’t you
talk to me like that. I’ll get a fucking bad idea.
No, seriously, you have any other favorite moments?
Or things you’re particularly proud of things that people tell
you, you know, hey, I love what do you I love this part of the
show.
I’m also proud that we we were able to air our dirty laundry a
little bit in public and still get over ourselves and our own
egos. And we’re still here. I think that takes a lot of
courage and a little bit of a little bit of maturity that’s
that’s not in public visibility all the time. In the media.
I like I like that sentiment a lot. I think there’s a lot of
pressure. Yeah, they were uncomfortable about it. You know,
I I think there’s a lot of personal growth that’s going on
here for all of everybody involved. Yeah.
Freeberg, you got a favorite moment other, you know, I like
it when you and sex fight. That’s just that’s your least
favorite moment when we are literally turn I turn my
headphones off and I like do some emailing. It really is just
it really is just this political thing. But yeah, it does come
up. You know, I don’t like the fact the moments I’ve been
interrupted by you that like that just happened five seconds
ago. Like, you know, those are usually pretty tough. Go ahead.
I don’t know what I what I did enjoy. I did enjoy meeting
people at the summit who shared that this has been like a really
important thing for them to listen to. I think I was at a
Pete’s coffee in the city and some guy came up to me. This was
early after early when we were doing the podcast. And he was
like, listening to you guys has really helped me get through
COVID. And he was like locked in his apartment. And he didn’t
have a lot of friends. And he didn’t have a lot of people to
talk with. And just being able to hear through, you know, kind
of a good conversation around when’s this going to end? How’s
COVID gonna? You know, what’s going to change in the city and
hearing our friendship really made a big difference for him.
And it was actually really interesting. That was off the
show. But it made me realize that the show actually is
impactful, and helpful and made gave me kind of the energy to
keep going, even though I’ve had frustrations in the past. So I
don’t know. I like I like those moments a lot, to be honest.
That there’s real value here for people. I also I thought the
summit was a lot of fun. I mean, I had a good time.
But you know, it’s, I think we’re steering towards, I think
we’re steering towards summit 2023. That was me starting the
pot a little bit. Towards 2021. As far as I’m concerned, you do
it, you produce it or you hire a producer, I’ll show up. I’m, I
don’t need to make a producer fee, you can do it, you can take
the producer fee, whatever it is. All right, guys, I got a
couple of questions here from the audience. You guys see this
list? Yeah, we stand out for you guys. Well, you pick you pick.
So here’s a question. We got it over email from Nathan. And
Nathan said, we know the reasons. The reason you guys
started the pod, what is the motivation of each bestie to
continue doing it every week?
Now I ask myself that every week.
I’m thinking about taking a break, not because I don’t like
doing it, but it is time consuming. And I do want time to
get back to doing some business writing. I was on a pretty good
track to publish a book about SAS. Before we started doing the
pod, I had written a lot of business blogs. And this is
kind of taking a break. What? How many weeks? 10 weeks? What
are you thinking? Maybe like a month or something? Yeah. Oh,
four weeks. You can take that’s no big deal. Maybe I don’t know
for the time. I’ve got like a right now. It’s like doing
jumping jacks in his backyard and put me in the game. Well, we
could do that. I mean, I’ve got like five half written business
blogs in my hopper that I really want to finish. And so I
don’t know.
The show does take a lot of cognitive energy is what you’re
saying. It takes a lot of those
out of your time each week, sex.
I mean, as you guys know, the taping is only a couple hours,
but then it’s just keeping track of all the issues. And then,
you know, if I’m preparing takes for this pod, I also turn some
of those takes into articles. This is like for Newsweek, or
the American conservative, whatever. So I’m responding a
lot and responding, responding, and then I’m tweeting takes as
I’m coming up with them.
This is my point, which is, I think the, the load for sacks,
because he is the most heterodox is the heaviest. And this is
like poorly understood. It’s easy to just basically be on the
side of the current conventional wisdom, or to not have an
opinion and to talk about things that are orthogonal. But David
is consistently the one that wades into the middle of the
ocean. And it is, I can, I can understand why you find it
exhausting. No, because he gets dragged under. No, Jason, he has
to be more prepared than the rest of us.
Yes, because he is more open to the attacks from all of these
nitwits.
It’s true. I mean, you know, on every day on Twitter, I’m being
told these are these are like uninformed nitwits, you know,
they’re the cancer, the cancer of people who comment on Twitter
is the following. They suffer from the worst kind of cancer,
which is a lack of belief in themselves. And so what they do
is they point to other people and try to convince yet more
people to not believe in them. But that has nothing to do with
anything. It’s just misdirection from their core
problem, which is they don’t believe in themselves. And so,
you know, David has to fight all of that stuff off, but he has
to fight it off with logic, which must be exhausting. You
know, my approach has just been to turn off comments and to not
start. This is the single biggest problem, I think, with
social media is it’s at this heightened point, where it’s
this virulent strain of a lack of belief in oneself that
manifests in this hatred that you direct to anybody else that
believes in interesting, interesting theory.
Yeah, and I would just just to add to that, you know, it’s not
like I haven’t heard any of the arguments that they’re making.
No, I guarantee you, they have not heard the arguments I’m
making. But I’ve heard all the arguments are 100% I’m totally
familiar with 1938, Munich, Neville Chamberlain, all this
kind of stuff. I just don’t think that is the correct
understanding of what’s happening right now. I think the
correct historical analogy is either 1914 with World War One
and the blank check guarantee, or is 1962, the Cuban Missile
Crisis, the people on the other side, generally don’t
understand that they are just kind of part of this, like
Twitter mob, who’s buying into the current thing and whatever
they’re told by the media. So it is it is a little bit
exhausting. I think that that’s what people don’t realize is,
you know, you when this thing got very popular, the two or
three days after an episode comes out becomes your texts,
your email, your DMS, and your replies become filled,
especially again, I would I would encourage you to keep
doing this thing. And just to turn off comments and don’t
look back. Yeah, it’s hard for them. It’s hard for the first
few weeks. And then you realize 99% of people who comment have
nothing important or useful or interesting to say, like zero,
like negative zero. And you forget that there’s like 99.999%
of the world that just reads your content, and couldn’t even
care about their comments. Yeah, and I would just I would
focus on what you have to say is the point and ignore and
ignore all these other Twitter agree that would make it less
exhausting, but it would still be time consuming. There is a
bunch of business blogs I want to get done. So I mean, I said
you take two weeks off, you come back and see how you feel. I
mean, you can do it week by week to I mean, just take one
week off and see it. See, I think you’ll I think you’ll I
think he’ll be back. He’ll be back. Great. Great. Great
question from Nathan. Thank you for your participation. Yes,
Nathan. Next question. I actually like this one. I’m
going to pull it out. It’s an email question from Juan T.
Oh, hey, want to want to build girly recently put out a piece
explaining how this might be as good a time as in a decade to
build a company. How are you guys seeing your own portfolio
companies trying to take advantage of the situation? And
I guess I’ll add Do you guys agree? And how do you think
about this as a moment for company building?
I could take that one. I am seeing a lot of the companies
that were you had done a great job racing around seed round
series a never got product market fit now wrap it up,
right? They’re shutting down. They’re doing the wind down
process. And then we’re seeing lists of very talented people.
And I’ve talked about this before on the show, the
consolidation of talent behind the winning ideas, the
experiments that actually worked products that got some
traction are now having an easier time hiring talent. And
so to Bill’s point, he’s got a lot more experience in this than
the four of us put together is absolutely right when you build
in this down market. Yeah, it’s harder to raise money, of
course. But talent is what makes great products and products
that delight customers get the flywheel going. And if you
survive through this, and you have that talent, you’re not
going to face 20 copycats. And there’s not 50 new products
coming out a day, people have more time to actually engage and
try a product, which they’ve been burnt out on and the
peanut butter spreading, you know, we have this thin layer of
peanut butter talent. Now it’s getting consolidated in the
winter. So absolutely a great time for five CEOs and founders
or, you know, 10 founders across five companies to
consolidate down to two, do those tuck in acquisitions and
get focused and build really good teams and cut the weakest
people on the teams. There’s a lot of weak talent that have
been overpaid, and aren’t actually contributing to these
teams, and they need to get cut. And then you pull in the
all stars. It’s a fantastic time. He’s 100% right.
All of the if you look back in history, since 2000, all of the
best performing funds of all times were the ones that were
formed right in the middle of the downturns. Oh 3080 909.
These are the vintages that have always been the best. And what
that means it’s a proxy for investing, which is, it’s the
hardest time right now. It’s when you have the shakiest hand
when you’re writing the check. But it’ll probably be where
all of the real money is made or the real generational wealth
both for the entrepreneurs who have the courage to start, and
the investors who have the courage to invest. There was a
story that I heard in New York, I was talking to a really well
known hedge fund, or family office. And they were talking
about how they were meeting with a CEO of a fintech unicorn,
very well known fintech unicorn. And they said they left
the meeting and they said, this person had an unbelievable
disrespect for money. And it was the most arrogant interaction
that they had ever heard and they said under no circumstances
would we invest in this guy in this company at any price. And
you know, lo and behold, a year later, that company is now
visibly going through a bunch of hiccups. And it just reminds
me that Jason we’ve always had two problems when times are
good. Problem number one is that there’s never been a check
and balance on that kind of behavior, a lack of respect for
capital, and a almost a disregard for business models,
which is just inexcusable. And I think it’s partly the fault of
a very young entrepreneur, but it’s also partly the fault of a
board who doesn’t know how to direct that person enablement
Israel. Yeah. But then the second, the second thing is
we’ve always had this, you know, this big tech put on the table
where every time you would try to really hone in on running a
lean, highly efficient organization, the alternative
would be to go work at, you know, Google, Facebook, Apple,
Amazon, Microsoft, where the terms are just completely
different to what the experience was, you know, at a
startup. And the bigger the gap, the harder it was for you to be
able to hire and retain good people without just copying
them. And now that that’s also coming off the table, that is a
key moment. So Gurley is 100% right. There is no longer the
big tech put those are the generals that are about to get
shot over the next eight to 12 months, in my opinion, in the
public markets, in terms of market cap and employment and
perks. And then second is that these really thoughtful
investors who felt pretty deeply disrespected, will now be able
to call the shots. And these founders will have to come back
hat in hand and either apologize or just completely find a
different religion. And I think in that you’ll have a lot of
amazing opportunities to build companies.
I think it’s well said tax. What are you saying?
Yeah, I think that’s right. I mean, look, when times are as
frothy as they were, a lot of bad ideas get funded, and
there’s a lot of bad behavior that occurs. I don’t think all
of it’s intentional. Some of it is just the lack of discipline
that when capital is so freely available, people are building
their businesses in ways that were optimizing solely for one
variable, which was top line growth, they just weren’t
paying enough attention to gross margins or burn. And when
you then have a downturn, and capital is not so available,
you have to build your business in a much more capital
efficient way. And you can’t create fake businesses where
you’re buying growth. That’s not economically justified, you
know, where you’ve got negative unit economics around the
growth. So I think that this downturn is going to create a
shakeout, it’s gonna weed out bad ideas, bad practices, and,
and a lack of focus, bad boards, and
or, or no boards,
one trick ponies, you know, there’s just a lot of one trick
ponies out there who’ve optimized growth, but don’t have
a real business. And it’s going to require, it’s going to
require entrepreneurs to, to play sort of more like
multivariable calculus or math, not just single variable,
it is extremely difficult to convert TVPI to DPI. You know,
the value of paper values into actual distributions, and that
takes a skilled hand. And I think that a lot of young folks
were hired into venture that fundamentally did not know what
they were doing. They’ve neither ever built a company or
helped build a company or actually learned how to
generate returns. But they became very good at buying, you
know, free call options on companies. You know, I remember
like a lot of people, the way that you, these young people, I
remember I heard a story that you would sell against girly,
right? So let’s just say you were trying to do a deal and
Bill gives you a term sheet from benchmark and you get, you
know, somebody else, the young folks were like, Oh, Bill’s too
negative, and he doesn’t get it. And they would try to
convince these entrepreneurs that, you know, these rainy days
don’t happen. My experience with girly is he is the most
sophisticated investor of our generation. And what I mean by
that is, you know, he was trained as an equity analyst
that really understood business models and cost of capital. And
so in a moment like this, the way that girly would help you on
a board is meaningfully more important than how some, you
know, middling VP at some random startup who’s now a, you
know, junior partner at a venture firm, because that
person has literally no clue. And so these companies are going
to go through a very difficult moment, which again, is the
reason why a good steady hand who knows what they’re doing
will make a ton of money in this next cycle. And for people
who don’t know TV pi, let me just give you a quick
definition. This is the total value divided by the paid in
capital. So total value is distributions, like, hey, here’s
your Robin Hood stock, here’s your Uber stock, here’s cash,
plus the net asset value, what’s that fancy word for the value of
the shares of the companies that haven’t had an exit. And so you
divide those two numbers, you get a ratio 1.5 1.2, etc. But to
Schmott’s point, net asset value is debatable in some of these
right and distributions are what matter, you can’t you can’t eat
the the IRR, you got to you got to eat the stuff that’s been
distributed. Yeah.
All right, let’s keep going. I’ll do one more. I’m going to
skip over. Well, I’ll just the question on Twitter that got the
most votes was what’s the exact net worth of each bestie, I
would make the case that that’s probably not the best way to
measure oneself. And, you know, I don’t think we’re gonna do it.
I also would argue that we’re probably all exposed to a lot of
fuzzy math with private assets that we own. And in terms of
companies, we’re in Paris, like, how does that correlate with
happiness in life? It doesn’t, right? So it doesn’t really
question. And I don’t think it’s a big focus in terms of
objectives. I’ll say the next one that got a lot of votes,
which I really like, it’s a lagging indicator and a
byproduct of what we do. There are moments when what we do
reflects in value that frankly, where we are over earning. And
then there are periods where what we do is under reflected,
and we are under earning. And so the through line has to be
that you need to survive in both good times and bad times,
which means you got to like what you’re doing. And if you get
caught up in a numerical number, there’s all kinds of math you
can do to make it look a lot bigger than it is. But it’s all
meaningless. Yeah, I would argue you’re as long as you’re
actively developing yourself, over time, the weighing machine
will do its job. Somebody told me in my 20s. When I was at AOL,
he said, you know, if you’re good, because at the time, I,
you know, I grew up on welfare, I thought the goal was to make
money. I didn’t know any better. I’ve learned later that there’s
a lot more leading indicators of happiness and things that
actually cashier, create happiness, white truffles,
white truffles. I was gonna say friendship, my family, but yeah,
friendship and family laughs. I define it as laughs and
friendships, you know, friendships. But uh, but but he
said to me, you know, your goal should be to just be in the
upper few percent of your age bracket. And just enjoy what
you’re doing. And he said, let time take care of everything
else. Because as long as you find something you’re, you know,
you decently enjoy and are good at, you’ll just get better and
better at that thing. And then at some point, you know, you
will lose track of what the, you know, measurement of that is
because you’re just too caught up in how much you enjoy doing
the thing. And I thought that he had no idea what he was talking
about. And now 25 years later, I can tell you he was totally
right. Totally right. Yeah. By the way, this, this was a
question I was trying to skip over. So no, but it led to a
good fork. Yeah. Okay. What is happiness? Yeah. Yeah. I think
after, you know, observing outcomes for 25 years in tech,
what I would say is that if you’re smart, hardworking, don’t
have behaviors that sabotage yourself, and you know, take
intelligent risks, you will be successful in this business. I
mean, technology is such a wind at your backs. It’s such an
engine of wealth creation, how can you not do well, but the
exact magnitude of how well you do, I think is ultimately it is
substantially affected by timing. And, you know, like if
you were employee, whatever number x at Google, you’re
going to do better than most founders, even of a unicorn
company. And when you found your company, and then when you
exit what the market is doing, those things have a huge impact
on the act on the magnitude. So, you know, whether you end up
being, you know, a billionaire, a centimillionaire, you know, a
decamillionaire, whatever you want, those things are very
affected by timing and chance, but not whether you’re going to
be successful at a substantial level. And so it just, you
know, be smart, be hardworking, don’t sabotage yourself, you
know, get into tech, and you will do well.
Trust the process, trust the exact amount of how well you do
will be dependent on some, you know, stochastic factors, but
not the fact that you’re going to do well, we are enormous
beneficiaries of having been born when we were, because we
were a bunch of late 40 and early 50 somethings, that in the
prime of our career in tech, the Federal Reserve took rates to
zero. And we had no idea a priori how important that would
be in all of our outcomes. But they were, and even more
importantly, PCs, internet and mobile happened, all of that
hard work was done beforehand by an entire court of people
that had to fight much stronger headwinds than we had to fight.
So, you know, David, I just want to build on that, like we
were extraordinarily lucky. And so don’t get caught up in that
because there’s all these factors you don’t you cannot
control. I’ll say one more thing that I think is the most
important observation I’ve made, in terms of whatever it
is building wealth over time is to make sure you’re building
equity in yourself. If you’re in a services business, and every
day, and whether that’s serving the clients of the company you
work for, or just serving clients on behalf of yourself,
and everything you do is a transaction. And that
transaction doesn’t build on itself doesn’t compound value in
some way, then you’re missing out on an opportunity every year
that goes by that you’re earning income, where you’re not
building equity is is a non compounding year. And it’s
compounding equity value that I think ultimately pays off for
you as an individual. And I can give a lot of examples of this.
But if you’re in a, let’s say a brokerage business, and you just
do deals, and you might make have a good year, you might have
a bad year, the real question you need to ask yourself is,
what is compounding? Are you growing a client base? Are you
growing your skill set? Are you next year able to do more
things or have more options than you had this year? And if the
number of options you have is declining or static every year,
then you’re limiting your equity value. And that ultimately will
translate into limited wealth creation.
Can I chime in on that point around equity? So yeah, when I
discovered what equity was, this was when I was in law school.
And actually, the guy who explained to me was Antonio
Gracias. A light bulb really went off for me because my dad
is a doctor, and I was on a path to becoming a lawyer. And in
both those cases, you’re a professional, the way you get
paid is you more or less charge an hourly rate. And so the
amount of money you can make is capped, right? Just take the
number of hours in the day and in the week, multiply it by your
rate, and that’s the most money you can make in a year. And the
difference between that and equity is with equity, you own a
piece of a business. And that business could be ultimately
worth, you know, any amount. And so your equity could
therefore be worth virtually any amount. And so you’re uncapped.
And so just, you know, if you want to have outside success,
you have to have equity in something. I think that is
exactly right. If you’re just basically working for wages, you
even if you are the best at what you do, and you get paid an
insane hourly rate, you again, you can be successful, but
you’re not going to be uncapped. And so that is the beauty.
That’s the beauty of Silicon Valley is all these companies
offer equity to everybody.
And it’s not just shares in something, you can actually get
equity and create leverage in your life. In this era, more
than any human has ever had in any era prior, because of
software and computing and automation, you can create a
website that prints cash for you every day, if you want it to,
you can create a service that you get leverage out of. And
there’s equity value in that. And I think that’s really key,
because then you can go build another one, another one, and
you’re building value over time. And that’s just the most
simplistic example of how technology today provides
leverage that can really allow anyone to pursue a path of
equity.
And I think you made a good point about what are you getting
leverage off of? Yeah, so there’s, there’s a bunch of
different things.
It used to be labor, right?
So the old way was leverage off labor. And I guess if you were
to own like a consulting firm, that or like some sort of
factory, then the more people you have working, the more
money you’d make. The other way would be like, you can get
leverage off capital, like a fund manager, or you can get
leverage off of technology, because software can basically
create these super scaled outcomes. So you need to figure
out like, what is it you’re getting leverage off of?
Yeah, I’ll go. So I’ll do the last one, which I thought was a
really good question. And it got a lot of votes from Marcos
Ortiz. If you had to start from scratch, no money, no
connections, only the knowledge you have right now, and 100
bucks, what would you build in 2022?
I would build something in energy transition or in life
sciences with $100.
Yeah, I would build a startup incubator, venture fund of some
type, a way to fund entrepreneurs and just be a
capital allocator much earlier in my career.
I would create a b2b software company that actually, I’m
already creating it. So I haven’t unveiled it yet. But
there’s something I’m incubating right now.
Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait,
your beak. What is going on here? I haven’t gotten the I
haven’t gotten the subscription. Have you raised
money? I’m not raised money yet. When I got my subscription
documents, sir, it’s you can think of this idea as Yammer
2.0. So Jacob, you’re not in because you criticize Yammer.
But it was a joke. I gave you the I let you win TechCrunch
- I put the fucking fix it for you, David, just to put my
pitch in. I ran aim and ICQ help Facebook was an investor
in Yammer was the series A investor in slack. So I’m ready
for you. Yeah, you were there. You were there for us. And we
needed you back at Yammer days. Unlike J Cal.
What are you talking about? Your wife came to my mind.
They’re like, okay, you’re all in. Saks has to win TechCrunch
- Let me in. Let me do the round. You guys are in. Let me
lead it. Let us do the pre round. We want to do the pre
round. Pre round. Pre round. Thank you. Did you just agree
on TV? Yes. Well, assuming on there’s one thing you have to
do, which is you’ve got to rip out slack and use this instead.
Yes. 100% 100% I will just say, you know, but I’m gonna be very
honest with you. The day I left Facebook, I stopped using it.
The day we sold we distributed slack stopped using it. So don’t
worry about me. I am right. I am 100% aligned with you. I’m all
in. I’m all in. Absolutely. All right. Let’s do the show. Let’s
do the show. freeberg. You didn’t answer that question.
What would you do? Well, actually, I would get some water
vaporizers and then I would get some molecule. So and I would
make a new super protein that was made out of guts. Sorry.
Keep going. I like it. I think it’d be something with the
protein slurry. You’d make some kind of steak that tastes
better than a slurry. It’s something I would definitely
build a business again. I think the you know, the challenge is
as you move past that stage in your career where you know, you
have the willingness and the time to be 120% building one
product every day. It’s, it’s really hard to go back to that.
And I think if I was in a position again, where I had no
money and had no. I think that’s the key part of the
question, not the $100 part. Yeah, I think I would go back to
building something. I do think the intersection of life
sciences with software creates this era of opportunity. It
would probably be something in the realm of AI ML meets life
sciences, where you can actually work in a leveraged way with
software to drive outcomes in these important markets. So I
would actually create free and I could have been we can get
started something. Maybe we can still. Oh, not too late. The
co founders,
sacks will let you in the pre round if you let us in your
pre round. Okay, sounds good. All right. You want to take us
forward? Should we go forward? Okay, let’s see what’s on the
docket. We’ve got Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. You had
Biden last week saying we’re facing the risk of Armageddon.
How is that not the top story? Go taxi poop. Go take it. All
right, here we go. Let me just queue it up for sacks by last
week. So we’re facing risk Armageddon. That’s your tip.
Okay, we got and then and then Leon Panetta just let’s teed
up Jake out. We don’t need everyone knows what’s going on.
Then you Leon Panetta just who was the former Secretary of
Defense and Director of Central Intelligence wrote an op ed for
Politico saying that intelligence analysts have now
raised the probability of a use of a tactical nuclear weapon in
Ukraine from one to 5% at the beginning of the war to 20 to
25%. Now is what he says. So and I don’t think he’d be saying
that. If this wasn’t pretty much conventional wisdom in
Washington. Now, I mean, Panetta is sort of a very
respectable figure in the beltway. So you said it right
for the first time, I said that we’re facing the most dangerous
situation and the highest risk of nuclear war since the Cuban
Missile Crisis. He called it the risk of Armageddon. The
problem is that nobody is willing to say what we should be
doing differently to avoid this situation. So you know, people
are always attacking us for having a point of view on foreign
policy. First of all, this affects us. I don’t know why
we’re not allowed to have a point of view. But you know, in
our business thinking where there’s an existential issue,
you have the attitude of drop everything and figure this out.
If somebody told you that there’s a 25% chance of your
company blowing up, maybe in the next few weeks, you would drop
everything and focus on that problem. But it’s like, you
know, after the Armageddon comments, it’s like, the media
just passed over it. It’s like, oh, this is like, crazy Biden
or whatever it was minimized, it was contextualized, the White
House walked it back. Nobody’s really focusing on this and what
we should be doing differently. And in fact, what Panetta
recommends, and Petraeus said the same thing, is that if Russia
uses attack nuke in Ukraine, then we should respond by
attacking Russia directly. Now, if we do that, we are literally
in World War Three. And remember, at the beginning of
the war, Biden was really clear that we weren’t going to get
directly involved. He vetoed the idea correctly of the no fly
zone, which would have required us to shoot down Russian planes.
Biden, remember, he was asked in the press conference at the
beginning of the war by Lester Holt, he said, Holt said, you
know, Mr. President, what if Americans are trapped behind
enemy lines in Ukraine, would you send in American troops to
go get them? Biden said no, I think very properly said no,
because he said, listen, we do not want to risk World War Three.
But now because of mission creep and a slippery slope, and
we’ve all gotten more involved in this war, we’ve gotten more
emotionally committed, you now have Panetta and Petraeus
calling for us to directly attack Russia and get in World
War Three, the Russians almost certainly would respond with
nuclear because that’s all they’ve got. They don’t have the
conventional forces to stand up to us. So look at how close we
have now gotten to the brink of a nuclear showdown. And has
anybody reassessed? Is anyone calling for us to reevaluate?
Because that’s the conversation which we’re having right now.
And Freeberg, this brings up two points that I think you can
comment on Naval, actually, the founder of angel list angel
investor, and just public thinker, I would say public
intellectual, he came on to call him with the two of you. And he,
you know, outlined, like, who does get to have an opinion on
Ukraine and other issues, which has dovetailed with this, like
who gets to be an expert in the world today. And of course, at
the same time, not only sacks has been commenting on, hey,
what’s the off ramp here? Elon has been talking about, hey, you
know, how do we get out of this? Do we have some votes? You know,
by these regions that have been annexed or that are in dispute?
AOC now is getting criticized on investor people shouting her
down at a public event today or yesterday, that she’s a
warmonger, and she won’t speak out against war. How do you
frame the public dialogue about this freeberg? And then do you
see a potential off ramp here other than Putin leaves Russia,
which is I think the public stance by a lot of folks, you
know, Putin can end this, he just has to leave Ukraine in
order for this to end. So two questions there for you,
Freiberg, it’s very hard to have good dialogue about any
situation where an argument could be made on the grounds of
morality, in an absolute sense, making it really difficult to
have a discourse around what the right thing to do is,
because you don’t agree fundamentally on the objective
you’re shooting for. One side says the objective is to
preserve the integrity of democracy, and the freedom of
people. And the other side says the objective should be to
secure the interests of the West and the United States and
preserve the world from nuclear holocaust. I think that’s what
makes this a challenging conversation. The objective can
be reframed. And then from that objective, each side can make
their own case without being forced to take in the point of
view of the other side. And it’s why we’re at a bit of a
standstill. And it’s also why it’s so easy to get swept up in
a mass point of view, a coalesce point of view of the
masses that makes one feel good about what may end up being a
very bad situation. It feels good to say I’m doing this for
freedom of the people, I’m doing this to save lives. And
the end of the day, it may cause a nuclear war. And it’s
okay, because I feel good going into this debate, that this is
the right thing. It’s the morally superior thing to do.
What’s very hard is that we can’t actually say, as a group,
our objective should be to preserve the integrity of
democracies around the world, to an extent, and that’s a
nuanced point of view, to an extent means I’m willing to
preserve the democracies through certain actions, but I’m not
willing to cross a certain line. And absolutism doesn’t need to
come into play. That’s what I think is making this such a very
difficult conversation. And it’s why it’s so hard to actually
have a conversation around it. And it’s really, I would argue,
the most poignant and the most dramatic moment in what we
talked about earlier, which is this deep seated kind of, you
know, bipolarity. And once you’re sitting on your pole, you
don’t want to come off and you don’t realize that so much of
the dialogue is in this middle. And we have to come to some
point of view that maybe this isn’t about an absolute outcome.
It’s not absolutely going to be nuclear war. And it’s not
absolutely going to be the end of democracy. There’s some
conversation in the middle that’s very difficult to have.
And people that work somewhere in the world, hopefully,
ambassadors, foreign policy people, State Department people,
hopefully are having the more nuanced critical conversation
about how do we resolve to the maximal outcome that doesn’t
necessarily take us to an absolute end.
Chamath to that point, it’s going to be an imperfect outcome
here. I think this is much, much simpler than all of this.
Leon Panetta is a senior counselor to this defense
contracting agency called beacon global strategies who works on
behalf of Raytheon. I found that out while Friedberg was
talking in a two second Google search. I suspect that if you
looked for Petraeus is conflicts of interest, you would find
that through some Byzantine set of, you know, strategic
consulting organizations and whatnot. He also works on behalf
of the defense industry. So you have these people who will
generate more revenue and more profit if there is a massive
war. And those people have been trying to push us into a land
war in Europe since this whole thing started. And so this is
just yet another attempt. It’s just the most final way of doing
it. So I would just encourage people whenever you see all
these folks clamoring for war, it’s just to keep in mind that
they are riddled with conflict and that you can find it out.
Again, this information is sitting in plain sight on the
internet, and you can figure out whether this person is is
really advocating a truth that makes sense or they’re getting
paid to shill a revenue generating mechanism for some
part of the military industrial sex, how much of this is people
talking their book, their book being the military industrial
complex in your mind?
I think that’s a big part of it. I think all these Washington
think tanks are funded by defense contractors. I think
it’s short sighted, obviously, because if it leads to a nuclear
war, there’s no defense industry, there won’t be
anything left. So but look, I think that I think that
Washington is wired for war in part, because there’s a huge
lobby for it for all these defense contractors. And what’s
the lobby for peace? I mean, there’s no one really arguing
for peace.
Speaking of this, Elon,
I’ll tell you what’s lobbying for peace. And I’m going to
connect what may seem to disparate ideas together. But
the single biggest thing I think that will prevent nuclear war
is the inflation that we’re feeling. And the reason is
because it allows the Fed, in my opinion, for the first time,
really, in the last 15 years, to act properly. And if they
hold the line, and they take interest rates to four or 5%,
I think one non obvious outcome of all of that is it becomes
extremely expensive, next to impossible to finance military
adventurism abroad. And that’s a practical economic outcrop of
really, you know, meaningfully high rates greater than zero.
And so I actually think the reality is that for a lot of
these governments, the more that inflation sticks around, the
stickier it is, the higher rates are in general, the bigger the
problems at home are, and the less prone they’re going to be
likely, I actually think that explains that explains the
escalation of this rhetoric, because people want to try to
make this issue and put it on the table. But you understand
that, you know, these folks don’t say it’s a 90% likelihood,
they go from 1% to 25%, which if you understand probabilities
is effectively a left tail risk that’s effectively the same. And
the reason they’re trying to do it is they’re trying to get it
back, David, as you say, to timestamp it, to get it in front
of people’s perspectives to make it important, in a moment where
everybody increasingly, not just in the United States, but in the
UK, in Europe, are looking internally, and trying to figure
out how to keep their economies in a reasonably functioning way,
and how to make sure that their financial and other
infrastructure keeps working. So you’re saying and that is not
necessarily a priority when rates are zero, but when rates
are 4%, I mean, just by the way, if you guys saw what happened
today, it was the competing of two narratives this week, there
was the financial narrative of the UK having to bail out their
pension system, right, of all of a sudden, the pensions being
forced sellers of those four sellers now, you know, spilling
into the United States debt markets around CLOs, and
collateralized loan obligations and junk debt, which then could
theoretically spill as a contagion to other parts of the
market, that was narrative one. And, and all of that, by the way,
is a result of hiding inflation, and the, you know, Fed moving up
rates, and, you know, other countries being forced to attack
inflation with higher rates and creating all these dislocations,
narrative one, versus narrative two, which is, hey, all of a
sudden, we have to put the nuclear risk on the table. And
if you actually saw the print that was spilled, the
disproportionate amount of the rhetoric actually focused on the
former narrative and not the latter. And so I think that
that’s why the these folks are escalating the rhetoric, in
order to kind of create an equality so that they get enough
print, they want that version of the outcome, what you’re saying
is, you have the world saying, we can’t afford to have this
conflict, we are broke, we’ve got too many chaotic issues,
the world is saying, we are increasingly under enormous
domestic pressure. And as a result, we cannot spend on
things abroad, we can’t afford this. And then the other side
saying, well, we need you to afford this. So nuclear is going
to happen, there’s going to be a nuclear annihilation, there’s a
small strain attention to this, there’s a small strain of folks
who would economically benefit. Yes, we’re now ratcheting up
their rhetoric so that that second path interesting more and
more on the table. What do you think of this? Freeberg this
analysis that Schmott has these two polar, these these two
groups vying for the attention and or budget of the world?
The military industrial complex?
Versus Yeah, citizens saying our country can’t afford this, we
need to focus inward, not citizens, the central banks.
Okay, but I think the central banks influenced by citizens,
right? Like this is a whole system here we’re talking about
people are, you know, watching their pensions go away, they’re
watching jobs get cut.
If I was a betting man, I spent the I would guess that the next
half a trillion to $1 trillion that is spent in Western world
economies will be to subsidize something that’s broken
internally inside of one of our countries, whether it’s the UK
pension system, or whether it’s the high yield credit markets,
and it will not be to finance military adventurism in Russia,
just to just hold on that point. So there’s an article today in
the Washington Post about how the US government’s debt service
is going to be around 570 billion this year, which is a 45%
increase. Biden’s budget for 2023 is only 1.6 trillion. So
you’re talking about something like over a third now of the
official budget is already going to debt service,
because it’s not a variable, right? It’s a variable, right?
Exactly. Because so much of it is, is, it’s not locked in a
long term rate. So because interest rates have gone up so
much, the debt service gone up, and interest rates are still
going up. And so, you know, Druckenmiller had those points
around how the debt services within a decade is going to eat
up practically the whole federal budget. So Chamath is
right that we’ve never really had to choose between guns and
butter before in the past. It was just let’s just do both. And
we’ll rack up more national debt, I do think there will be
more and more pressure to question this type of spending
and why we’ve already given Ukraine $80 billion in
handouts, when we can’t afford to basically pay for, you know,
major entitlements at home. So I think there’ll be more
pressure. Now, I think I don’t know if that pressure is going
to come in time, though, to de escalate this, you know, it’s
not and that’s what concerns me. And just to just to cut to the
chase on this, I think where the rubber meets the road on
Ukraine is Crimea. It’s and why because the Russians have a
major naval base there at Sevastopol, it’s the home of
the Black Sea fleet. And they will never give that up. They
are willing to use nukes, I believe, to basically protect
that asset. It’s a vital interest of theirs. Hold on. 80%
of the population of Crimea, they’re Russian, and three
quarters of them, according to polling that was done by Gallup
and by a German polling firm, so not Russian polls, indicated
that they see themselves as Russian and want to be part of
Russia. So if we supported self determination, we’d be fine
with Crimea being part of Russia. But here’s the rub.
Ukrainian nationalism demands that every square inch of
Crimea goes back to Ukraine. And it is State Department policy
right now that we will never recognize Crimea as being
Russian will never recognize the annexation, which happened
back in 2014. So something’s got to give here something’s got to
give either we have to sit down Zelensky and say to him, listen,
you’re not getting back Crimea, we’re going to make that part of
a peace deal, or we are going to back the Ukrainians in their
military effort to retake Crimea, with the result that I
think is quite likely that the Russians will be willing to use
a tactical nuke to prevent their total defeat. So at some
point, we’re gonna have to choose here, which these
outcomes do you want? Do you want to basically go for a
negotiated settlement, which means telling the Ukrainians
they cannot have everything they want? Or do you really want
to risk a nuclear war to take back Crimea, which is Russian
and the people there see themselves as Russian. So we
need to make a choice here.
Yeah, so Ilan put out a tweet for and got savage for it. And
he outlined sort of what you’re saying here. So do you think his
plan he said, redo elections of annexed regions under UN
supervision, Russia leaves, if that is the will of the people.
And then he says, Crimea, formerly part of Russia, as
it’s been since 1783, water supply to Crimea, a short as
you’re saying, Ukraine remains neutral. Should the West force
Ukraine to accept these type of terms, essentially, elections,
and I don’t know why Crimea wouldn’t be part of that
election process. Do you think UN supervised elections in those
regions should occur, and we should force the landscape to
do that. So he who pays the piper calls the tune, of course,
we need to have a point of view on how this war should be
resolved. We force him to do that. Listen, it’s not about
force, they can fight on and do whatever they want, as long as
they want. Hold on with our American weapons, American
weapons. So you think he should do that? We should hold the
American weapons if he doesn’t, if Zelensky wants our weapons
and support, which appear to be infinite, we should not give
him a blank check guarantee. The blank check is what started
World War One, the German Kaiser gave Austria blank check
guarantee and it led to World War One. That is how great
powers get pulled into the wars of minor powers. And we
absolutely have to have a point of view on how we do not get
pulled into this. And I think our one of our lines should be
that we are not going to fund the Ukrainians in retaking
Crimea. Got it. So just to put a to clear this, so we can move
on to the next topic. You’re in support of removing are not
giving further weapons support to the Ukraine. Unless they
negotiate this, it’s not going to come to that we need to have
a point of view on how you are in support of all stopping our
support if they don’t sit down and negotiate a settlement here.
That’s what you would do. America needs to have a point of
view of what is in its own interest. What is in our
interest is for this to get resolved diplomatically at some
point through negotiated settlement, not for to escalate
into a nuclear war that we could get pulled into. The only way
that’s going to happen, okay, is if Crimea goes back to Russia,
I’m telling you, they will be willing to pull out all the
stops. And by the way, they could even use tech nukes before
Crimea. But you answer the question, though, that I asked
three times, would you remove American support in weapons if
they don’t accept that if Ukraine doesn’t accept that
would you be comfortable taking away our support in well, I
don’t think it’s going to come to that. But yes, we should be
willing to threaten that. Okay, that’s it. I’m just trying to
get you to answer that one. Hold on a second. They are a
client state of the US. They do not call the shots. We’re
America. We call the shots. We’re the big dog here. All
right. That’s the bottom line. And you really want to get
pulled into a nuclear war because I do not. I just wanted
you to answer that one question. We should pull our
weapons if they don’t. Let’s get real. Okay, this is about
our future. You know, we are American nationalists. At least
I am. I’m not a Ukrainian nationalist. I support self
rule. I think we accomplished something by preventing Kiev
from getting toppled. But I want to support self rule for
the people of Korea. It’s time for a settlement in Saxony. I
think the most important thing that we can all be thankful for
which I think will prevent a lot of wars in the next 10 or 20
years is inflation, and non zero interest rates, it’s just
going to be really tough. Like, you know, the UK cannot do
anything right now other than make sure that they have
foreign currency reserves to back up the pound, which they
don’t really have that much. They’re going to need money to
bail out their pension system. Whoever thought it was a good
idea to allow pensions to run levered risk was it’s obviously
insane. Could you imagine if it turned out that the teacher’s
pensions and the firefighters pensions in America were running
levered long? I mean, oh, they are. They’re not. They’re just
having to get resolved now. I mean, it’s just we’re at a
breaking point. Yeah, it’s clear. You know what a pension
is. I know. I’m not trying to sound fancy. Yeah, it’s just a
dead instrument. I’m saying that’s all it is. I’m saying
don’t use some fancy intellectual argument. I’m
saying practically speaking, the treasurer is not allowed to
call Goldman Sachs and say, I’m going to run two turns of
leverage on this money. That is not allowed to happen in the
United States. Okay. I get in some fancy way. It could be
thought of as levered long with, you know, all kinds of
indirection, but that is not how the world works today.
Practically speaking, it is how the UK works. A treasurer in a
UK pension system is allowed to call an investment bank and
actually run levered. That is insane. Okay. So my point is
when rates are non zero, all of that jig is up. Governments are
forced to batten down the hatches and you know, husband
cash for god knows what will break in the system and I think
that that is and and and as disruptive as that is, it may
actually be the bulwark against war. The jig is up, folks. I
mean, I think that’s what we should take away from this is
we can’t afford this and the United States is funding it. We
have to force a settlement here and it will be a profile and
that may be the silver lining of inflation. Okay, Andy
Jassy’s had an all hands meeting. Amazon is freezing
hiring for corporate roles in its retail business. Almost 90
VPs or higher level execs have left Amazon since 2021. Early
this week, there was an all hands presentation. The slides
were leaked to business insider. Some of them constraints
breed resourcefulness, self sufficiency and innovation.
There are no extra points for growing headcount, budget size
or fixed expense. The slide instructed employees to
accomplish more with less sounds familiar sounds like
something the US needs to do and foreign policy needs to do.
Amazon leadership team urged employees to double down on
frugality. Jassy also spoke in the meeting, just a couple of
quotes, and then I’ll get your thoughts. Chamath. It’s on a lot
of people’s minds. And of course, none of us know for sure
what’s going to happen. But there are a lot of signs that
point to this being a difficult and rough economy ahead of us.
And I don’t know how long that’ll last. But I think it’s
one of the things that we are thinking about. And we decided
that we’re going to be more streamlined in how we expand in
- Good companies that last a long period of time who are
thinking about the long term always have this push and pull.
Chamath, what do you read into this?
I’ll say three quick things. One is that today, Thursday,
October 13, we had an inflation print, which was worse than
expected. And the markets are materially higher, right? So you
know, strange why? Well, I you know, we talked about this a few
weeks ago, but you know, my thought then and same is, it’s
the same that I think now is that we’ve effectively seen the
near term bottom and we’re now consolidating. And so every
opportunity people have to justify that most of the news is
behind them, they take and they use that as a reason to buy.
Okay, so that’s number one, which is that we are sort of
near the end. The second, however, is that if we do see
another leg down, there’s really only one cohort of company that
hasn’t been really whacked. And I’ll summarize it very quickly
by saying it’s Microsoft, Amazon, Apple and Google, that’s
it. Even Facebook has now been sort of put into the bucket of
everybody else, where you know, we’ve been crushed 60 70 80% in
those companies. So, so, so what does that mean? Well, those
four companies are now being identified for what they may be,
which in capitalism is called over earning. Okay, they are
making more money than we think is appropriate. This letter from
Andy Jassy is his way of effectively telling his major
shareholders that he is now moving the business to become
more of a cash cow business. Tim Cook made this incredible
decision in 2016 1718 that effectively did the same thing.
That’s when Buffett came in. That’s when he established a huge
ownership in the stock. That’s when the stock absolutely ripped
because it moved into a different bucket in people’s
minds. It became growth at a pretty reasonable price. And I
think Andy is making the case that Amazon is going to become
one of these GARP stocks growth at a reasonable price. He’s
going to generate a ton of cash flow. He’s going to keep
expenses nominal. He’s going to return a ton of cash to
shareholders with buybacks. That’s the reading in between
the lines of that letter. I think it’s a really profound
statement and a very smart move because you haven’t seen that
letter or a version of that letter yet from Microsoft and
you started to see hints of that letter from Sundar where
he said, you know, it’s it’s and he’s not he’s saber rattling.
He’s not there yet. He’s in the appetizer part. You know, he’s
in the amuse bouche where he’s like, oh, you know, guys, you
gotta work harder. Hey, guys, let’s create some fancy
acronyms but Sundar’s got courage. No, no, no, but he’s
got courage. He is going to rip the bandaid off too and so I
think what it means is these three and maybe these four
companies are going to draw a hard line in the sand and say
we are not over earning. Do not abandon this stock. That again
will help put in a bottom in the stock market. What do you
think Freeberg? You worked at this company and you know, the
principles across the board, the saber rattling will turn
into saber swinging in Q4 Q1 you think Google Apple cuts
coming? Amazon is affected in a different way because they
operate this physical supply chain business. They’re
delivering goods to people’s homes that people are buying.
So they’re, they’re, they really have to change their
trajectory very quickly. It was incredible. You guys remember
when COVID hit, you try to place an order on Amazon, it was like
three weeks to deliver because the infrastructure wasn’t there
to do it. So they actually were seeing more orders than their
system had predicted. And they did massive build out, they
hired what a million people or something in their network to
meet demand. And then over the next year, earnings went through
the roof, their infrastructure and employee headcount went
through the roof. And now we’re obviously coming back down the
other side of a mountain. And they’re having to shift strategy
and shift their operating model. Yet again, there’s a broader
set. And that’s because they’re in the direct commerce
business. Microsoft, Google, and other kind of software
companies, some of which benefit from advertising, which is
almost like a first derivative on the consumer market, or a
first derivative on the spending of companies that sell to
consumers have a little bit of a different calculus. They’re a
much higher margin business 30% EBITDA kind of business with
EBITDA margin business with a very distinct kind of set of
challenges on how advertising revenue is going to be affected
over the next couple of quarters, and balancing that
against their cloud platform, which is sold to enterprises,
and their media consumption platform, which is generally
like YouTube, at Google’s case, which is less affected. So it’s
not as much of a direct calculus, I will say what’s
happened over the past decade, which we’re now seeing change,
is these companies have had extraordinary growth, hiring
people to no end, there’s always been, you know, kind of this
extended expense on capital on human capital. And that expense
on human capital has driven the average cost per employee
through the roof. And it’s not just the salaries, it’s the cost
of the RSUs, it’s the cost of the facilities and the free
ice cream and the gyms and all the other stuff that’s gone on
to compete. That’s now changing. And so it really is creating a
different model for operating that hasn’t existed for the last
decade, where everything has been, you know, how many more
things can we throw in the kitchen, you know, throw like
the kitchen sink at this problem to get all the human capital
here. And I think that’s really, you know, what’s what’s going to
kind of structurally change in the valley. It’s not as acute as
what Amazon is dealing with.
It does feel like that is those are the last
cities to falter off.
They are the ones they are the ones that take the index to 3200.
If we’re going to try to do it, there’s only one place to look
you’ve whacked everybody else, everything is down, you know,
50 to 90% in some cases.
So and then finally, you know, and by the way, sorry, just just
at the end of last year, a quarter of every s&p dollar was
crowded in those names a quarter. So you got to go there.
Yeah, I mean, and also they’re automatically bought, right?
They’re automatically bought by these index funds. And so who’s
at the wheel saying, we’re not we’re going to take the money
out of them, right? Who who in their right mind is taking money
out of Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft? Where do you put it?
I guess is everybody’s question, right? Your mouth like if you
take it out of there, where do you put it?
Well, no, I think I think it’s just that when, when you have
patterns of selling, typically, as I’ve seen it, my experience
is that initially, it’s the algorithms that really start to
push a market in a direction, then you have, you know, the
more traditional fund complexes, that’s the hedge funds and the
long only they follow suit. And then the last group tends to be
retail. And it works in reverse the other way as well. And so,
you know, obviously, there’s exceptions to all of these, but
as a general rule, so if retail starts bailing on Amazon, and
they are right now and Apple, yeah, they’re, they are sellers
now, but again, time to buy it. But again, this is this is where
sort of organized capital now is finding a bottom again, like,
when you start to shake, just think about the psychology of
like, being delivered bad news after bad news, you go through
the cycles, right? There’s denial, there’s anger, there’s
depression, there’s bargaining, but then at some point, there’s
acceptance. And in that acceptance phase, you’re like,
Yeah, you’re right, things are bad. But when you see a market
rally into a print like this, it’s a it’s really, really
interesting, psychological turning point.
As a proof point to what you’re saying, sacks, Chamath and
sacks, I want to get your comment on this venture capital
firms, like Sequoia, Excel, and others that have now changed
their status as you know, just private companies, but also
dabbling in public are buying public equities, which basically
means they see more opportunity in public, underpriced tech
stocks, growth stocks, etc, than they do in late stage, private
companies, correct. And you saw the Wall Street Journal story,
I’m assuming sacks.
I saw that.
What is what do you read what you read into that? And they is
it overblown? Or is it indicative of something?
I think it’s probably overblown, because Sequoia created that
fund that is a hedge fund, and Andreessen Horowitz became a
registered investment advisor, so they could buy public
securities. So look, I don’t think most venture funds are all
of a sudden investing in public markets. We aren’t even allowed
to do that, as far as I know, nor would we ever try to. So I
think probably it’s exactly
You have to give up sacks, your VC exemption, but you could do
it. Yeah, yeah, I mean, we wouldn’t want to, but it’s kind
of the point. But look, I can’t explain why the market did what
it did today. It could have, like Jamal said, it could have
been some sort of algorithmic, you know, buying or selling. But
I just think that the overall news today was the economic
news was just another really bad report. I mean, just look at
these headlines from the New York Times today. Okay, I’m
going to read you the headlines on a single sort of scrolling
page here. Number one, inflation came in much faster than
expected. Bad news for the Fed. Takeaways from another painful
inflation report. Three, disappointing inflation data
keeps Democrats on defense at a midterm elections for food
prices climb again, weighing on household budgets. Five, rent
inflation remain tepid, a troubling sign. Six, used car
prices aren’t declining as much as the Congress of the House.
Slow down, slow down. Give Freeberg a chance to take some
Xanax. Take his Xanax, Freeberg. Gas prices fall slightly, but
overall energy costs are soon expected to rise. And eight,
retirees are getting an 8.7% social security cost of living
rates, the biggest in decades. I guess that one is sort of
positive, but it’s like literally negative headline
after headline in the New York Times. But can I reinterpret
that for you? I think I think the way to think about it is
this gives the Fed the resolve it needs. It’s going to go by
- It’s probably going to go another 75. We’re going to have
rates by four to 450 to 5% probably within Q1, which means
if you’re trying to figure out where the bottom is, it’s
roughly now ish. And so that’s why you see smart money David
shaking this thing off and starting to enter the market.
And so again, and the other version interpretation is, when
rates are four or 5%, the cost of servicing United States debt
is so meaningful as a percentage of their budget, the
incremental spend that they would need to make to enter a
new war is too much. I think I love this point. I love this
point where we’re weaving all these things together. Do we
want to look at you? So right, so on the economics page of the
New York Times, you it’s just disastrous headline after
disasterous headline, then you turn to the foreign policy
page, you got Tom Friedman, writing a column here, saying
we are suddenly taking on China and Russia at the same time.
And Tom Friedman historically has been a huge hawk. And he
is even saying he’s saying pump the brakes on the brakes,
never fight Russia and China at the same time. So he says we
are in uncharted waters. I just hope these are not our new
forever wars. It’s like, whoa. So basically, look, our
economic base, our economy is crumbling at home, at the same
time that we are doing unprecedented saber rattling
abroad. This does not compute we need to take a time out my
prediction. But my prediction is that we will not enter a new
war with rates flexing up as aggressively as they are.
I love it. I love weaving these two stories together. I think
it makes a lot of sense. We didn’t have time for Alex Jones.
But we’ll save that for another episode. Gentlemen, I think it’s
our best episode ever. It’s an honor and a privilege to spend
this hour or so with you every week. I love you like brothers.
And it’s been a great 100 episodes. I look forward to 100
more sacks if you need a mental health break. Dr. Friedberg
Psychiatrist got him David, David, David will be back next
Friday. I just want to say replies, David, don’t read your
replies. Get off of that. I just want to say how much I love
you guys. And I’m really proud of what we’ve created. And I’m
really excited to get to the next 100. And I’ll see you guys
tonight. I’ll break out the white. So we’re all you want to
keep going. That’s the news today.
I’m in for a hundy. I’m in for a hundy. I love you. I will say
that Jake house moderation has been a lot better since he got
brigaded. That is his way of saying he’ll be he’ll see you
next Friday.
I love you. I love you, Friedberg. Let’s see if we can
get sacks to do it. It’s been 100 episodes. He hasn’t said it
yet. But I love you, David. Are you coming tonight? Are you
coming? Yeah, I’ll come. You’re coming. Oh, wait, wait, wait.
Let me check. I’ll get back to you offline. Jesus Christ. God.
Jesus. Hold on a second. Hold on a second. sacks. I love you.
Let’s see if we can just say it. Okay, I love you. Back at you.
That’s to go around the horn. Can you say I love you? Can you
say I see you? I see you. I love you. Freeberg. I love you.
Appreciate you. I appreciate you. You guys. That’s 100. We’ll
see you. Episode two. I love you too much. I’ll see you
tonight. Bye bye.
Oh, man.
We should all just get a room and just have one big huge
orgy because they’re all just useless. It’s like this like
sexual tension that they just need to release somehow.
you