I got a counter to the other another billion dollars. I lost. I’ve lost two
Two billion dollars in the last two days. Are you guys recording? Please record this looks like
Looks like we need a poker game tomorrow
Imagine how tilted your mouth is gonna go. Yeah
He’s gonna buy it for two million just to try and get even
Rain man David
I
Hey everybody, hey everybody, welcome to another episode of the all-in podcast. We took a week off and boy that was
Sad, I missed you guys. I missed my best
We should tell we should tell people we had a we had a small medical procedure for one of the besties and but everything’s good
And it was planned so, you know, nothing nothing out of the ordinary, but we just needed to take a week off
So that’s why we missed a week and that’s what we’re back. Yes, and one of the besties
God, I got so many jokes. I’m not gonna tell all the jokes that came into my mind right now would get you canceled
Based on the amount of money that I’ve lost in the last two days, I’m ready to get canceled. So it’s fun
I’m just gonna fucking let him rip. All right, everybody David Sachs. The rain man is here calling in from an undisclosed
compound my bird
The queen of quinoa back in action and the dictator himself licking his wounds
Check a billion dollars for a billion a day
Checking the apple stock app hitting refresh and going thank god these companies have fundamentals
Because I haven’t seen this much blood since game of thrones jason, honestly at the at this run rate. I can lose a trillion dollars
Tomorrow how do you feel today?
I’m sad
How does today feel compared to last march when the same thing was happening, you know, every day the market was down 10
Well, this is what’s important
We made a joke. It was like it could only go down 10 so many days in a row march march
Uh 31st you you guys have to remember that march 31st of 2020 the headlines
All over the press and you can you know, go to the wayback machine and look at these things, but the dow was down
20 some odd percent the s&p was down 20
And it looked like the world was going to end and then we had our first big stimulus bill
um
and things started to look at china started to reopen slowly and things started to look better and
What’s interesting is you have this rotational?
Sort of deleveraging that’s happening right now. People are repricing in inflation. People are moving into sort of these
You know overlooked stories getting out of growth a little bit and it’s a bloodbath
but I would just I would just encourage us all to remember that
We were in some pretty dark days in march of last year as well
And you know when you looked at it by the end of the year, it looked amazing
So I would just add to that the markets are looking pretty grim for tech stocks right now
But this all started because of a really great jobs report showing that the economy is roaring back. So we added
379 000 jobs in february which beat expectations by 200 000. They also revised the january gains up
166 000. So now the unemployment rate is down to 6.2 percent. Remember it was at like 15
You know last summer during the the lockdowns for covid
So, I mean all of this is fundamentally due to I think really great news in the economy because covid is ending
and which kind of begs the question of why we need another 1.9 trillion dollar stimulus bill, but
but I think that
Ultimately, there’s a lot of good news in the real economy and what investors are doing is figuring out how to now price or reprice
All these different stocks in light of the economy roaring back
So just a little just a little math lesson to build on what you’re saying, you know, everybody has a risk-free rate
And all stocks are priced according to that risk-free rate
And when you know for the many for the last sort of year particularly when risk-free rates were essentially zero to negative
Meaning, you know, that’s that’s the riskless money where you that you get from the government
It was hard to do anything except belong growth stocks in a big big way
But david to your point if we get two or three more quarters of these kinds of jobs numbers
You’re going to have a you know
low single digit unemployment number and what that means is wages will have to go up for businesses to compete and
that’s the kind of traditional form of inflation that actually reprices things because
Then you lever up rates to kind of control inflation
When you lever up rates and you you know, all of a sudden they’re not zero, but they’re two three four five six percent
This is sort of what brought the tech bubble to a halt in 2000, which is that you know
You had six percent real rates. And so you can’t own businesses that are projecting revenues let alone profits in 2026
When you can invest your money in a bond and make six percent six percent and that’s what I like
So just for folks that don’t know this week started with this big bond sell-off
And what that means is bonds that used to yield zero percent when you sell them
They’re now yielding 10-year treasuries. I think are at one and a half points, right?
And so as an investor if I can make one and a half percent with no risk by owning u.s
Treasuries over the next 10 years that may feel like a better bet than owning some risky asset
um some speculative company now
The other thing that that it has done and chamath correct me if i’m off on this
But what i’m hearing is that that higher rate because bonds sold down because people are expecting inflation to come back up
The interest rates to borrow money are going up
And so if you’re a hedge fund or a institutional money manager over the last year or so
You’ve been able to borrow money for zero percent
You can lever up your portfolio and and and buy as many stocks as you want without paying any interest on it
And now that rates are creeping back up people are de-levering they’re they’re taking risk off
And that’s causing a sell-off in both bonds and stocks
and especially on the speculative end of the market where you know, there’s been
um
Obviously unchecked kind of investment capital. No, you’re you’re you’re absolutely right
Like look at the at the end of the day the cost of borrowing for a company goes up
What that’s really saying is the investor that’s lending them the money
um
You know has other alternatives
And so then they’re willing to charge you more and more for this for this capital and as that happens
you’ll see some companies get into
Potentially some real trouble because you know
They’re going to be borrowing money at rates where they can’t necessarily generate the cash flows in the future to pay those things back
at the same time as you said if you look at sort of like
You know the SPAC market
Has taken a real beating
What are what are SPACs really well, you know in many ways SPACs are synthetic bonds
right, and and the reason is because
You know if you go and buy a if you go and buy a SPAC one share of any SPAC
You have the ability to redeem that
If you don’t like the deal that it does and get back your coupon
So, you know your notional rather so if you were to buy a government, you know German bond at negative one percent
Or buy any SPAC where you can put that same, you know, ten dollars to work and get back ten dollars
Well, you do that versus getting back nine dollars and ninety cents
So in many ways like, you know
The SPAC market benefited from rates at zero
Because you could synthetically be long SPACs as almost a way of being synthetically long fixed income
Now as rates go up, that’s not true. So what that leaves in the SPAC market are actually people who
Want to own long-term equity
And if you combine that with what we just said
Which is the cost of capital going up and the discount rate going up now
All of a sudden companies need to be really real and you’re seeing that because if you look at the companies that have just announced
SPAC deals just in the last few days
Their stocks have gotten absolutely obliterated and they’re right on the knife’s edge going into the redemption period
So if you have one or two more months of this where all of a sudden bonds look better
And you know some of these SPACs post announcement, but pre-de-SPACing
Go through, you know, ten bucks a share people just redeem for ten dollars
And you’ll have you’ll have a bunch of busted IPOs or mergers
By the way, another thing we’re seeing sorry Jason
But another thing I think we’re seeing right now is in the near term is a feedback loop
So as selling takes place
What happens is market participants are jumping in and short selling and participating in the trend of that stock
And so there are these these kind of experiences that are underway where it’s not just about a sell-off of owners
But it’s also about a momentum trade that a lot of people are playing into
And so there is a very short-term extremely compounded effect
Of the de-levering that’s happening and the cycling that’s happening in these markets
All right, so it’s super volatile and probably will be for a little bit of of time here, right?
I think so. I think we need to figure out whether there’s really um
Whether there’s a real inflation
Risk drag in cooking someplace if if there if there really is inflation like again
You have to think like the trillions of dollars we put into the economy
Eventually has to come out in productive goods and services
and
All of that excess capital will probably inflate prices
Now it begs a different question, which is we maybe we’ve just actually been missing inflation all along because if you ask
Somebody who lives in a city, you know
What the cost of rent has been that that thing has been inflating by feels like 20 a year for years
So, you know and education costs and health care
Yeah, so maybe we’ve just done a really terrible job in the last few years of actually measuring inflation the way it should be
You know, it’s calling this whole basket of you know, you know cpi x energy like I mean, it’s kind of nutty
Maybe the whole thing just made no sense a few years ago
To david’s point and david gave me just a huge bag of red pills while we were off this week
So i’ve been just i’ve been on a bender on these red pills
But if you look at those three categories, what do they have in common education health care and housing?
massive regulation
And then if you look at the things that have gone down consumer goods electronics
Food etc or have stayed flat in terms of inflation
Those are things that the free market participates the government’s not involved and it’s not just the fact there’s a lot of government
Regulation in things like health care and education. It’s also that the government pays for a significant portion of it
And so there’s no reason for the people, you know who are billing the government to keep costs down
I mean, this is why the price of education of a college degree keeps going up is because the government’s paying for a lot of it
I I I I david you probably I think you you may have seen this but when you know when we announced um
Our merger with clover for ipoc. One of the first slides I put up there was the only place in the market
Since 2010 where you would have made more money
Than being long facebook and google and apple and amazon was being long united health care
Cigna wellspring and the reason is because health care was this incredible thing post obamacare
Nobody wants to talk about it on the left because it makes it look terrible, but we created
Massive price inflation and united health care was a 30 billion dollar company narrative violation
Be careful right before right before obamacare passed today. It’s a 330 billion dollar company
and the level of growth that
They and etna and you know, cigna and wellspring these companies have have seen
Is astounding so these highly regulated, you know systems of societal infrastructure
Oh, that’s where all the gains have been regulatory capture writ large, right?
Well as soon as the government is paying for it all the suppliers know they can increase their prices
Why wouldn’t they so it’s what happens is the government tries to make something free for people and all they end up doing is making
It really expensive
Well, they make it they make it now they make they make it expensive in this very in this very convoluted way
which is hard to track right because it’s like
You know, uh who’s actually paying well, you know, the insurance companies want to just book more revenue
Even if they’re you know, even if their gross aggregate profit grows much much more slowly
They’d rather make the same amount of profit on a billion dollars versus a hundred million dollars
So what do they do their incentive is to just jack prices up who are paying those prices?
Companies pay those prices who bears those costs all of this stuff is really not clear because ultimately downstream
Somebody has to pay for this stuff taxpayers and it’s all obscurified. I mean, look, I mean look at the
Tent story that we were sharing on our group group thread
$61,000 for san francisco to put people into tents with a no big contract
one question I have for for you all, um is
If we look back the last time we were at six percent unemployment
July 2014. We look at the unemployment graph. It’s spiked up to as we discussed 15
And it has plummeted back down now to uh, the six percent rate
if we look back on this moment in time and how quickly the
Economy is recovering from this disaster that we’ve never experienced before. It looks like this recession
is going to be recovered and
We’re gonna we’re already back in business in such a short period of time compared to
What happened in the great recession and the dotcom boom?
So is america and the u.s dollar and the economy anti-fragile now to use a taleb term?
What how do we look at what happened with the economy?
Did trump do everything right with the stimulus? This is a this is a complete outlier in the following way in a typical recession
What what has to happen is so you have a contraction in the economy
But you don’t know when the bottom is right?
The bottom is some number of months in the future and government policy is basically trying to create a soft landing
where all of a sudden the cost of capital is low enough now where people say
Uh on the margin now this incremental dollar I would rather borrow and invest which drives growth which then gets the economy growing
And so, you know, how does the government deal with that?
They are looking at economic data and saying, okay, you know what? Let me cut rates. I’ll cut rates again
I’ll cut rates again
And that’s really the one tool that they have in their toolbox because they’re trying to predict in the future
How many rate cuts do I need to get or have rather? How big do they need to be?
Um until I get to that place where you bottom out
The pandemic was the exact opposite because in many ways we actually hit the bottom in month one because we said everything go to zero
Right now, right when you shut everything down, you technically can’t have less economic
Activity than zero. Yeah, and so and so in many ways you price the bottom on day one boom and in hindsight, you know
the the real
Insight would have been to to see that and say i’m buying this moment because it only gets better from here
so
In in one ways like all of the tools
Are are actually now we need to think about them in opposite and I don’t think we have
That training to do that well, so we’re still going back to the same toolbox, which is why what david said is so true
You know, we’re thinking about incremental stimulus
As a as like a way to get to a soft landing, but we’ve already actually taken the hard medicine a year ago
Let’s let’s tackle that sacks. Should we and let’s let’s take virtue signaling and populism out of this discussion just on an economic basis
Is it necessary to send every american another six hundred thousand two thousand knowing what we know today?
With the unemployment rate going down. We would be read or we’d be better off taking that capital and deploying it in
education
Right unemployment or something else. Well, first of all, it’s 1.9 trillion that we don’t have we’re borrowing it
I mean, I would extend unemployment for people in those hard-hit sectors haven’t come back yet
But most of this money is going for blue state bailouts of cities that are totally mismanaged
This is not going to help states like california or cities like san francisco get their house in order
Because this is going to bail them out and defer that day of reckoning from their chronic mismanagement
So we’re borrowing money. We don’t have to bail out people
cities and states that don’t really deserve it, um, I do think we should help the people who’ve been impacted but
um, but it doesn’t require two trillion and
Look, here’s the thing. We’re already down to six percent unemployment
We’re gonna be down to i’d say probably three or four percent in two quarters
I mean the economy is coming roaring back and the reason it’s coming roaring back is because covet is ending
Right. So the biggest announcement recently and I think this is playing into what’s happening in the stock market as well
Is that biden?
Announced that every american who’s over the age of 16 who wants a vaccine will be able to get one by the end of may
By the end of may I mean we’re gonna have yeah
Yeah, right well he was
Just yeah when he came in office in january, he’s saying the worst is not over blah
I mean that was clearly sandbagging the worst was over
and we’re gonna have 300 million doses by end of may and the only reason why everybody won’t be able to get one is because
of states that are
You know creating these ridiculous hoops to get through confiscating them
Yeah, exactly
like california right now has three million doses sitting on a shelf because of all the crazy hoops that
Gavin newsom has everyone going through because he wants to score
Browning points on equity, right? Um
So if the government would just get out of the way let everyone who wants to get a vaccine get one without
Worrying about making sure the exact right person in the exact right line gets one first
This thing will be over by memorial day over now
Look, there’ll still be a case here or there for sure
There’ll be i’m not saying there’ll be zero cases of covid but there’ll be zero pandemic understood as such
By the way, i’ll also say one other. Um
You know important point about the stimulus, uh one that sacks made yesterday
The cbo put out a a projection. Uh, this is the um, the budget office, uh, I think congress and they said that the um,
U.s. National debt is likely to reach 202
of gdp
by 2051
So the amount of debt that the u.s. Government will own
Um is 2x the amount of all the revenue generated by all of the industries in the u.s. Um
Oh in about 30 years, that’s an insane statistic and the reason that people look at you know
Gdp or debt to gdp
Is because you have to pay your debt down at some points you owe some interest on that debt
You have to pay it down and every year you have to generate revenue to pay the bond holders
And how do you how does the federal government generate revenue it either issues more debt or taxes?
And in order to meet a 202 percent level of debt relative to gdp you end up raising taxes
so significantly as a percent of gdp to cover the uh,
The uh, the interest payments and the and the principal payments every year that you end up stalling out the economy cutting important services, etc
And so we’re in a circumstance now where the the benefit we’re going to get from taking on this additional debt relative to economic growth
and stimulus
um doesn’t actually
Outweigh the cost of that debt and we’re facing a fiscal crunch at some point in the next decade or two
And there is this this big question mark outstanding right now
On a global stage is the dollar really the safest place?
Um to be does everyone really want to be dollar denominated if this is the circumstance that the u.s
Federal government is going to be facing
Here’s a uh question for chamath that i’m curious about if the government is buying all this debt
Shouldn’t they be buying some amount of equity as well so they can profit from the government’s issuing debt jason
No, I know but isn’t the government also going into the market and buying up corporate debt through all of this
Shouldn’t they have profits coming from that?
So there there was a risk last year where you know corporates may not have been able to fund their obligations
and so
the government basically said we’re going to be the buyer of the last resort and step in and it’s like effectively what they did was
they
They they essentially froze the credit markets because if you were going to then
Bet on some of these companies not being able to raise capital
You would have gone to the worst part of the you know
The stack or you would have bet actually that there was going to be the state transition
so meaning debt is very tightly scripted as you know, triple a plus, you know, double a a minus
And these transitions from these tiers of like investment grade to junk to whatever are huge events
And basically the government said nope
Uh, everybody take your chips and go home because we are going to backstop companies like ford or whoever folks that were teetering
And so they effectively said this is going to be you know, until I tell you otherwise a rigged game
I’m going to make sure I backstop these things. These companies will always be able to have money
So my question though chamath is if the government is going to do that and take that risk
Shouldn’t they get some warrants or some upside in the company’s future success?
To then create a virtuous cycle here that if they did backstop it
Maybe they had warrants for five percent of the company
Like you would give if you were doing a debt instrument
They could probably do it if they were a direct lender and they they had that chance
And they didn’t really do it in 2008 when they did it
And I mean, maybe they could have done it in a better way here when you enter the open market
There’s no such contract and so you can’t negotiate that look
I I want to sort of talk about something slightly related to this which is
If you actually looked at that 1.9 trillion dollar stimulus bill
The thing that makes the most sense and I think nobody would complain about was saying let’s give a means-based test
Where the poorest americans get the most money call it five or six thousand and the richest americans get nothing
And I think nobody would disagree with that
And if you added up all of that money, it’s probably on the order of 500 or 700 billion dollars
If you did it if you did a really expansive package and and I think people would
I mean all of us would raise our hands and say we shouldn’t get a fucking dime
And I mean, you know people other people should be getting many multiples of 1400
Why should anybody who wasn’t impacted sax get anything like if you were not impacted, yeah, of course, you didn’t lose your job
You’re staying home. You’re not spending money
Why should you get anything because I think that’s all the money going into nfts
And making bets on game stop and doing all this, of course, you know shenanigans with bitcoin, of course
Look, this is rama manual 2.0. Remember rama manual back in the 2008
2009 financial crisis said never let a crisis go to waste this is now never let a crisis reach its end
Right, they don’t want it to be over because this crisis is a justification
Yeah, this crisis is the justification
For this piggy bank of spending that this this wish list that they wanted to pass for a long time
Very little of it actually has to do with helping the very little very little
In fact, if you actually look at the the breakdown of this 1.9 trillion dollar bill, it’s every typical bill
It has a better title, but ultimately it’s a bunch of pork barrels, by the way
There’s a bunch of insanity in there like covid testing
I mean, guess what? We don’t need to test anyone for covid in about 30 to 60 days
Test away. We needed them a couple billion dollars. We could say, you know, and the list goes on but I think the point is
Uh, what sax is making is totally true
We’re continuing to latch on to the covid pandemic crisis as a means to an end
And we’re not really solving any problems that are outstanding as the covid pandemic
And the risks remember let’s just go back a year
If you guys remember the reason we shut down the economy was to flatten the curve
There was no assumption. We were going to end covid
The idea was let’s make sure that the health care system doesn’t get overwhelmed with people dying
We can’t handle as many people in icu beds
And now we’re in a situation where we’re saying you still can’t go outside. I see you beds are largely open
You still have to do x and y and z we still need to be testing everyone
And all of those risks and considerations should be coming off the table
As more people have had covid and more people have gotten vaccinated
And instead we’re using the fear that’s been embedded in us over the past year
As a mechanism to drive spending in a way that is clearly economically unsustainable
um ultimately counterproductive
And unfortunately is being you know used as a mechanism for keeping folks in office and paying back their friends and all this other sort
Of nonsense. It’s freeberg. You had a you had a breakdown of uh, it by the way
Because it’s not just the the federal stimulus bill, you know, the the california breakdown of what they spent sane
Do you have that? Do you have that?
Can you fill it out?
What i’m going to do is i’m going to send the link because it was a through a foyer request
They were forced to list it. So california had an emergency declaration joke a total fucking joke
Through that emergency declaration
It gave the governor the power and the ability to enter into no-bid contracts to meet the the demands of the quote-unquote emergency
And the contracts that were entered into are all publicly listed and available in a link that I will share with you guys
Um, and it’ll be available online
I don’t think a reporter has done what needs to be done
Which is to go through those contracts and identify how much money was spent
On what and where that and why that money was spent and who ended up benefiting from it some of these contracts including for example
1.9 billion dollars to perkin elmer to provide nasal swabs and other, you know
Reactive chemistry needed to run covet tests with an overflow capacity of their lab of 4 000 tests a day
Which by the way costs a few thousand dollars
Um for 1.9 billion dollars and ultimately california didn’t really do any of the testing it was done by private labs
Where did that 1.9 billion dollars go? There was another amount of money
There was 100 million dollars spent on accenture to build the vaccination website
No bid contract 100 million dollars for a freaking three-page website in a weekend
There was the carbon health guy did there was another um separately for his own vaccination program that he was running which you know
Obviously highlights just how inept this whole process is there was another
um
incredible multi-hundred million dollar contract entered into
For a guy and then I looked up his address on google maps and I looked at his home in his office
It’s in like a strip mall next to a donut shop
And this guy is the guy he’s a he’s technically a doctor
But not really a practicing doctor who would who got paid hundreds of millions of dollars to source overflow?
um hospital and doctor capacity for prisons in the in california insane the shit that’s in there and so um,
You know the the total kind of um, I think mismanagement of capital
And obviously inability to kind of manage through a crisis get taken advantage of yeah
By the way, I think I think the covid the fiscal the federal covid stimulus looks very similar
In terms of the the pork and other nonsense that’s going on in there
It makes yeah, hey mainstream media instead of fucking grinding me about you know
A couple hundred million dollars of share sales so that I can allocate it to fucking climate change
Why don’t you do your goddamn job and fucking tell this story?
Yeah, no, because this would take work. You don’t get virtual signaling. What’s a joke? I’ll post the link now more
I need more red pills. What a joke get me those red pills from miami
So there’s one there’s one article like you’re right chamath like they there’s so many scandals
By the way, there was one just reported in the san francisco chronicle about how the city of san francisco paid 16 million dollars
to uh
To pay for something like 260 tents or something like that
Tents for homeless people. It was the entire budget of burning man
You just it was
$61,000 per tent you could build an adu for that guys
I have an entire gaggle of reporters sweating every single fucking share that I buy or sell and these people
No, no, I don’t this is it’s fucking stupid and and and there’s true. There’s trillions of dollars just swashing around like
Whoa, are we some third world fucking banana republic?
Kind of go ahead san francisco is that all all this money all this money all this money was dished out according to no bid
Uh contract so so basically there was not a competitive bidding process because it was a covet emergency
And so yeah, look, I mean all of uh, newsome’s big backers in the healthcare industry got these giant no bid contracts
These you know, the homeless industrial complex service providers in san francisco got these giant contracts. None of it was bid out
Uh, and the politicians would love to be able to keep this going because they’ve never had more power
They’ve never had more degrees of freedom to reward their political supporters
So, you know, I think there was one really good article. I just want to bring up here
Uh that was by jonathan chait. Oh, this is the intelligence here in the new yorker
Yeah, the new york new york magazine and why in new york magazine
So yeah, his article is called zero covid risk is the wrong standard and he defines a term called zeroism
What what chait writes is he describes zeroism as the following?
He says zeroism is an inability to conceive of public health measures in cost benefit terms
The pandemic becomes an enemy that must be destroyed at all costs
And any compromise could lead to death and is therefore unacceptable
So in other words if like one person might die, then we need to continue all these emergency measures
Um, it’s and and and this is the thing is that look covid as a pandemic is going to be over by june
Okay, but there will always be cases of covid
It’s going to return as a seasonal illness
And the question is are we going to allow zeroism to be the policy every year?
We basically give these politicians unlimited power to do lockdown shutdowns
No big contracts and on and on and on you already see with the teachers unions, right?
The education unions are refusing to go back to work even after their members are vaccinated
Yeah saying that there must be 14 days of no meaning zero community spread before they can safely return
So the teachers unions or the education users are saying is we’re not going to go back to work
We want paid vacation until there’s zero cases. Well, this is not realistic. I mean I I um
I went to get uh
My daughter’s passport updated at usps
They’re working while I was driving there. I saw all kinds of infrastructure. It was happening
We pay into a system
That’s supposed to guarantee in return
Some level of commitment by individuals that buy into that same system teachers are part of that
Yes, you can’t you can’t have a get out of jail free card whenever you want to just say no
We’re going to change the rules
And it but it applies to everybody else the firefighters have to show up
The cops have to show up the ambulance people have to show up the nurses show up, you know, the usps drivers bart
Everybody doctor shows up going to work, but these people fucking teachers the teachers should
Parents should take their kids out of school. That’s what they should do. And then do what jason?
How how how are most you basically?
Well, if you have six parents people work, yeah, no, no
But if you got five or six parents together and they don’t have time for that jason
What are you talking about? This is like a fucking normal my sentence five or six parents get together and if they had
If they had um, what do you call it? When you give parents a little bit of money for school? Uh,
Voucher voucher systems the voucher system would then create the competition if six or seven families could get five 10k each
And then run their own little bubble school their micro school. This could actually put pressure
Well, it’s not gonna it’s not gonna happen, but you actually have a pretty good point
What what newsom should do is he should go to these unions and say listen
If you’re not going to go back and you’re not going to teach no problem
We’re going to take the money that we give to your schools and give them out as vouchers
And let the parents do what they want. In other words, we’re going to break your union
That is what he needs to do. It’s time to break the union newsom
The problem with newsom is that his biggest contributor
The single biggest contributor is the education union, right?
And so look he has publicly said that yes i’m in favor of schools reopening
But it’s not enough for you to espouse the opinion that schools should go back
I mean, you’re the governor you need to go make that happen. You need to go tell the teachers unions
You must go back right now because there is no incremental covid risk to the teachers
They’ve seen this now that states which have open schools have not seen an increase in covid
There is no science to support this
He needs to tell him go back right now or we’re going to break your union
He will not do that because he’s an employee of those unions
And by the way, I have an update. I have an update on the on the recall if you guys want it
No, wait, let’s let’s get to it in one second because I do want to I do want to just say
Um, well, first off I want to make an observation that we are um turning into the rational rush limbaugh
We’re all kind of yelling
violent
It’s kind of a little bit silly, um, but uh, I am just observing the tone here a little bit
Um, I will say like if you guys remember we talked about this like last year
Which is you know
What will life be like post covid post the pandemic and if you guys remember I said this
And I still firmly believe in I think we’re now seeing it play out
Which is that the fear that gets created by the actual crisis
Will persist in terms of the subconscious behavior of the population for a long period of time
That’s what happened after 9 11, you know
The insanity that went on with the tsa and security checking and racism against brown people and everything that arose post 9 11
Persisted for a very long time as a result of the shock that we all experienced
And I don’t think people were very cognizant of it occurring. It was just like oh well
This is now the normal way of life
Everyone is so fearful of catching covid and they’ve been so kind of trained and told that they’re going to die from covid
That we’re finding ourselves in a circumstance
Where anything can then be rationalized and those of folks that then have power and the ability can magnify
The circumstances into something that it seems kind of shocking and absurd if you put on kind of a rational hat
But this is just one manifestation of what I think will be the case. We were um
We we all know people that have been vaccinated that are more than two weeks since their second shot of vaccination
Who are still scared of doing things like being around other people or going into grocery stores?
Because quote unquote there may be a chance that there may be a variant that may not work on the vaccine that I may get
That may end up killing me and if you actually do the math on it, you think about it rationally
You’re not going to get covid and you’re not going to die, but there’s a chance therefore
I’m going to change my behavior and that’s part of what I think we’re seeing
Manifest at a very large scale is this like trained fear mind that we all have at this point
um and policy and everything and by the yeah, no, by the way, the 1.9 trillion dollar stimulus is in part kind of
Empowered by this fear. Well, we all I I I I I disagree slightly. So look, is there going to be some ptsd from covid?
Yeah, i’m sure there will be but I think people are ready to to get out and
um with a vengeance and I think people want and and the problem
Is not that people are are afraid but that the people doing the health establishment doing the messaging
Is not out there telling us the right things
I mean you’ve got fauci out there telling people that even after they’re vaccinated
They cannot take off their masks until 2022 that they’re not gonna be able to die. No, seriously
They’re not gonna be able to dine indoors
They can’t go to a movie a concert or a sporting event and they can’t socialize indoors except with other also vaccinated people
This is what fauci is saying. I mean so
No wonder you’ve got so many people out there saying that they’re gonna wait and see whether the vaccine works or not. Well
Because effectively fauci in the health establishment they’re being so cautious in their guidance are effectively giving anti-vax messaging
They’re basically saying that the vaccines don’t work very well, which is just stupid
I mean, I mean they should be going out saying nobody has died who has been gotten a shot
Nobody has gone to the icu who’s gotten vaccinated to say nobody’s been on a ventilator who’s been vaccinated
Am I correct with those three statements? Yes. Yes. They need to say if you know that’s no icu no
Ventilator if you have the shot
What we need to be saying is very simple
Which is if you’ve been vaccinated you will not die
If you’ve been vaccinated you will not die put that on a billboard and everyone’s going to want to get vaccinated
You know only 55 in the population right now
Uh says that they’re going to get vaccinated as soon as they can
I’m, i’m ordering a billboard right now from the besties. I think that just says if you’re vaccinated you won’t die the besties
I think it’s pretty reasonable that individuals would still be afraid
You know because I think we learned over the last year that we can’t trust
The institutions that are supposed to tell us
In an objective way meaning you can’t trust the who you can’t trust nih. You can’t trust the cdc
You can’t necessarily trust the surgeon general. You couldn’t trust the president
Very complicated, right? So I think it’s reasonable that people are skeptical
What I think is unreasonable is when you know sort of like organized
um
Unions or organizations or corporations who have a responsibility to run the infrastructure of this country
basically say um
All these rules apply to everybody else but me
Um, that’s where I think uh, we have to really just kind of question ourselves and fix that that’s not cool
It’s just fundamentally not reasonable
So we have biden saying that everyone who wants a vaccine will be able to get one by the end of may we have gavin
Newsom saying that most of the state but not all of it will reopen in august. Well, wait a second, you know
May june july august why is there like a three-month gap here?
It’s because of of the zeroism. I mean, I think newsom has embraced the zeroism if not zeroism
What’s the number we have 8 000 people die a day in america?
Uh on average historically as soon as everyone if it’s under 500 deaths a day, should we be going back?
That’s not even the question. That’s not even the question once everyone can get a vaccine
It’s over if you choose not to get the vaccine
Like sorry, it’s on you. We’re moving on. It’s like dude, we’re gonna ask
By the way
The equivalent of zeroism would be no one’s allowed to drive a car because people die
Dyes it dying cars all the time cars have to be 35 miles an hour or they or you or yeah
Or no one’s allowed to drink alcohol because alcohol has some adverse effect or increase its chance of of cancer or whatever or whatever
At some point like do you end up you just triggered chamath? No, sorry
No wine nice bordeaux and burgundy doesn’t give you cancer what’s going on with the wine budget post spackocalypse
I mean, it’s gonna it’s gonna take a lot of it’s gonna take a lot of more billions before I stop drinking my wine
um
Question. Um, I want to throw this into the scrum
Um, what do you guys think about?
Uh, by the way, I mean also we’re all just so punchy because we didn’t talk last week. So
We’re all so agitated
All of our wives have been telling us what to do
We had nobody to vent with and now we’re just going crazy. It’s like a bunch of 12 year old boys who are on timeout
It’s like it’s like it’s like we’ve been in a two-week time
We need to get our bikes and go for a bike ride
No, no guys, honestly, honestly
Like have you guys like I have not gotten a word in edgewise with matt for two weeks
And I was so looking forward to talking to you guys. I’m like, I want to talk
um, no, but listen, uh, no guys, what do you guys think about the uh, the the biological patriot act thing, you know
There’s these vaccination passports that people are talking about. I just want to get a sense of
where you guys think this is going and
This is the slippery slope that I think ends all slippery slopes with respect to privacy, right?
So I think it was proposed in the eu
That you would need to get a you know
A digitally verified kind of passport stamp that shows that you have been vaccinated in order to travel freely amongst other eu nations
And so if you think about the implications of this
Now the government or governments have the ability to demand that in order for you to move around freely
You need to represent something digitally or represent something about some health care procedure that you may or may not want to kind of
Uh, you know take on so that sound everyone kind of nods their head and says that seems totally reasonable and rational
It’s covet. We’re all at risk. We should protect ourselves
I want to yada yada, but where does this go next right because then it becomes well
Have you had your measles vaccine or you know?
Hey, you know, do you have um herpes and therefore you can’t you have to show someone your herpes passport if you want to have
sex with them or you know end up kind of going to a point where
We we really don’t have a barrier between what’s private and what’s nationalized
Um, or even super nationalized in the context of the eu
Um, and you know, is there kind of a slippery slope that emerges by allowing this amount of invasiveness of personal decision-making and personal data?
And making it available to government agencies in order to have access to the liberties that you you know
Believe may be endowed to you as an individual citizen
Of the world. So what do you do? What do we do?
Well, I I just think proposals like this are I think they’re going to fade away very quickly once covet is over
and and the real issue we have right now is that not enough the population wants to get vaccinated because
Again, the health authorities are being much too conservative in their guidance
So I you know
there’s some polling numbers on this that
So only 15 of the public are actually opposed to getting the vaccine like you kind of call them anti-vax
But there’s another 20 to 30 that are taking this wait and see approach
and you know
they’re going to make sure that like other people go first and
Don’t sprout tails or antlers or something before you know, they’re going to be willing to get it
but but the reason why they’re all waiting and seeing is because
You’ve got you know, falchi and others saying that we’re not gonna have normalcy
Until christmas or maybe even 2022
So if if that’s the case if things aren’t going to be normal till next year
Why wouldn’t you wait, you know?
And I think what we need to be saying is look go get the vaccine
Where everyone who wants us to be able to get it in the next two months and covid is over it’s over guys
But sax if there is a digital passport requirement in the eu, where do you think that goes?
Like if you have to show proof of a vaccination in order to enter the eu without quarantine
Yeah, it’s it’s it’s it’s it’s it’s not a great precedent
But I but I I don’t know that it’s going to be necessary because I just think that covid’s going to end
There is a so so quickly
It’s it’s a this I like sax’s point of view
Which is if you decide you’re not going to do this, then you’ve put yourself at risk
But if nobody else can die from it, why do we need to check it?
I understand like maybe in this bridge period
Spring to summer if you go to a warriors game or a nix game where you want to go to burning man or the edc
You know electronic daisy carnival, whatever
Uh freeberg goes to you know, uh when he goes to his raves
I mean freeberg at a rave is kind of the video we need to see I think
But
Why would that’s fine with me in the short term, but in the long term, I don’t want to give them that power
Look what happened with the patriot act and then them monitoring our data forever and the government being able to put
You know
What snow didn’t found out like they were able to put on the at&t backbone the ability to sniff all data. I mean
It’s overreaching
last january, uh or february, I think jason it was one of our first pods where
I kind of put this marker out there on this biological patriarch and I said it’s coming i’m going to put another
marker out there, um
By the way, because like, you know
There may be something like this in new york. I think most cities will have to have them
I think places jason exactly as you say for sporting events for concerts. It’ll be very hard
um
As the number of strains increase as the severity ebbs and flows over time
For us to not end up in this place and I think it will be because
Certain people will feel a paternalistic
um
Desire to sort of you know, it’ll come from a good place
Like I want to help everybody but they’ll pass a law and that law will just get perturbed and and it’ll create all kinds of
Crazy consequences, but I want to put another shit out there
Which is you know, there was a really important civil rights case called masterpiece cake shop versus colorado
uh civil rights commission
Who went to the supreme court and it was basically a a guy who owned um
A bakery and he refused I think it was to make a cake for a same-sex couple
um
And ultimately, you know, the decision was yeah
He’s allowed the supreme court gave a very narrow ruling that he was allowed to withhold service
And I asked this question which is well, what is the difference?
Um, frankly between withholding service from a same-sex couple or withholding service from somebody that isn’t vaccinated
um
Because you know in the eyes of the business person
You know assuming apparently you’re allowed to make these kinds of you know judgments
Because you’re a private business the implications I think are really vast. Um, and so i’m just going to put it out there that I think that
Uh, it’s actually david i’ll take the other side
So I think that there’s going to be these biological patriot acts, unfortunately
And then the second thing that i’ll say is that I do think that it will get litigated to the supreme court
And I think that narrowly
What will come down is that businesses will be able to decide and I think this is actually what will put the vaccination
or anti-vaccination movement
to the forefront because I think in this complex global world
where
We don’t know where diseases
come from
Except we know that they are more communicable
They can be more deadly and they’re more pervasive and they spread faster just because of the nature in which the world is set up
There’s gonna there’s probably going to be less and less tolerance for anti-vaccination
Now that may slow down
the actual process of getting vaccines to market
um, because we’ll want to make it even safer if we’re going to do forced vaccinations of certain things, but
I’m, just going to put a put a check out there that I think that that’s well
I don’t know that we need to force people to get vaccinated
But I think that we need to recognize that once people have the option of getting vaccinated. There’s no need to
Have the same public policy response, right?
So so look if biden’s correct that we’re gonna have 300 million doses by end of may and I think he must be correct
Because he’s been very conservative in his guidance
Then we should declare a date certain for the end of covid. I’m not saying that the virus won’t exist
I’m not saying there won’t be a smattering of cases. I’m saying from a public policy perspective
There’s no longer a panic a raging pandemic to justify these incredible new powers that the government has asserted
I mean, what would you do that based on the number of shots in arms or the number of deaths per day?
No, it’s look once
Once everyone can get the vaccine and then I think that will be so
Availability so I mean look what we should and it will be available as long as you know
Governors like newsom get out of the way and stop restricting the administration of it
But I think we need to declare a date certain where we say listen on june 1st
There is no more justification for government having these extraordinary powers to lock us down to require us
I I don’t think we even need to wear masks beyond june 1st
And by the way, I was pro mass. I was in favor of a mass mandate a year ago as you guys know
But there’s no need for it after june 1st. There’s no need to have these. Um,
Crazy, not if you’re vaccinated, right freeberg like I mean
It doesn’t matter. I I it doesn’t matter. I I just um, you know, I think it’s uh,
It’s a good point that sax is making it’s easy for people
to say let’s wear a mask and protect ourselves, but
If you don’t care about wearing a mask, but there are plenty of people who do and I I think the question is at
What point do we allow liberty to kind of play a role here?
And it’s it’s not just about you know
What one person’s point of view which by the way turned out to be wrong multiple times over the last year
Um is uh in terms of what they think that other people should do and you know
What what is what does it mean to actually have freedom of choice and liberty?
Um, I mean it’s a really it’s a really fundamental question. Yeah
Well, I mean if you look at states
That is a key we have texas has opened up and said no mass mandate
One of the things that hurt us in this was we didn’t have a centralized government dictating everything
And now we see like hey, maybe okay, so by the way, by the way, I don’t know if that’s necessarily true
I’ll say something about this that I think is important
It may be true that masks stop community spread of the virus
But it doesn’t necessarily mean that we stop the spread of the virus
The virus still spread we still had a lot of viral cases in the united states
We had a lot of deaths that arose and whatever restrictions we put in place
People still made the choice to go into other people’s homes take their mask off
Enjoy free air enjoy drinks and give each other the virus and that’s where so much of the spread occurred. I think you guys are not
Confronting this really obvious thing. I think like this masterpiece cake shop thing is a really important concept
Like what happens i’m just going to use an extreme example if it goes to the supreme court you mean
No, let’s just say that you know, google’s engineers unionize and they decide that you know
They want everybody else at google to be vaccinated
And then google says yeah, you’re right
If you want to work at google, you need to be vaccinated not just private company private not just for covet
It’s a private company
By the way, that is a rule at schools, right?
I mean, I think my my uh, my preschool where my kid goes here in san francisco requires
proof of vaccination for the kids in order for them to go traveling seems to be different and see traveling in some places is
On wait, just public infrastructure some on private infrastructure. I know but just just just focus on this issue
What happens if private organizations pass a decision?
Yeah that you have to be vaccinated. It’ll go to the supreme court. And if you look at masterpiece
they
They’ll win they will be they will they will come out with the right to say that
Which is fine
You can go work somewhere. Why is that? Why is that a problem? Exactly? Yeah, i’m just curious
I think we’re all in agreement if only half the population of america
Well, maybe they’ll lose good engineers and the free market will resolve itself where google will end up saying you know
What we’re not going to pass this mandate because all the good engineers are going to leave
So let’s just leave it, you know, leave it be
Um, i’m i’m more worried about the politicians trying to hold the government trying to hold on to the power
That it’s asserted over us over the past year even after covid. So that’s my concern
I don’t want them having a database of my medical records. No, right
And so this is why look I think we need to declare a date servant
Certain that covid as a pandemic is over. My date is memorial day
It’s very clear to me that once everyone has the vaccine, it’s over. Just make it when you can walk up
This is when yeah, this is what so I actually think that the newsome recall which will be in will be going on this summer
Uh, this is what that election is going to turn into in my opinion is so so by the way quick
Can I give a quick update on yes, please? Okay, so
I talked to the recall, uh people this morning. They’re up to 1.95
Million signatures he’s done. So 50 000 votes short of 2 million
They will be at or over 2 million in two weeks, which is the end of the signature period
Their validation rate is about 84
So I think this is clearly going to pass there will be a recall election
It will be around august now fast forward newsome has said the state won’t reopen until august
But I think that by may june july you will see just about every other state reopen
Obviously texas already completely reopened but even blue states like connecticut have now lifted lockdowns
They still have a mask mandate for the time being
But I think what you could see by this summer is that california will look like a laggard
You will see that politicians like newsome are holding on to the zeroist philosophy
They’re being too restrictive
They look ridiculous compared to other states and he still probably won’t have an agreement with the teachers unions
To go back to school
And I think this could become the big issue in the in the recall. You want to make an announcement sax?
You want to make an announcement now? We have a special announcement
You know might be taking a hiatus from work given where the markets are
I mean, I thought I thought this governor thing would be value destructive. It looks like actually I would have saved money
Fuck it i’m doing it. I’m doing it. I’m doing it again. I’m back in
I mean, oh my god to be cynical. But if you I am losing so much money down. Wow
In your state sax, they can’t collect signatures at the supermarket or at restaurants or disneyland
so maybe
Maybe newsome shut everything down so that you know
Well, it’s interesting because they actually found that direct mail was a very effective way of getting signatures
So they’ve gotten around that but so gavin newsome is cutting the budget of the u.s. Postal service
No, look newsome is definitely there’s going to be a recall election
I think it’ll be around august and now there’s uh recall efforts underway for uh, chase a boudin the killer da
the killer da of san francisco
Oh
As well as gasco in la and the san francisco school board, but we’ve got to talk
You know, we got to talk about how boudin responded to our last pod, right?
Oh my lord david, I I have three comments to say before we talk about boudin number one
I’ve never seen you more energetic. Did you get yeah, where are you?
Did you download a fourth emotion did you download a fourth emotion in palm beach?
He’s been at the massage parlor every morning. Oh, it’s just feeling energized. You’re right
It’s like a build-up over the last two weeks. It’s like a you know, uh, yeah big release too much too much
How much energy I mean how how little have you spoken in the last two weeks has jacqueline spoken the entire two weeks?
I know what that feels like
I need uh, I need the bestie therapy. I didn’t realize I needed this
Jake alfredberg you guys you don’t know this but saxxy and I called each other on friday and we spoke for half an hour
and like
We were so lonely he did he actually conference called all four of us I picked up and we spoke for half an hour
It felt like a mini pod. It was so wonderful. Oh my god
Oh my god
You know what men are too proud to uh men are too proud to go to therapy
So they start podcasts telling a friend of mine
I was I was telling I was telling a friend like this podcast was kind of one of the surprising joys of my life
Over the last year. It really felt like a great. Wait a second. You got the joy. Oh, we had your joy
We did a download a joy. Yeah, I acknowledge joy now
Okay, he’s they’re both smiling. Wow. It’s incredible. Okay sax go tell us about buddhi
Okay, so, uh, yeah, let me find the the tweet
So basically, you know remember in the last pod two weeks ago, we chaser was supposed to be on our pod
He canceled and so then in response to that jason hold the chicken noises for a couple of minutes here. Hold on
So, uh, I responded to chase saying listen, you don’t have to come on our pod, but i’ll challenge you to debate
Let’s do a debate whatever format you want
And we posted it on on twitter so he didn’t respond but by the way, it got like 180 000 views
So a lot of people watched the challenge and so but the crazy thing is instead of responding directly chaser had a high school friend
and campaign worker
Post a blog responding to me which and jason got mentioned too, but it was crazy
It was like why don’t you just respond directly? Anyway, he had this
this, uh shill
respond and what he basically said was uh in this response was he cited all these
Charging statistics and he tried to claim
That chaser has charged just as many cases as the previous da
The problem with that is charging doesn’t really mean anything because you can charge someone and then plead the charges down
From a felony to a misdemeanor. It doesn’t mean that the person was actually punished
It doesn’t mean that you locked anybody up
It doesn’t mean that you actually got a conviction to a serious crime or protected the public from anything
The real question is not chargings but dispositions
Of cases and that’s the real that’s the data that we need
And I know there’s a bunch of reporters who are trying to get that data
And chase’s office won’t give it to him. And so, you know, I would I would challenge this. Um,
this little, uh chase a volunteer, you know, go find out, you know, what what is the real data
On, you know, how many felony charges have been pleaded down to misdemeanors, right?
How many felonies have actually been prosecuted? How many felony convictions? It’s interesting
It’s interesting you bring this up if you do a search for go fund me chess abuden the number one result should be
the the um
The go fund me page I started it now has 455 donors and
54 000 in funding
And so I am withdrawing the fifty four thousand dollars and I have a meeting with the woman from the marina times
Uh, who’s done great coverage of this and i’m also looking for some data scientists
And i’m going to give the money minus some insurance for when chessa sues me
And some errors and omissions insurance and i’m going to be giving the fifty thousand dollars to a journalist or a data scientist
Or they can spend it. However, they want to to attack this very issue, which is just put more sunlight on it
And so chess abuden is not happy with me. He’s not happy with sax
Uh, but we are going to put the spotlight on him and it will be through journalism and it will be through constant pressure
And you can help if you want to donate a hundred dollars go just donate it to that. I’m not taking any money
Obviously, this is a really interesting civics experiment
I think for the rest of the country and I I want to say that I
I don’t know enough of these details. I go up to san francisco every now and then I don’t i’ve not liked what i’ve scary
It’s scary. Um, and it’s great that you guys are standing up for your city
The the thing is I wonder how much of these recall movements now will pick up steam not just here
But wherever else they’re allowable all around the country
I mean, you know the san francisco board of education spent all this time and money, you know
Basically navel gazing on the renaming of schools
And then finally just because they were just so utterly embarrassed
Basically had to bag that could you imagine that in the most technically advanced and most progressive?
City in the world basically with the kinds of companies and people that we have here that that’s what people were thinking about
During the middle of a pandemic when children were at home. Okay
You have this da who’s going to get basically recalled in los angeles
You have a da that’s going to get recalled in california. You have an entire
You know governor of the state that’s going to get recalled
So what are we learning?
We’re learning that people can actually small numbers of people can be extremely effective at getting change done
And that they represent us and that the distance between what the public clearly wants
And what some of these bought and paid for?
radically insane people both on the left and the right
That needs to stop and if people are you know going to
Not listen to their constituents we need to stop them people want people want centrism
They want simple centric hundred percent reason people want reason
Yeah, the silliness is that the san francisco board of education people
are elected
When have any of you or any of the people that I know in san francisco ever actually looked up?
Who’s the person on the board of education?
It’s not really a topic that people have paid much attention to
And I think that um this experience when you don’t pay attention from a civic perspective on who your elected officials are and take an
Action in electing them you wake up when a crisis like this occurs and you’re like, oh shit
Maybe I should pay attention the next time there’s an election
And maybe I should be more active and be more thoughtful or maybe we should end up in a situation where you allow
the mayor or the board of supervisors to appoint the board
And have an approval process where there’s a little bit more kind of not just anyone that wants to get elected puts themselves on
The ballot gets elected. No one really pays attention to who’s getting elected and then you wake up to this crisis
Isn’t it true that like in the board of education there was this the whole thing came to a head
Because they were trying to like staff a committee again to waste time on some bullshit
Yeah, and some guy some guy raised his hand
And you know, he happened to be this, you know gay
person, uh in a mixed cultural
marriage, I think and he wanted to be a part of this committee and he had been kind of like a
Really good thoughtful participant and they said no because he wasn’t diverse enough or something. Yes
That’s exactly that’s exactly what happened. There was a school board meeting. It started at 4 p.m
Okay, 4 p.m
And this was the first issue they discussed is whether that like you said this this gay white man was diverse enough
To be on a committee. It was a committee where he was volunteering his time time
He’s good. Everybody thought that he’d be additive. I mean, you know, everybody liked him
But they spent several hours debating whether they should put him on for diversity reasons because he wasn’t he wasn’t woke enough
Right, exactly
Then they spent their time talking about renaming schools and taking abraham lincoln’s names off schools and even renaming schools
They didn’t even know
What why certain names were what they got the people wrong?
They got the people wrong and then basically they didn’t even get to the issue of school reopening until midnight
So eight hours later and then everyone basically had gone to bed and the meeting ended
I mean literally this is what happened. So the the parents it’s like an snl skit. It’s like insane
It’s it’s insane
and so
You know the parents are up in arms and this is triggering a recall movement because the parents just want the schools reopened
And you keep getting these um responses from the school board where where they keep saying oh
We’re listening to your concerns or whatever. They keep trying to process them, but they’re not doing anything about it
You know and then and then they say well in order for us to reopen
We need to establish our testing infrastructure and we’re putting an rfp out for that and blah blah blah
And it’s like what are you talking about private schools have reopened just reopen, you know, just reopen
What do you guys think about um, joe biden’s first sort of 60 days in office?
Executing at a high level with the vaccine
I mean opening up all those fema sites and getting to 2 million shots a day on average is undeniably great
the fact that he used the war powers act to force merc and to to do the
Uh, jay johnson and johnson, uh, and to work with johnson johnson to increase production
undeniable
um, i’m not ha and i’m not happy about you know, um
the teachers and him kowtowing to the teachers and i’m not happy about
Just the hint that he wants to start the war machine up again. So, you know, yeah bombing syria
Who wants who here wants to bomb syria? It’s like a right of passage. I don’t want to I don’t want to
Where where where the fuck is syria? Does anybody know?
I mean, why what what what what are we doing? I mean
That’s those are the key issues for me. There’s the teachers and the bombings. I don’t want that
I I say I I give him an eight out of ten
Uh jason because I think the pandemic has been so well handled by him in science and that team
I think they’ve done a very good job
But those two things those two things are huge black marks for me like he and and bloomberg ripped him one
You know and mike bloomberg was on tv and he was just like that is a joke
The teachers unions are jokes and you need to basically tear these people to the ground
You have to they and you cannot allow these folks to hold
An entire generation of kids hostage. Okay, but then and then the day I think it was the same day or the day after
Unfortunately biden kind of capitulated to the teachers union not cool. And then this the bombing of syria was kind of like
Why?
Yeah
Let’s use sanctions. Let’s use money. I mean that the the legacy of trump I think not starting wars
Was the one thing and then him, you know, just backing up the brinks truck for the light speed
Those are the two best things he did and those are two things that we should say. You know what?
He got those things, right? Let’s carry those forward. We have to crack the teachers unions
Uh, the teachers union the voucher system is the only way to do it and it’s very reasonable to say parents who are paying
Shit tons of taxes should be able to take that money and educate their kids
However, they damn please and if we’re going to spend fifteen twenty thousand dollars per student on public education
As a parent whether you’re in brooklyn or boise, idaho, you should have access that 15k
And you should pick where it goes and you should take control of it. That’s the way to stop this mishigana
jacob, I had the I had the
This crazy realization as you were saying this which is like if you said if I said to you
You know electricians union I would say thumbs up
auto workers union thumbs up
seiu generally thumbs up
Um nurses unions thumbs up
But if I say teachers union, I just have this incredibly negative connotation now of an incredibly political class of people
Who are going completely out of their way?
To basically just like have exceptions and asterix’s that apply to them and them only
It’s I don’t I don’t am I the only one that feels that way?
It just seems like it’s trending to where like teachers unions almost becoming a four-letter word
Yeah, I don’t think they care about teachers. Yeah, they don’t care about students these unions
But unions in general do a very important job
All the students yeah, but I think unions in general do a really important job
And I think that you know, like all these other unions
I have a very positive thought about what they’re meant to be
You can be pro-union or pro-organized labor, but be against this specific union. That’s what i’m saying just like you can be
Uh pro-reforming criminal justice and the unfairness of it while still being against chess abudin’s insanity
That people should be able to be murdered and killed and beaten in the streets unity with impunity
well, like this is these this is not an even
This is a completely logical position to have I want to not put people in jail for cannabis sales
and I want to remove people from non-violent for non-violent offenders from the
The incarceration you can believe that while believing you should incarcerate somebody who murders somebody
This is not a hard logic to understand
Right, totally. No, you’re right. I mean the the the it’s it’s a combination of ideology and special interests
um working against common sense and what the average citizen wants, you know, right and
It’s not republican or it’s not republican or democrat david you and I agree on this and
We just want common sense government that functions for
The people as opposed to special interests or these radical ideologies
I want to have a couple of pops at the battery and go walk to another bar without having to fear that somebody’s going to
Stab me for my goddamn iphone
You know or or some poor kid’s gonna get attacked by somebody deranged out of their mind on fentanyl
Look, this is why nuisance gonna get recalled is because crime and education are just fundamental issues
We do not feel safe in our cities crime is out of control
And we’re going crazy that we can’t send our kids to schools
These are issues that affect cities and suburbs everyone’s on the same page
And I think you’re right that the teachers unions have overplayed their hand and exposed themselves as not caring about the kids
Just looking out for their own benefits. They want to be on paid vacation forever effectively. And do you see there was a great
Example where in oakley which is a town in the east bay the whole uh, they were caught on uh recorded on zoom
The hot mic. Yeah, the hot there’s a hot mic where the entire school board was forced to resign because they got caught
Mocking parents for for quote wanting their babysitters back so they could smoke pot
I mean the cynicism here is unbelievable
I mean these these people are supposed to care about teaching young people and they and they view themselves as just babysitters
Yeah, you know and they view parents as stoners
Yeah, I mean
We we gotta shake up this system and then and the problem is competition
We need competition and look the problem is that that the people that when you have unions running the schools
There’s no reward for excellence
The bad the bad people don’t get fired and the good people don’t get rewarded. So they you know
if you’re
Pro if you’re anti-competition, you are a moron
everything in this world
Gets better when people compete
On the playing field in the arena to build better products and services and in health care
and in education and in housing the government and dare I say it the far left is
Stopping people from competing
We should look at ourselves as customers and that’s what’s happening right now
People are saying we’re the customer gavin newsom and chesa booton
We don’t want that product that products get the hell get the hell out of here with that product and give us something reasonable
No person who’s republican no person who’s democratic doesn’t want safety and
Doesn’t want competition education. The only people who don’t who want to stop competition education are special interests period
Amen, man. You’ve been sorry. These red pills are fucking great, man
peter teal
God man, I thought adderall was good, but
God these miami
Keith reboy peter teal
Stanford red pills got me lit. I’m ready to go. All right. Anybody give a shit about nfts
Non-fungible tokens. I mean, I think it’s kind of brilliant. But by the way, don’t we only have two minutes two minutes?
And if I think we should wrap I think we should wrap around the red pills
I mean that you can’t beat that that was can’t beat some red pills. That was hot
When are we gonna see each other? I I can’t take it anymore. I’m like a caged animal
I need to get out of here. I need to get on one of your planes. I’m doing a
You’re playing get me. I’m doing a home and away poker game on wednesday and thursday wednesday in la thursday up here
But it’s five hundred and a thousand. Jason. Oh
Oh
And you gotta play both days. You gotta play both days. So you can’t play one or the other
You gotta play both days. Oh boy. Chamath is trying to make his billions back
I don’t know if I want to be in a 500
1k game. No, i’m gonna go any different than the normal game. I mean like
In fact, in fact, I just you know, you can’t limp in which races they just you’re gonna get demolished get four callers that yeah
Yeah, rick solomon will jump the fence with the seven eight and bust
And laugh and laugh and laugh. You gotta edit all this out. No, you don’t
The matcha king of malibu the malibu
Matcha king exactly malibu. Tell him i’ll take a matcha with extra. All right, everybody for the queen of quinoa
for rain man david sacks and for
The demolished dictator
Will rebuild I believe in you chamath. You can rebuild it. You can rebuild that chip in a chair. Come on
Let’s get back in the game chip in a chair. Give us another ipo g h whatever
Let’s go everybody and we’ll see you next time. Love you guys. Thanks to our sponsors. Bye guys that don’t exist
Ditto
I love you besties
We’ll let your winners ride
Rain man david
And it said we open source it to the fans and they’ve just gone crazy with it love you queen of quinoa
I’m going
We should all just get a room and just have one big huge orgy because they’re all just useless
It’s like this like sexual tension, but they just need to release somehow
We need to get mercies
You